(CXW) CoreCivic - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Security & Protection Services | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 2.126m USD | Total Return: -3.8% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 19.8M
EPS Trend: 95.7%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 88.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Choppy
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) is a diversified government solutions provider specializing in the ownership and management of partnership correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities across the United States. Based in Brentwood, Tennessee, the company operates through three primary segments: CoreCivic Safety, CoreCivic Community, and CoreCivic Properties. Its business model relies on long-term contracts with federal, state, and local government agencies to provide essential infrastructure and rehabilitative services, including vocational training, substance abuse treatment, and healthcare.
The company operates within the specialized private prison industry, where revenue is largely driven by inmate population levels and government outsourcing trends. As a real estate-heavy entity, CoreCivic also manages a portfolio of government-leased properties, providing specialized facilities designed for secure occupancy and administrative use. To better understand these contractual obligations and long-term debt structures, investors may find it useful to examine the deeper data available on ValueRay.
- Federal detention contract renewals drive long-term revenue stability and cash flow
- Immigration policy shifts impact occupancy levels at ICE-contracted detention facilities
- High interest rates increase debt servicing costs for capital-intensive real estate
- State-level budget allocations determine pricing power for private prison management services
- Regulatory scrutiny of private corrections operators influences valuation and ESG risk premiums
| Net Income: 129.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.49 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 18.76% < 20% (prev 7.53%; Δ 11.23% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 163.9m > Net Income 129.3m |
| Net Debt (1.32b) to EBITDA (373.8m): 3.53 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.44 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (104.0m) vs 12m ago -5.85% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.18% > 18% (prev 0.22%; Δ 2.20k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 73.38% > 50% (prev 64.93%; Δ 8.45% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.74 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 373.8m / Interest Expense TTM 64.7m) |
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 743.5m - Total Current Liabilities 305.0m) / Total Assets 3.37b |
| B: -0.03 (Retained Earnings -85.6m / Total Assets 3.37b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 242.1m / Avg Total Assets 3.19b) |
| D: -0.04 (Book Value of Equity -84.6m / Total Liabilities 1.97b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.24 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.42 (Receivables 479.8m/282.1m, Revenue 2.34b/1.95b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 22.18% / 21.93%) |
| AQI: 0.84 (AQ_t 0.15 / AQ_t-1 0.18) |
| SGI: 1.20 (Revenue 2.34b / 1.95b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 129.3m - CFO 163.9m) / TA 3.37b) |
| Beneish M = -2.65 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of May 31, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 21.08 with a total of 784,872 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.19%,
over one month by +2.63%,
over three months by +19.23% and
over the past year by -3.83%.
CoreCivic has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CXW.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 29.8 | 41.4% |
P/E Trailing = 17.4797
P/E Forward = 13.4409
P/S = 0.9096
P/B = 1.5234
P/EG = 1.0611
Revenue TTM = 2.34b USD
EBIT TTM = 242.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 373.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.38b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 16.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 130.4m
Net Debt = 1.32b USD (calculated: Debt 1.53b - CCE 209.7m)
Enterprise Value = 3.44b USD (2.13b + Debt 1.53b - CCE 209.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.74 (Ebit TTM 242.1m / Interest Expense TTM 64.7m)
EV/FCF = 131.9x (Enterprise Value 3.44b / FCF TTM 26.1m)
FCF Yield = 0.76% (FCF TTM 26.1m / Enterprise Value 3.44b)
FCF Margin = 1.12% (FCF TTM 26.1m / Revenue TTM 2.34b)
Net Margin = 5.53% (Net Income TTM 129.3m / Revenue TTM 2.34b)
Gross Margin = 22.18% ((Revenue TTM 2.34b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.82b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.49% (prev 22.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.02 (Enterprise Value 3.44b / Total Assets 3.37b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.23% (Interest Expense 64.7m / Debt 1.53b)
Taxrate = 27.52% (14.4m / 52.3m)
NOPAT = 175.5m (EBIT 242.1m * (1 - 27.52%))
Current Ratio = 2.44 (Total Current Assets 743.5m / Total Current Liabilities 305.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.09 (Debt 1.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.40b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.53 (Net Debt 1.32b / EBITDA 373.8m)
Debt / FCF = 50.48 (Net Debt 1.32b / FCF TTM 26.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.44b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.06% (Net Income 129.3m / Total Assets 3.37b)
RoE = 8.49% (Net Income TTM 129.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.52b)
RoCE = 8.34% (EBIT 242.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.52b + L.T.Debt 1.38b))
RoIC = 5.86% (NOPAT 175.5m / Invested Capital 2.99b)
WACC = 5.32% (E(2.13b)/V(3.65b) * Re(6.94%) + D(1.53b)/V(3.65b) * Rd(4.23%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 6.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -87.41 | Cagr: -4.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈78.9m ; Y1≈69.2m ; Y5≈55.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 897.2m - Net Debt 1.32b = -421.1m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 95.74 | EPS CAGR: 30.15% | SUE: 2.01 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 88.72 | Revenue CAGR: 6.93% | SUE: 0.58 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.34 | Chg30d=-13.38% | Revisions=-43% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.43 | Chg30d=-9.47% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.60 | Chg30d=-0.62% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+45.7% | GrowthRev=+15.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.99 | Chg30d=-3.63% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=+24.2% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50%