(COF) Capital One Financial - Overview

Sector: Financial Services | Industry: Credit Services | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 116.475m USD | Total Return: -3.9% in 12m

Credit Cards, Auto Loans, Consumer Banking, Commercial Lending
Total Rating 20
Safety 18
Buy Signal -0.93
Credit Services
Industry Rotation: -8.5
Market Cap: 116B
Avg Turnover: 845M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility29.1%
VaR 5th Pctl5.01%
VaR vs Median4.41%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.11
Rel. Str. IBD20.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group37.9
Character TTM
Beta1.424
Beta Downside1.653
Hurst Exponent0.527
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD31.47%
CAGR/Max DD0.81
CAGR/Mean DD3.32
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of COF over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 7.03, "2021-06": 7.71, "2021-09": 6.86, "2021-12": 5.41, "2022-03": 5.62, "2022-06": 4.96, "2022-09": 4.2, "2022-12": 2.82, "2023-03": 2.31, "2023-06": 3.52, "2023-09": 4.45, "2023-12": 2.24, "2024-03": 3.21, "2024-06": 3.14, "2024-09": 4.51, "2024-12": 3.09, "2025-03": 4.06, "2025-06": 5.48, "2025-09": 5.95, "2025-12": 3.26, "2026-03": 4.42,
EPS CAGR: -3.03%
EPS Trend: 29.7%
Last SUE: -0.20
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of COF over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 7552, 2021-06: 7770, 2021-09: 8212, 2021-12: 8118, 2022-03: 8173, 2022-06: 8232, 2022-09: 8805, 2022-12: 11001, 2023-03: 11471, 2023-06: 12065, 2023-09: 12816, 2023-12: 13132, 2024-03: 13091, 2024-06: 13267, 2024-09: 13798, 2024-12: 13809, 2025-03: 13405, 2025-06: 16410, 2025-09: 19823, 2025-12: 19614, 2026-03: 19317,
Rev. CAGR: 25.54%
Rev. Trend: 94.3%
Last SUE: 0.74
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Share dilution 62.3% YoY

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: COF Capital One Financial

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) is a financial services holding company headquartered in McLean, Virginia. Operating through Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking segments, the firm provides diverse lending and deposit products across the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Its distribution model utilizes a mix of digital platforms, traditional branches, and specialized Capital One Cafés to serve retail and commercial clients.

As a major player in the Consumer Finance sub-industry, Capital One relies heavily on net interest income and interchange fees generated from its extensive credit card portfolio. Unlike traditional regional banks, the company’s business model is characterized by high-volume data analytics used to price risk in the subprime and near-prime credit markets. For a deeper look into these risk metrics, you may find further insights on ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin fluctuations driven by Federal Reserve monetary policy shifts
  • Credit card delinquency rates and provision for loan losses impact profitability
  • Proposed acquisition of Discover Financial Services faces significant antitrust regulatory scrutiny
  • Consumer credit demand and spending volume influence interchange and interest income
  • Auto loan portfolio performance sensitive to used vehicle pricing and employment data
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 3.22b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.48 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -419.7% < 20% (prev -577.0%; Δ 157.3% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 29.07b > Net Income 3.22b
Net Debt (-118.26b) to EBITDA (7.70b): -15.36 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.36 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (623.4m) vs 12m ago 62.34% < -2%
Gross Margin: 48.31% > 18% (prev 0.52%; Δ 4.78k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 12.78% > 50% (prev 11.00%; Δ 1.78% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.03 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 7.70b / Interest Expense TTM 16.50b)
Altman Z'' -2.59
A: -0.46 (Total Current Assets 175.03b - Total Current Liabilities 490.51b) / Total Assets 682.72b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 66.79b / Total Assets 682.72b)
C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 552.0m / Avg Total Assets 588.16b)
D: 0.11 (Book Value of Equity 60.92b / Total Liabilities 570.64b)
Altman-Z'' Score: -2.59 = D
Beneish M -2.84
DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 3.46b/2.60b, Revenue 75.16b/54.28b)
GMI: 1.08 (GM 48.31% / 52.20%)
AQI: 0.84 (AQ_t 0.74 / AQ_t-1 0.88)
SGI: 1.38 (Revenue 75.16b / 54.28b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 3.22b - CFO 29.07b) / TA 682.72b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.84 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of COF shares? As of May 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 187.17 with a total of 3,829,191 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.76%, over one month by -9.01%, over three months by -10.48% and over the past year by -3.90%.
Is COF a buy, sell or hold? Capital One Financial has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.18. Therefore, it is recommended to buy COF.
  • StrongBuy: 11
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 7
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the COF price?
Analysts Target Price 255.2 36.3%
Capital One Financial (COF) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 17 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 57.4141
P/E Forward = 9.6432
P/S = 3.2077
P/B = 1.0503
P/EG = 0.2035
Revenue TTM = 75.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 552.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 7.70b USD
Long Term Debt = 48.85b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 626.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 50.54b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -118.26b USD (recalculated: Debt 50.54b - CCE 168.81b)
Enterprise Value = 116.47b USD (floored to Market Cap, CCE > MCap+Debt)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.03 (Ebit TTM 552.0m / Interest Expense TTM 16.50b)
EV/FCF = 4.03x (Enterprise Value 116.47b / FCF TTM 28.87b)
FCF Yield = 24.79% (FCF TTM 28.87b / Enterprise Value 116.47b)
FCF Margin = 38.41% (FCF TTM 28.87b / Revenue TTM 75.16b)
Net Margin = 4.29% (Net Income TTM 3.22b / Revenue TTM 75.16b)
Gross Margin = 48.31% ((Revenue TTM 75.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 38.85b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 57.79% (prev 57.36%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.17 (Enterprise Value 116.47b / Total Assets 682.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.08% (Interest Expense 4.09b / Debt 50.54b)
Taxrate = 19.19% (518.0m / 2.70b)
NOPAT = 446.1m (EBIT 552.0m * (1 - 19.19%))
Current Ratio = 0.36 (Total Current Assets 175.03b / Total Current Liabilities 490.51b)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 50.54b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 112.26b)
Debt / EBITDA = -15.36 (Net Debt -118.26b / EBITDA 7.70b)
Debt / FCF = -4.10 (Net Debt -118.26b / FCF TTM 28.87b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 112.66b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.55% (Net Income 3.22b / Total Assets 682.72b)
RoE = 2.86% (Net Income TTM 3.22b / Total Stockholder Equity 112.66b)
RoCE = 0.34% (EBIT 552.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 112.66b + L.T.Debt 48.85b))
RoIC = 0.27% (NOPAT 446.1m / Invested Capital 163.85b)
WACC = 9.64% (E(116.47b)/V(167.02b) * Re(10.99%) + D(50.54b)/V(167.02b) * Rd(8.08%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 10.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 71.91 | Cagr: 24.20%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.43% ; FCFF base≈24.73b ; Y1≈30.50b ; Y5≈52.04b
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.26k (EV 666.58b - Net Debt -118.26b = Equity 784.84b / Shares 622.3m; r=9.64% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 29.73 | EPS CAGR: -3.03% | SUE: -0.20 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.25 | Revenue CAGR: 25.54% | SUE: 0.74 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=4.76 | Chg30d=-5.94% | Revisions=-29% | Analysts=14
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=5.48 | Chg30d=-3.58% | Revisions=-47% | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.71 | Chg30d=-1.34% | Revisions=-67% | GrowthEPS=+0.5% | GrowthRev=+19.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=24.14 | Chg30d=-1.08% | Revisions=-65% | GrowthEPS=+22.5% | GrowthRev=+5.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -67%