(TTD) Trade Desk - Overview

Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Advertising Agencies | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 10.083m USD | Total Return: -71.2% in 12m

Ad Software, Programmatic Advertising, Data Services, Digital Marketing
Total Rating 44
Safety 75
Buy Signal -1.26
Advertising Agencies
Industry Rotation: +1.5
Market Cap: 10.1B
Avg Turnover: 400M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility55.9%
VaR 5th Pctl8.71%
VaR vs Median-7.04%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.69
Rel. Str. IBD1.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group2.7
Character TTM
Beta1.613
Beta Downside2.111
Hurst Exponent0.624
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD85.60%
CAGR/Max DD-0.40
CAGR/Mean DD-1.01
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TTD over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.14, "2021-06": 0.18, "2021-09": 0.18, "2021-12": 0.42, "2022-03": 0.21, "2022-06": 0.2, "2022-09": 0.26, "2022-12": 0.38, "2023-03": 0.23, "2023-06": 0.28, "2023-09": 0.33, "2023-12": 0.41, "2024-03": 0.26, "2024-06": 0.39, "2024-09": 0.41, "2024-12": 0.59, "2025-03": 0.33, "2025-06": 0.41, "2025-09": 0.23, "2025-12": 0.59, "2026-03": 0.28,
EPS CAGR: 13.49%
EPS Trend: 81.7%
Last SUE: 1.98
Qual. Beats: 3
Revenue Revenue of TTD over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 219.811, 2021-06: 279.967, 2021-09: 301.091, 2021-12: 395.598, 2022-03: 315.323, 2022-06: 376.962, 2022-09: 394.773, 2022-12: 490.737, 2023-03: 382.803, 2023-06: 464.254, 2023-09: 493.266, 2023-12: 605.797, 2024-03: 491.253, 2024-06: 584.55, 2024-09: 628.016, 2024-12: 741.012, 2025-03: 616.021, 2025-06: 694.039, 2025-09: 739.433, 2025-12: 846.791, 2026-03: 688.857,
Rev. CAGR: 22.41%
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Last SUE: 0.62
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Fakeout Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Garp

Description: TTD Trade Desk

The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) is a global technology company providing a self-service cloud-based platform for automated digital advertising. Its software allows clients to manage omnichannel campaigns across Connected TV (CTV), mobile, audio, and digital-out-of-home formats.

Operating within the demand-side platform (DSP) sector, the company utilizes real-time bidding to purchase ad inventory for agencies and brands. Unlike walled gardens, this programmatic model focuses on the open internet, offering transparency in data and pricing across diverse inventory sources.

Investors can further evaluate these market dynamics and valuation metrics at ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Connected TV inventory expansion drives significant high-margin programmatic revenue growth
  • Unified ID 2.0 adoption strengthens first-party data targeting amid cookie deprecation
  • Retail media partnerships accelerate growth through high-intent shopper data integration
  • International market penetration increases total addressable market beyond North American core
  • Macroeconomic advertising budget shifts impact overall platform spend and take rates
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 9.0
Net Income: 432.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.57 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 66.39% < 20% (prev 84.62%; Δ -18.22% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 1.09b > Net Income 432.6m
Net Debt (-982.3m) to EBITDA (724.7m): -1.36 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.68 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (476.9m) vs 12m ago -5.18% < -2%
Gross Margin: 77.83% > 18% (prev 0.80%; Δ 7.70k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 51.91% > 50% (prev 45.04%; Δ 6.87% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 825.1 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 724.7m / Interest Expense TTM 729k)
Altman Z'' 2.32
A: 0.34 (Total Current Assets 4.86b - Total Current Liabilities 2.89b) / Total Assets 5.73b
B: -0.13 (Retained Earnings -725.0m / Total Assets 5.73b)
C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 601.5m / Avg Total Assets 5.72b)
D: -0.22 (Book Value of Equity -725.0m / Total Liabilities 3.28b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.32 = BBB
Beneish M -3.36
DSRI: 0.94 (Receivables 3.32b/3.05b, Revenue 2.97b/2.57b)
GMI: 1.03 (GM 77.83% / 80.11%)
AQI: 0.49 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.06)
SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 2.97b / 2.57b)
TATA: -0.12 (NI 432.6m - CFO 1.09b) / TA 5.73b)
Beneish M = -3.36 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of TTD shares?

As of May 31, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 21.56 with a total of 48,348,986 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.32%, over one month by -11.53%, over three months by -9.49% and over the past year by -71.21%.

Is TTD a buy, sell or hold?

Trade Desk has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.15. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TTD.

  • StrongBuy: 23
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 11
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 2

What are the forecasts/targets for the TTD price?
Analysts Target Price 25.8 19.7%
Trade Desk (TTD) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 30 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 10.1b (10.1b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 24.3727
P/E Forward = 20.0803
P/S = 3.3959
P/B = 4.271
P/EG = 1.0614
Revenue TTM = 2.97b USD
EBIT TTM = 601.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 724.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 346.1m USD (estimated: total debt 423.6m - short term 77.5m)
Short Term Debt = 77.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 423.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 423.6m already included)
Net Debt = -982.3m USD (calculated: Debt 423.6m - CCE 1.41b)
Enterprise Value = 9.10b USD (10.1b + Debt 423.6m - CCE 1.41b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 825.1 (Ebit TTM 601.5m / Interest Expense TTM 729k)
EV/FCF = 10.88x (Enterprise Value 9.10b / FCF TTM 836.7m)
FCF Yield = 9.19% (FCF TTM 836.7m / Enterprise Value 9.10b)
FCF Margin = 28.18% (FCF TTM 836.7m / Revenue TTM 2.97b)
Net Margin = 14.57% (Net Income TTM 432.6m / Revenue TTM 2.97b)
Gross Margin = 77.83% ((Revenue TTM 2.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 658.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 73.58% (prev 80.74%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.59 (Enterprise Value 9.10b / Total Assets 5.73b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.17% (Interest Expense 729k / Debt 423.6m)
Taxrate = 49.34% (39.0m / 79.0m)
NOPAT = 304.7m (EBIT 601.5m * (1 - 49.34%))
Current Ratio = 1.68 (Total Current Assets 4.86b / Total Current Liabilities 2.89b)
Debt / Equity = 0.17 (Debt 423.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.45b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.36 (Net Debt -982.3m / EBITDA 724.7m)
Debt / FCF = -1.17 (Net Debt -982.3m / FCF TTM 836.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.56b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.56% (Net Income 432.6m / Total Assets 5.73b)
RoE = 13.18% (Net Income TTM 432.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.28b)
RoCE = 16.57% (EBIT 601.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.28b + L.T.Debt 346.1m))
RoIC = 11.31% (NOPAT 304.7m / Invested Capital 2.69b)
WACC = 11.19% (E(10.1b)/V(10.5b) * Re(11.66%) + D(423.6m)/V(10.5b) * Rd(0.17%) * (1-Tc(0.49)))
Discount Rate = 11.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -42.22 | Cagr: -2.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 69.34% ; FCFF base≈776.3m ; Y1≈889.9m ; Y5≈1.31b
[DCF] Fair Price = 32.98 (EV 13.1b - Net Debt -982.3m = Equity 14.1b / Shares 427.0m; r=11.19% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 81.70 | EPS CAGR: 13.49% | SUE: 1.98 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 99.54 | Revenue CAGR: 22.41% | SUE: 0.62 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.40 | Chg30d=-13.24% | Revisions=-82% | Analysts=21
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.50 | Chg30d=-9.37% | Revisions=-71% | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.86 | Chg30d=-10.37% | Revisions=-68% | GrowthEPS=+4.8% | GrowthRev=+9.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.16 | Chg30d=-9.68% | Revisions=-76% | GrowthEPS=+16.6% | GrowthRev=+10.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -82%