SHOE Stock Analysis: Shoe Station | NASDAQ
Apparel Retail | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 342m USD | 12M Return: -33.3% | US8248891090 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 15.1M
EPS Trend: -89.7%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: -78.4%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Shoe Station Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SHOE) is a U.S.-based footwear retailer offering shoes, sneakers, heels, sandals, boots, work and safety shoes, athletic shoes, and related accessories for men, women, and kids. The company operates an omnichannel model, selling through physical stores as well as online and mobile app platforms, which is a standard approach in the Apparel Retail sub-industry that helps retailers reach customers beyond their brick-and-mortar footprint. Founded in 1978 and headquartered in Fort Mill, South Carolina, the company was previously known as Shoe Carnival, Inc. before adopting its current name in June 2026.
- Comparable store sales growth drives quarterly revenue and earnings beats
- Athletic and branded footwear mix expansion lifts gross margins
- Holiday and back-to-school season sales concentrate annual earnings
- Tariffs on imported footwear pressure product cost outlook
| Net Income: 24.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.67 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 40.19% < 20% (prev 36.19%; Δ 4.00% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 101.8m > Net Income 24.3m |
| Net Debt (253.4m) to EBITDA (70.4m): 3.60 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.04 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (27.2m) vs 12m ago -0.99% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.47% > 18% (prev 36.11%; Δ -1.64% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 94.84% > 50% (prev 99.03%; Δ -4.19% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 89.91 > 6 (EBIT TTM 35.3m / Interest Expense TTM 393k) |
| A: 0.38 (Total Current Assets 590.7m - Total Current Liabilities 146.2m) / Total Assets 1.17b |
| B: 0.69 (Retained Earnings 799.9m / Total Assets 1.17b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 35.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.17b) |
| D: 1.38 (Book Value of Equity 676.8m / Total Liabilities 490.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 6.38 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.77 (Receivables 6.27m/8.46m, Revenue 1.11b/1.15b) |
| GMI: 1.05 (GM 36.11% / 34.47%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 1.11b / 1.15b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 24.3m - CFO 101.8m) / TA 1.17b) |
| Beneish M = -3.22 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 12.75 with a total of 1,422,789 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.71%, over one month by -0.07%, over three months by -14.03% and over the past year by -33.26%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 11.90 (which is 6.7% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Shoe Station has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SHOE.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 15 | 17.6% |
P/E Trailing = 14.2955
P/E Forward = 15.4321
P/S = 0.3091
P/B = 0.5268
P/EG = 0.9544
Revenue TTM = 1.11b USD
EBIT TTM = 35.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 70.4m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 58.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 371.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year) (leases 354.6m already included)
Net Debt = 253.4m USD (calculated: Debt 371.4m - CCE 118.0m)
Enterprise Value = 595.4m USD (342.0m + Debt 371.4m - CCE 118.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 89.91 (Ebit TTM 35.3m / Interest Expense TTM 393k)
EV/FCF = 8.95x (Enterprise Value 595.4m / FCF TTM 66.5m)
FCF Yield = 11.18% (FCF TTM 66.5m / Enterprise Value 595.4m)
FCF Margin = 6.02% (FCF TTM 66.5m / Revenue TTM 1.11b)
Net Margin = 2.20% (Net Income TTM 24.3m / Revenue TTM 1.11b)
Gross Margin = 34.47% ((Revenue TTM 1.11b - Cost of Revenue TTM 725.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.87% (prev 33.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.51 (Enterprise Value 595.4m / Total Assets 1.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.11% (Interest Expense 393k / Debt 371.4m)
Taxrate = 30.36% (10.6m / 34.9m)
NOPAT = 24.6m (EBIT 35.3m * (1 - 30.36%))
Current Ratio = 4.04 (Total Current Assets 590.7m / Total Current Liabilities 146.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.55 (Debt 371.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 676.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.60 (Net Debt 253.4m / EBITDA 70.4m)
Debt / FCF = 3.81 (Net Debt 253.4m / FCF TTM 66.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 680.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.09% (Net Income 24.3m / Total Assets 1.17b)
RoE = 3.57% (Net Income TTM 24.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 680.8m)
RoCE = 3.46% (EBIT 35.3m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 1.17b - Current Liab 146.2m))
RoIC = 2.40% (NOPAT 24.6m / Invested Capital 1.02b)
WACC = 4.71% (E(342.0m)/V(713.4m) * Re(9.75%) + D(371.4m)/V(713.4m) * Rd(0.11%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 9.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -35.73 | Cagr: -0.36%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈49.4m ; Y1≈56.6m ; Y5≈83.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 36.81 (EV 1.25b - Net Debt 253.4m = Equity 1.00b / Shares 27.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -89.66 | EPS CAGR: -21.11% | SUE: -2.60 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -78.45 | Revenue CAGR: -2.84% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.27 | Chg30d=-46.00% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.84 | Chg30d=-43.59% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=-55.6% | GrowthRev=-2.3%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=1.44 | Chg30d=-22.06% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+70.4% | GrowthRev=+2.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -67% (up=0, down=6)