(TTD) Trade Desk - Ratings and Ratios
Platform, Data, Analytics, Optimization, Measurement
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 56.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 80.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.08% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.34 |
| Alpha | -88.44 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.10 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.601 |
| Beta | 1.488 |
| Beta Downside | 2.127 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 74.06% |
| Mean DD | 22.82% |
| Median DD | 12.98% |
Description: TTD Trade Desk December 17, 2025
The Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD) is a U.S.–based technology firm that provides a self-service, cloud-native platform for buying and managing digital advertising across formats-including video, display, audio, DOOH, native, and social-and devices such as computers, mobiles, TVs, and streaming boxes. Its suite of data and value-added services enables agencies, advertisers, and their service providers to plan, optimize, and measure campaigns in real time.
In FY 2023 the company generated $1.55 billion in revenue, up 19 % YoY, with an operating margin of roughly 30 % and a cash balance exceeding $2.5 billion. Active advertisers surpassed 13,000, and CTV (connected-TV) now accounts for over 40 % of total spend on the platform-a trend driven by the broader shift toward video-first consumption and the industry-wide migration to programmatic ad buying, which is forecast to grow at a 15 % CAGR through 2027.
For a deeper dive into how these dynamics translate into valuation metrics, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst toolkit for additional context.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (438.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 167.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.12 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.15pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 76.17% (prev 96.26%; Δ -20.09pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 880.5m > Net Income 438.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-277.2m) to EBITDA (654.0m) ratio: -0.42 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.71 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (493.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.91% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 78.81% (prev 81.06%; Δ -2.25pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 48.76% (prev 41.95%; Δ 6.81pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -8.53 (EBITDA TTM 654.0m / Interest Expense TTM -64.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.67
| (A) 0.36 = (Total Current Assets 5.12b - Total Current Liabilities 2.99b) / Total Assets 5.94b |
| (B) -0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -364.4m / Total Assets 5.94b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 546.1m / Avg Total Assets 5.72b |
| (D) -0.11 = Book Value of Equity -364.4m / Total Liabilities 3.34b |
| Total Rating: 2.67 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 77.17
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.04% |
| 3. FCF Margin 24.64% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.14 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.42 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.43)% |
| 7. RoE 16.00% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 92.37% |
| 9. EPS Trend 58.96% |
What is the price of TTD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.23%, over one month by -7.56%, over three months by -18.07% and over the past year by -72.47%.
Is TTD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 23
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the TTD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 62 | 66.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 62 | 66.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 33 | -11.3% |
TTD Fundamental Data Overview December 13, 2025
P/E Trailing = 42.0682
P/E Forward = 30.6748
P/S = 6.4865
P/B = 7.2926
P/EG = 1.2261
Beta = 1.069
Revenue TTM = 2.79b USD
EBIT TTM = 546.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 654.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 376.0m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 73.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 376.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -277.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.03b USD (18.10b + Debt 376.0m - CCE 1.45b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -8.53 (Ebit TTM 546.1m / Interest Expense TTM -64.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.04% (FCF TTM 687.5m / Enterprise Value 17.03b)
FCF Margin = 24.64% (FCF TTM 687.5m / Revenue TTM 2.79b)
Net Margin = 15.72% (Net Income TTM 438.6m / Revenue TTM 2.79b)
Gross Margin = 78.81% ((Revenue TTM 2.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 591.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 78.07% (prev 78.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.87 (Enterprise Value 17.03b / Total Assets 5.94b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.73% (Interest Expense 36.6m / Debt 376.0m)
Taxrate = 35.64% (64.0m / 179.5m)
NOPAT = 351.5m (EBIT 546.1m * (1 - 35.64%))
Current Ratio = 1.71 (Total Current Assets 5.12b / Total Current Liabilities 2.99b)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 376.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.60b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.42 (Net Debt -277.2m / EBITDA 654.0m)
Debt / FCF = -0.40 (Net Debt -277.2m / FCF TTM 687.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.38% (Net Income 438.6m / Total Assets 5.94b)
RoE = 16.00% (Net Income TTM 438.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.74b)
RoCE = 17.52% (EBIT 546.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.74b + L.T.Debt 376.0m))
RoIC = 12.82% (NOPAT 351.5m / Invested Capital 2.74b)
WACC = 11.39% (E(18.10b)/V(18.48b) * Re(11.50%) + D(376.0m)/V(18.48b) * Rd(9.73%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 11.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.67%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.53% ; FCFE base≈620.2m ; Y1≈745.4m ; Y5≈1.20b
Fair Price DCF = 27.11 (DCF Value 11.94b / Shares Outstanding 440.3m; 5y FCF grow 21.55% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 58.96 | EPS CAGR: 1.86% | SUE: 0.32 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.37 | Revenue CAGR: 18.15% | SUE: 1.20 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.35 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-7 | Analysts=16
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.08 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+17.4% | Growth Revenue=+16.1%
Additional Sources for TTD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle