(EGP) EastGroup Properties - Ratings and Ratios
Industrial, Warehouse, Logistics, Distribution
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.15% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.98% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 14.75% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 120.8% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 21.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 35.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.51% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.29 |
| Alpha | 1.24 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.40 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.415 |
| Beta | 0.685 |
| Beta Downside | 0.678 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 22.37% |
| Mean DD | 6.54% |
| Median DD | 5.80% |
Description: EGP EastGroup Properties November 04, 2025
EastGroup Properties, Inc. (NYSE: EGP) is a self-administered REIT that develops, acquires, and operates industrial distribution facilities in high-growth U.S. markets, with a geographic focus on Texas, Florida, California, Arizona, and North Carolina. The company targets “location-sensitive” tenants requiring 20,000–100,000 sq ft of flexible, high-quality space, and it concentrates its assets near major transportation corridors in supply-constrained sub-markets. Its current portfolio-comprising owned properties, under-construction projects, and value-add acquisitions-covers roughly 64.4 million sq ft.
Key operating metrics (FY 2023) show an occupancy rate of about 96 % and a Funds-From-Operations (FFO) of $0.48 per share, reflecting a 7 % year-over-year increase driven by strong e-commerce demand and limited new supply in its target sub-markets. The industrial REIT sector is currently sensitive to three macro drivers: (1) the continued shift toward online retail and last-mile delivery, (2) reshoring and inventory-stockpiling trends that raise demand for regional distribution hubs, and (3) rising interest rates, which compress cap-rate spreads and can pressure valuation multiples.
For a deeper dive into EGP’s valuation metrics and comparable REITs, you might explore the analysis on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (248.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 41.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.21pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -24.63% (prev -15.34%; Δ -9.29pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 469.9m > Net Income 248.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.52b) to EBITDA (457.0m) ratio: 3.32 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.42 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (53.3m) change vs 12m ago 8.70% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 57.82% (prev 72.68%; Δ -14.86pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 13.77% (prev 13.12%; Δ 0.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.69 (EBITDA TTM 457.0m / Interest Expense TTM 31.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.36
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 122.0m - Total Current Liabilities 293.5m) / Total Assets 5.35b |
| (B) -0.08 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -443.8m / Total Assets 5.35b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 277.1m / Avg Total Assets 5.05b |
| (D) -0.24 = Book Value of Equity -435.0m / Total Liabilities 1.85b |
| Total Rating: -0.36 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.64
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.56% |
| 3. FCF Margin 57.06% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.43 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.32 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.93)% |
| 7. RoE 7.33% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 99.18% |
| 9. EPS Trend 24.29% |
What is the price of EGP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.89%, over one month by +3.29%, over three months by +12.75% and over the past year by +11.01%.
Is EGP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 11
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EGP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 194.3 | 6.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 194.3 | 6.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 197.3 | 8% |
EGP Fundamental Data Overview December 05, 2025
P/E Trailing = 37.8365
P/S = 13.8308
P/B = 2.7253
P/EG = 5.78
Beta = 1.123
Revenue TTM = 696.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 277.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 457.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 42.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.52b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.52b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.14b USD (9.63b + Debt 1.52b - CCE 2.98m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.69 (Ebit TTM 277.1m / Interest Expense TTM 31.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.56% (FCF TTM 397.2m / Enterprise Value 11.14b)
FCF Margin = 57.06% (FCF TTM 397.2m / Revenue TTM 696.2m)
Net Margin = 35.67% (Net Income TTM 248.3m / Revenue TTM 696.2m)
Gross Margin = 57.82% ((Revenue TTM 696.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 293.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.92% (prev 42.72%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.08 (Enterprise Value 11.14b / Total Assets 5.35b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.51% (Interest Expense 7.68m / Debt 1.52b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 218.9m (EBIT 277.1m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.42 (Total Current Assets 122.0m / Total Current Liabilities 293.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.43 (Debt 1.52b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.51b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.32 (Net Debt 1.52b / EBITDA 457.0m)
Debt / FCF = 3.82 (Net Debt 1.52b / FCF TTM 397.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.39b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.64% (Net Income 248.3m / Total Assets 5.35b)
RoE = 7.33% (Net Income TTM 248.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.39b)
RoCE = 5.74% (EBIT 277.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.39b + L.T.Debt 1.44b))
RoIC = 4.50% (NOPAT 218.9m / Invested Capital 4.86b)
WACC = 7.43% (E(9.63b)/V(11.15b) * Re(8.54%) + D(1.52b)/V(11.15b) * Rd(0.51%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.48%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.28% ; FCFE base≈375.3m ; Y1≈423.8m ; Y5≈573.1m
Fair Price DCF = 169.4 (DCF Value 9.04b / Shares Outstanding 53.3m; 5y FCF grow 15.00% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 24.29 | EPS CAGR: -8.39% | SUE: 0.20 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.18 | Revenue CAGR: 15.13% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.19 | Chg30d=+0.018 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.26 | Chg30d=+0.024 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+8.2% | Growth Revenue=+8.7%
Additional Sources for EGP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle