AZN Stock Analysis: AstraZeneca | NYSE

Drug Manufacturers - General | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 257.573m USD | 12M Return: 10.3% | GB0009895292 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Oncology, Cardiovascular, Respiratory, Immunology
Total Rating 51
Safety 59
Buy Signal -0.59
Drug Manufacturers - General
Industry Rotation: +1.0
Market Cap: 258B
Avg Turnover: 504M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility23.4%
VaR 5th Pctl4.07%
VaR vs Median5.69%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.39
Rel. Str. IBD24.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group25.6
Character TTM
Beta0.086
Beta Downside0.197
Hurst Exponent0.531
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD27.87%
CAGR/Max DD0.33
CAGR/Mean DD0.93
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AZN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.54, "2021-12": 0.84, "2022-03": 0.95, "2022-06": 0.86, "2022-09": 0.84, "2022-12": 0.69, "2023-03": 0.96, "2023-06": 1.08, "2023-09": 0.87, "2023-12": 0.73, "2024-03": 1.03, "2024-06": 0.99, "2024-09": 1.04, "2024-12": 1.05, "2025-03": 1.25, "2025-06": 0.79, "2025-09": 1.19, "2025-12": null, "2026-03": 1.29, "2026-06": 2.63,
EPS CAGR: 14.79%
EPS Trend: 86.5%
Last SUE: 2.00
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of AZN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 9866, 2021-12: 12011, 2022-03: 11390, 2022-06: 10771, 2022-09: 10982, 2022-12: 11207, 2023-03: 10879, 2023-06: 11416, 2023-09: 11492, 2023-12: 12024, 2024-03: 12679, 2024-06: 12938, 2024-09: 13565, 2024-12: 14891, 2025-03: 13588, 2025-06: 14457, 2025-09: 15191, 2025-12: 15503, 2026-03: 15288, 2026-06: 15384,
Rev. CAGR: 12.67%
Rev. Trend: 99.0%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -1.1% 40
Feb +1.1% 10
Mar +1.5% 19
Apr +0.3% 5
May +2.6% 31
Jun -0.8% 21
Jul +0.8% 17
Aug +0.0% 2
Sep -0.1% 25
Oct -1.3% 0
Nov +0.1% 2
Dec +0.7% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: AZN AstraZeneca

AstraZeneca PLC is a UK-based, mega-cap biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, manufactures, and commercializes prescription medicines across six major therapeutic areas: oncology, cardiovascular/renal/metabolism, respiratory and immunology, vaccines and immune therapies, and rare diseases. Its broad product portfolio spans established blockbusters (e.g., Tagrisso, Imfinzi, Farxiga) and newer launches (e.g., Imjudo, Datroway, Wainua), with global distribution to primary and specialty care physicians through local representative offices and distributors across the UK, Americas, Europe, Asia, Africa, and Australasia. The company is pursuing AI-driven drug development through strategic partnerships with Tempus/Pathos, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group, and Nucs AI, and is headquartered in Cambridge, UK, having been incorporated in 1992 and rebranded from Zeneca Group PLC in 1999.

As a pharmaceutical company in the highly regulated healthcare sector, AstraZeneca operates within a long-cycle R&D business model dependent on patent protection, clinical trial outcomes, and regulatory approvals. Diversification across multiple therapy areas and geographies helps mitigate the inherent risk of patent cliffs and single-drug trial failures common to the industry.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Oncology revenue growth led by Tagrisso, Imfinzi, and Enhertu
  • China sales decline on volume-based procurement pricing pressure
  • Alexion rare disease margins expand as acquisition debt deleverages
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 10.4b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.27 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -5.84% < 20% (prev -8.14%; Δ 2.30% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 13.8b > Net Income 10.4b
Net Debt (30.0b) to EBITDA (20.7b): 1.45 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.89 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.56b) vs 12m ago 0.06% < -2%
Gross Margin: 81.88% > 18% (prev 81.38%; Δ 0.50% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 53.80% > 50% (prev 50.26%; Δ 3.54% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.26 > 6 (EBIT TTM 14.3b / Interest Expense TTM 1.73b)
Altman Z'' 1.80
A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 27.9b - Total Current Liabilities 31.5b) / Total Assets 116b
B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 12.6b / Total Assets 116b)
C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 14.3b / Avg Total Assets 114b)
D: 0.77 (Book Value of Equity 50.2b / Total Liabilities 65.4b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.80 = BBB
Beneish M -2.95
DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 16.0b/14.2b, Revenue 61.4b/56.5b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 81.38% / 81.88%)
AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.62 / AQ_t-1 0.62)
SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 61.4b / 56.5b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 10.4b - CFO 13.8b) / TA 116b)
Beneish M = -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of AZN shares?

As of September 22, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 168.10 with a total of 2,937,565 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.64%, over one month by +1.28%, over three months by -4.09% and over the past year by +10.32%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 162.10 (which is 3.6% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).

Is AZN a buy, sell or hold?

AstraZeneca has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.60. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AZN.

  • StrongBuy: 7
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AZN price?
Analysts Target Price 212.2 26.2%
AstraZeneca (AZN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 20 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 258b (258b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 24.8623
P/E Forward = 14.4718
P/S = 4.1973
P/B = 5.1231
P/EG = 1.1906
Revenue TTM = 61.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 14.3b USD
EBITDA TTM = 20.7b USD
Long Term Debt = 23.7b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.23b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 34.9b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.75b
Net Debt = 30.0b USD (calculated: Debt 34.9b - CCE 4.96b)
Enterprise Value = 288b USD (258b + Debt 34.9b - CCE 4.96b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.26 (Ebit TTM 14.3b / Interest Expense TTM 1.73b)
EV/FCF = 32.90x (Enterprise Value 288b / FCF TTM 8.74b)
FCF Yield = 3.04% (FCF TTM 8.74b / Enterprise Value 288b)
FCF Margin = 14.24% (FCF TTM 8.74b / Revenue TTM 61.4b)
Net Margin = 17.02% (Net Income TTM 10.4b / Revenue TTM 61.4b)
Gross Margin = 81.88% ((Revenue TTM 61.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.1b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 83.60% (prev 82.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.49 (Enterprise Value 288b / Total Assets 116b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.96% (Interest Expense 1.73b / Debt 34.9b)
Taxrate = 16.95% (2.13b / 12.6b)
NOPAT = 11.9b (EBIT 14.3b * (1 - 16.95%))
Current Ratio = 0.89 (Total Current Assets 27.9b / Total Current Liabilities 31.5b)
Debt / Equity = 0.70 (Debt 34.9b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 50.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.45 (Net Debt 30.0b / EBITDA 20.7b)
Debt / FCF = 3.43 (Net Debt 30.0b / FCF TTM 8.74b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 48.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.16% (Net Income 10.4b / Total Assets 116b)
RoE = 21.75% (Net Income TTM 10.4b / Total Stockholder Equity 48.0b)
RoCE = 19.97% (EBIT 14.3b / Capital Employed (Equity 48.0b + L.T.Debt 23.7b))
RoIC = 13.62% (NOPAT 11.9b / Invested Capital 87.3b)
WACC = 6.03% (E(258b)/V(293b) * Re(6.29%) + D(34.9b)/V(293b) * Rd(4.96%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 6.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 22.79 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.29% ; FCFF base≈8.52b ; Y1≈9.03b ; Y5≈10.7b
[DCF] Fair Price = 86.55 (EV 164b - Net Debt 30.0b = Equity 134b / Shares 1.55b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 6.79% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 86.45 | EPS CAGR: 14.79% | SUE: 2.00 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 99.00 | Revenue CAGR: 12.67% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.28 | Chg30d=-2.28% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.09 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+120.2% | GrowthRev=+7.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.58 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+14.8% | GrowthRev=+5.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -25% (up=0, down=1)