(SHOP) Shopify - Overview

Sector: Technology | Industry: Software - Application | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 142.716m USD | Total Return: 10.2% in 12m

E-commerce Software, Payment Processing, Retail Hardware, Shipping Services
Total Rating 38
Safety 77
Buy Signal -0.45
Software - Application
Industry Rotation: +7.4
Market Cap: 143B
Avg Turnover: 1.42B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility55.2%
VaR 5th Pctl8.73%
VaR vs Median-4.71%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.38
Rel. Str. IBD20.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group25
Character TTM
Beta1.889
Beta Downside1.871
Hurst Exponent0.512
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD46.71%
CAGR/Max DD0.58
CAGR/Mean DD1.68
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of SHOP over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.2, "2021-06": 0.22, "2021-09": 0.08, "2021-12": 0.14, "2022-03": 0.02, "2022-06": -0.03, "2022-09": -0.02, "2022-12": 0.07, "2023-03": 0.01, "2023-06": 0.14, "2023-09": 0.24, "2023-12": 0.34, "2024-03": 0.2, "2024-06": 0.26, "2024-09": 0.64, "2024-12": 0.44, "2025-03": -0.53, "2025-06": 0.35, "2025-09": 0.34, "2025-12": 0.48, "2026-03": -0.45,
EPS CAGR: 23.16%
EPS Trend: 34.9%
Last SUE: -2.17
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of SHOP over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 988.647, 2021-06: 1119.445, 2021-09: 1123.74, 2021-12: 1380.024, 2022-03: 1204, 2022-06: 1295, 2022-09: 1366, 2022-12: 1734.978, 2023-03: 1508, 2023-06: 1694, 2023-09: 1714, 2023-12: 2144, 2024-03: 1861, 2024-06: 2045, 2024-09: 2162, 2024-12: 2812, 2025-03: 2360, 2025-06: 2680, 2025-09: 2844, 2025-12: 3672, 2026-03: 3170,
Rev. CAGR: 27.63%
Rev. Trend: 99.8%
Last SUE: 0.08
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

P/E ratio 107.8

Extended 3d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: SHOP Shopify

Shopify Inc. provides a cloud-based commerce platform designed for small and medium-sized businesses to manage sales across multiple channels, including web, mobile, social media, and physical retail locations. The company’s ecosystem integrates inventory management, payment processing through Shopify Payments, order fulfillment, and marketing tools into a single interface.

Operating within the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) sector, Shopify utilizes a subscription-based model supplemented by merchant solutions fees tied to GMV (Gross Merchandise Volume). This dual revenue structure allows the company to benefit from both recurring software fees and the transaction-based growth of its merchant base.

Investors can further evaluate these revenue streams and valuation metrics on ValueRay.

Headquartered in Ottawa, Canada, the firm has expanded its global footprint to include Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia Pacific. Beyond its core platform, Shopify generates revenue through app store advertising, hardware sales for point-of-sale systems, and domain name registration.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Gross Merchandise Volume growth drives merchant solutions revenue and payment processing fees
  • Expansion into enterprise segments through Shopify Plus improves high-margin subscription revenue
  • Operating margin expansion follows the divestiture of capital-intensive logistics and fulfillment operations
  • Increasing penetration of Shopify Payments enhances take rates and overall platform monetization
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 1.33b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.12 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 57.80% < 20% (prev 57.96%; Δ -0.16% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 2.16b > Net Income 1.33b
Net Debt (-5.58b) to EBITDA (1.68b): -3.33 < 3
Current Ratio: 6.20 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.30b) vs 12m ago 0.62% < -2%
Gross Margin: 47.97% > 18% (prev 0.50%; Δ 4.75k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 89.71% > 50% (prev 69.99%; Δ 19.72% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.50 (Total Current Assets 8.52b - Total Current Liabilities 1.38b) / Total Assets 14.2b
B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 2.29b / Total Assets 14.2b)
C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 1.65b / Avg Total Assets 13.8b)
D: 7.56 (Book Value of Equity 12.3b / Total Liabilities 1.63b)
Altman-Z'' = 12.58 = AAA
Beneish M -2.76
DSRI: 1.15 (Receivables 2.55b/1.69b, Revenue 12.4b/9.38b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 47.97% / 49.94%)
AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.39 / AQ_t-1 0.43)
SGI: 1.32 (Revenue 12.4b / 9.38b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 1.33b - CFO 2.16b) / TA 14.2b)
Beneish M = -2.76 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of SHOP shares?

As of May 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 118.71 with a total of 11,269,214 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +13.21%, over one month by -2.10%, over three months by -1.67% and over the past year by +10.22%.

Is SHOP a buy, sell or hold?

Shopify has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.16. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SHOP.

  • StrongBuy: 24
  • Buy: 11
  • Hold: 14
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SHOP price?
Analysts Target Price 150.1 26.5%
Shopify (SHOP) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 30 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 143b (143b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 107.8235
P/E Forward = 56.8182
P/S = 11.5426
P/B = 11.0655
P/EG = 2.1027
Revenue TTM = 12.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.65b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.68b USD
Long Term Debt = 163.5m USD (estimated: total debt 179.6m - short term 16.1m)
Short Term Debt = 16.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 179.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 179.0m already included)
Net Debt = -5.58b USD (calculated: Debt 179.6m - CCE 5.76b)
Enterprise Value = 137b USD (143b + Debt 179.6m - CCE 5.76b)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 1.65b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = 64.44x (Enterprise Value 137b / FCF TTM 2.13b)
FCF Yield = 1.55% (FCF TTM 2.13b / Enterprise Value 137b)
FCF Margin = 17.21% (FCF TTM 2.13b / Revenue TTM 12.4b)
Net Margin = 10.77% (Net Income TTM 1.33b / Revenue TTM 12.4b)
Gross Margin = 47.97% ((Revenue TTM 12.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.43b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.77% (prev 46.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.68 (Enterprise Value 137b / Total Assets 14.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 179.6m)
Taxrate = 18.42% (278.0m / 1.51b)
NOPAT = 1.34b (EBIT 1.65b * (1 - 18.42%))
Current Ratio = 6.20 (Total Current Assets 8.52b / Total Current Liabilities 1.38b)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 179.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.33 (Net Debt -5.58b / EBITDA 1.68b)
Debt / FCF = -2.62 (Net Debt -5.58b / FCF TTM 2.13b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.7b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.66% (Net Income 1.33b / Total Assets 14.2b)
RoE = 10.52% (Net Income TTM 1.33b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.7b)
RoCE = 12.84% (EBIT 1.65b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.7b + L.T.Debt 163.5m))
RoIC = 10.60% (NOPAT 1.34b / Invested Capital 12.7b)
WACC = 12.61% (E(143b)/V(143b) * Re(12.63%) + D(179.6m)/V(143b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 12.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 46.67 | Cagr: 0.21%
[DCF] Terminal Value 65.46% ; FCFF base≈1.97b ; Y1≈2.26b ; Y5≈3.32b
[DCF] Fair Price = 27.85 (EV 28.4b - Net Debt -5.58b = Equity 34.0b / Shares 1.22b; r=12.61% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 34.86 | EPS CAGR: 23.16% | SUE: -2.17 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 99.79 | Revenue CAGR: 27.63% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.40 | Chg30d=+1.56% | Revisions=-14% | Analysts=33
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.44 | Chg30d=-1.33% | Revisions=-36% | Analysts=29
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.84 | Chg30d=+0.84% | Revisions=+3% | GrowthEPS=+28.4% | GrowthRev=+28.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.33 | Chg30d=+1.58% | Revisions=-3% | GrowthEPS=+27.0% | GrowthRev=+23.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -36%