Overview Dividends

(CXW) CoreCivic - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US21871N1019

Jails, Prisons, Detention

CXW EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -16.60%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 1.2%

CXW Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 5.52%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 76.4%

Description: CXW CoreCivic

CoreCivic Inc (NYSE:CXW) is a publicly traded company operating in the Security & Alarm Services sub-industry, providing correctional and detention management services, as well as real estate investment and development. Its business model is heavily influenced by government policies and budget allocations.

The companys financial performance is closely tied to key economic drivers such as government spending on corrections and detention facilities, occupancy rates, and per diem rates. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) to watch include revenue growth, EBITDA margins, and return on equity (RoE), which currently stands at 5.73%. A rising RoE indicates improving profitability.

CoreCivics valuation multiples, including a P/E ratio of 25.47 and forward P/E of 21.10, suggest the market is pricing in moderate growth expectations. The companys market capitalization is approximately $2.14 billion, indicating a mid-cap status with relatively stable liquidity, as evidenced by an average trading volume of 944,000 shares.

To drive growth, CoreCivic must navigate complex legislative and regulatory environments, while maintaining high occupancy rates and negotiating favorable contracts with government agencies. The companys ability to adapt to changing government policies, such as reforms aimed at reducing incarceration rates, will be crucial to its long-term success.

CXW Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	2,229m
Sub-Industry	Security & Alarm Services
IPO / Inception	1997-07-15

CXW Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	64.1%
Fundamental	55.9%
Dividend Rating	9.42%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	27.2%
Analyst Rating	5.0 of 5

CXW Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

CXW Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	-49.5%
Growth Correlation 12m	38.6%
Growth Correlation 5y	85.3%
CAGR 5y	16.92%
CAGR/Max DD 5y	0.43
Sharpe Ratio 12m	-0.31
Alpha	22.19
Beta	1.618
Volatility	36.82%
Current Volume	1119.6k
Average Volume 20d	1061.9k
Stop Loss	19.5 (-3.8%)
Signal	0.67

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0

Net Income (104.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 119.9m TTM)

FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.28pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 9.18% (prev 5.93%; Δ 3.25pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 271.9m > Net Income 104.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (-130.5m) to EBITDA (324.9m) ratio: -0.40 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.60 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (109.2m) change vs 12m ago -1.61% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 24.22% (prev 18.80%; Δ 5.42pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 66.87% (prev 67.71%; Δ -0.84pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 5.79 (EBITDA TTM 324.9m / Interest Expense TTM 34.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 0.54

(A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 487.4m - Total Current Liabilities 304.0m) / Total Assets 3.07b

(B) -0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -176.3m / Total Assets 3.07b

(D) -0.11 = Book Value of Equity -175.2m / Total Liabilities 1.59b

Total Rating: 0.54 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 55.86

1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0

2. FCF Yield 5.48% = 2.74

3. FCF Margin 8.55% = 2.14

4. Debt/Equity 0.69 = 2.27

5. Debt/Ebitda 3.14 = -1.95

6. ROIC - WACC -1.90% = -2.38

7. RoE 7.03% = 0.59

8. Rev. Trend 76.41% = 3.82

9. Rev. CAGR 5.52% = 0.69

10. EPS Trend 1.20% = 0.03

11. EPS CAGR -16.60% = -2.08

What is the price of CXW shares?

As of August 31, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 20.28 with a total of 1,119,646 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.45%, over one month by +1.60%, over three months by -7.48% and over the past year by +48.79%.

Is CoreCivic a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, CoreCivic is currently (August 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 55.86 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CXW is around 20.01 USD . This means that CXW is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -1.33%.

Is CXW a buy, sell or hold?

CoreCivic has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CXW.

Strong Buy: 4
Buy: 0
Hold: 0
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CXW price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	31.5	55.3%
Analysts Target Price	31.5	55.3%
ValueRay Target Price	22.2	9.5%

Last update: 2025-08-19 02:47

CXW Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 2.23b (2.23b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 130.5m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 22.1489
P/E Forward = 24.2131
P/S = 1.1158
P/B = 1.5086
P/EG = 1.44
Beta = 0.801
Revenue TTM = 2.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 199.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 324.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.01b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 13.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.02b USD (Calculated: Short Term 13.9m + Long Term 1.01b)
Net Debt = -130.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.12b USD (2.23b + Debt 1.02b - CCE 130.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.79 (Ebit TTM 199.2m / Interest Expense TTM 34.4m)
FCF Yield = 5.48% (FCF TTM 170.8m / Enterprise Value 3.12b)
FCF Margin = 8.55% (FCF TTM 170.8m / Revenue TTM 2.00b)
Net Margin = 5.21% (Net Income TTM 104.0m / Revenue TTM 2.00b)
Gross Margin = 24.22% ((Revenue TTM 2.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.51b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -17.80 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 3.12b / Book Value Of Equity -175.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = -1.23% (Interest Expense -12.5m / Debt 1.02b)
Taxrate = 25.11% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 23.1m / 92.0m)
NOPAT = 149.2m (EBIT 199.2m * (1 - 25.11%))
Current Ratio = 1.60 (Total Current Assets 487.4m / Total Current Liabilities 304.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 1.02b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.48b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.14 (Net Debt -130.5m / EBITDA 324.9m)
Debt / FCF = 5.98 (Debt 1.02b / FCF TTM 170.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.48b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 3.39% (Net Income 104.0m, Total Assets 3.07b )
RoE = 7.03% (Net Income TTM 104.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.48b)
RoCE = 8.01% (Ebit 199.2m / (Equity 1.48b + L.T.Debt 1.01b))
RoIC = 6.03% (NOPAT 149.2m / Invested Capital 2.48b)
WACC = 7.93% (E(2.23b)/V(3.25b) * Re(11.98%)) + (D(1.02b)/V(3.25b) * Rd(-1.23%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.40%
Discount Rate = 11.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.74% ; FCFE base≈170.3m ; Y1≈183.7m ; Y5≈226.7m
Fair Price DCF = 20.67 (DCF Value 2.21b / Shares Outstanding 107.1m; 5y FCF grow 8.85% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 76.41 | Revenue CAGR: 5.52%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -1.63
EPS Correlation: 1.20 | EPS CAGR: -16.60%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 86.46

Additional Sources for CXW Stock

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