AXIA Stock Analysis: AXIA Energia | NYSE
Utilities - Renewable | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 23.332m USD | 12M Return: 62% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 19.1M
EPS Trend: 22.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 90.7%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
AXIA Energia SA is a Brazilian integrated electric utility that operates across the full electricity value chain, including generation, transmission, distribution, and commercialization. The company produces electricity from hydroelectric, wind, and solar sources, with reported installed capacity of 43,072.7 MW in hydroelectric plants and 798.7 MW in wind power, supported by an extensive transmission network spanning 67,030.74 km. Formerly known as Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobrás, the company was incorporated in 1962 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro.
The Brazilian electricity sector has historically been one of the cleanest among major economies, with hydroelectric power traditionally accounting for the majority of generation capacity. AXIAs vertically integrated model-spanning generation through to distribution-reflects the structure of large national utilities in Latin America, where scale in transmission infrastructure is often a key competitive advantage and regulatory asset.
- Brazilian reservoir drought pressures hydroelectric generation volumes
- Post-privatization capex pivots toward renewables and transmission expansion
- Government golden share maintains regulatory and political influence over operations
| Net Income: 9.49b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.12 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 66.99% < 20% (prev 77.17%; Δ -10.18% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 14.1b > Net Income 9.49b |
| Net Debt (47.1b) to EBITDA (6.89b): 6.84 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.11 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.27b) vs 12m ago 0.79% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 89.41% > 18% (prev 83.15%; Δ 6.25% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 15.43% > 50% (prev 14.85%; Δ 0.58% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.31 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.19b / Interest Expense TTM 7.03b) |
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 55.3b - Total Current Liabilities 26.2b) / Total Assets 280b |
| B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 14.4b / Total Assets 280b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 2.19b / Avg Total Assets 281b) |
| D: 0.76 (Book Value of Equity 121b / Total Liabilities 159b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.70 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.94 (Receivables 19.5b/20.0b, Revenue 43.3b/41.9b) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 83.15% / 89.41%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.66 / AQ_t-1 0.67) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 43.3b / 41.9b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 9.49b - CFO 14.1b) / TA 280b) |
| Beneish M = -3.12 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 10.19 with a total of 2,466,134 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.10%, over one month by -5.12%, over three months by -18.61% and over the past year by +62.03%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 9.80 (which is 3.8% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
AXIA Energia has no consensus analysts rating.
Market Cap BRL = 119b (23.3b USD * 5.1212 USD.BRL)
P/E Trailing = 11.7816
P/E Forward = 21.3675
P/S = 0.5354
P/B = 0.972
P/EG = 2.8139
Revenue TTM = 43.3b BRL
EBIT TTM = 2.19b BRL
EBITDA TTM = 6.89b BRL
Long Term Debt = 62.4b BRL (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 11.2b BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 74.8b BRL (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 641.3m
Net Debt = 47.1b BRL (calculated: Debt 74.8b - CCE 27.7b)
Enterprise Value = 167b BRL (119b + Debt 74.8b - CCE 27.7b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.31 (Ebit TTM 2.19b / Interest Expense TTM 7.03b)
EV/FCF = 14.58x (Enterprise Value 167b / FCF TTM 11.4b)
FCF Yield = 6.86% (FCF TTM 11.4b / Enterprise Value 167b)
FCF Margin = 26.37% (FCF TTM 11.4b / Revenue TTM 43.3b)
Net Margin = 21.90% (Net Income TTM 9.49b / Revenue TTM 43.3b)
Gross Margin = 89.41% ((Revenue TTM 43.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.61% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.60 (Enterprise Value 167b / Total Assets 280b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.40% (Interest Expense 7.03b / Debt 74.8b)
Taxrate = 14.28% (430.0m / 3.01b)
NOPAT = 1.88b (EBIT 2.19b * (1 - 14.28%))
Current Ratio = 2.11 (Total Current Assets 55.3b / Total Current Liabilities 26.2b)
Debt / Equity = 0.62 (Debt 74.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 121b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.84 (Net Debt 47.1b / EBITDA 6.89b)
Debt / FCF = 4.12 (Net Debt 47.1b / FCF TTM 11.4b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 117b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.38% (Net Income 9.49b / Total Assets 280b)
RoE = 8.12% (Net Income TTM 9.49b / Total Stockholder Equity 117b)
RoCE = 1.22% (EBIT 2.19b / Capital Employed (Equity 117b + L.T.Debt 62.4b))
RoIC = 0.72% (NOPAT 1.88b / Invested Capital 263b)
WACC = 8.32% (E(119b)/V(194b) * Re(8.48%) + D(74.8b)/V(194b) * Rd(9.40%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 8.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -58.18 | Cagr: 0.04%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.74% ; FCFF base≈11.3b ; Y1≈11.6b ; Y5≈12.8b
[DCF] Fair Price = 66.09 (EV 198b - Net Debt 47.1b = Equity 150b / Shares 2.28b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 2.31% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 21.97 | EPS CAGR: 9.85% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.72 | Revenue CAGR: 8.13% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.17 | Chg30d=-18.32% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.18 | Chg30d=-7.07% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=-8.34% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+130.6% | GrowthRev=+10.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.17 | Chg30d=-5.26% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+33.2% | GrowthRev=+10.7%