(SBUX) Starbucks - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 107.983m USD | Total Return: 12.3% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +1.4
Avg Turnover: 692M USD
Peers RS (IBD): 85.5
EPS Trend: -71.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 79.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
P/E ratio 79.0
Altman Z'' -0.27 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) is an international roaster, marketer, and retailer of coffee. The company operates through North America, International, and Channel Development segments. This multi-segment approach is common for global food and beverage companies seeking diversified revenue streams.
Starbucks sells coffee, tea, other beverages, and food items. Products include roasted whole beans, ground coffees, packaged coffees, single-serve products, ready-to-drink beverages, pastries, and sandwiches. The company also licenses its trademarks, a common strategy in the restaurant industry to expand brand reach without direct capital investment.
Brands include Starbucks Coffee, Teavana, Seattles Best Coffee, Ethos, and Starbucks Reserve. Founded in 1971, Starbucks is based in Seattle, Washington. For a deeper dive into SBUXs financial performance, consider exploring its profile on ValueRay.
- Global comparable store sales growth drives revenue
- Commodity price fluctuations impact cost of goods
- International expansion fuels new market penetration
- Consumer discretionary spending affects demand
| Net Income: 1.37b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.87 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.42% < 20% (prev -6.75%; Δ 8.17% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 4.27b > Net Income 1.37b |
| Net Debt (30.11b) to EBITDA (5.25b): 5.74 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.05 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.14b) vs 12m ago 0.31% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.60% > 18% (prev 0.26%; Δ 2.03k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 117.6% > 50% (prev 113.3%; Δ 4.23% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.03 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 5.25b / Interest Expense TTM 580.4m) |
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 12.02b - Total Current Liabilities 11.49b) / Total Assets 32.23b |
| B: -0.27 (Retained Earnings -8.69b / Total Assets 32.23b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 3.50b / Avg Total Assets 32.06b) |
| D: -0.22 (Book Value of Equity -9.11b / Total Liabilities 40.61b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.27 = B |
| DSRI: 0.94 (Receivables 1.22b/1.24b, Revenue 37.70b/36.15b) |
| GMI: 1.26 (GM 20.60% / 26.05%) |
| AQI: 0.69 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.21) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 37.70b / 36.15b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 1.37b - CFO 4.27b) / TA 32.23b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.25%, over one month by -2.86%, over three months by +9.75% and over the past year by +12.31%.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 18
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 99.4 | 2.5% |
P/E Forward = 39.0625
P/S = 2.8641
P/B = 68.4639
P/EG = 1.492
Revenue TTM = 37.70b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.50b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.25b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.58b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.84b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 33.52b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 30.11b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 137.90b USD (107.98b + Debt 33.52b - CCE 3.60b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.03 (Ebit TTM 3.50b / Interest Expense TTM 580.4m)
EV/FCF = 59.01x (Enterprise Value 137.90b / FCF TTM 2.34b)
FCF Yield = 1.69% (FCF TTM 2.34b / Enterprise Value 137.90b)
FCF Margin = 6.20% (FCF TTM 2.34b / Revenue TTM 37.70b)
Net Margin = 3.63% (Net Income TTM 1.37b / Revenue TTM 37.70b)
Gross Margin = 20.60% ((Revenue TTM 37.70b - Cost of Revenue TTM 29.93b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.63% (prev 23.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.28 (Enterprise Value 137.90b / Total Assets 32.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.49% (Interest Expense 165.0m / Debt 33.52b)
Taxrate = 41.09% (1.29b / 3.15b)
NOPAT = 2.06b (EBIT 3.50b * (1 - 41.09%))
Current Ratio = 1.05 (Total Current Assets 12.02b / Total Current Liabilities 11.49b)
Debt / Equity = -4.00 (negative equity) (Debt 33.52b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -8.39b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.74 (Net Debt 30.11b / EBITDA 5.25b)
Debt / FCF = 12.88 (Net Debt 30.11b / FCF TTM 2.34b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -7.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.27% (Net Income 1.37b / Total Assets 32.23b)
RoE = -17.22% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.37b / Total Stockholder Equity -7.95b)
RoCE = 52.77% (EBIT 3.50b / Capital Employed (Equity -7.95b + L.T.Debt 14.58b))
RoIC = 24.80% (NOPAT 2.06b / Invested Capital 8.31b)
WACC = 7.79% (E(107.98b)/V(141.50b) * Re(10.12%) + D(33.52b)/V(141.50b) * Rd(0.49%) * (1-Tc(0.41)))
Discount Rate = 10.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.06%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.31% ; FCFF base≈2.57b ; Y1≈2.26b ; Y5≈1.86b
[DCF] Fair Price = 4.72 (EV 35.48b - Net Debt 30.11b = Equity 5.38b / Shares 1.14b; r=7.79% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -14.69% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -70.97 | EPS CAGR: -48.76% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 79.34 | Revenue CAGR: 7.20% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.65 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=30
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=2.29 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+7.5% | Growth Revenue=+3.1%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=2.95 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+29.0% | Growth Revenue=+5.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.50 (1 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 8.9% (Discount Rate 10.1% - Earnings Yield 1.3%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -7.1% (Analyst 1.7% - Implied 8.9%)