GEF-B Stock Analysis: Greif | NYSE

Steel Drums, Fiber Drums, Plastic Drums, Adhesives

Total Rating 63

Safety 90

Buy Signal 1.62

Packaging & Containers
Industry Rotation: +2.6

Market Cap: 4.21B
Avg Turnover: 6.26M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility26.1%

VaR 5^th Pctl4.36%

VaR vs Median1.23%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio1.81

Rel. Str. IBD90.5

Rel. Str. Peer Group84.4

Character TTM

Beta0.476

Beta Downside0.095

Hurst Exponent0.543

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD28.37%

CAGR/Max DD0.72

CAGR/Mean DD2.05

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -11.86%
EPS Trend: -56.8%

Last SUE: 1.60
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -15.58%
Rev. Trend: -93.6%

Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8

Rs Leader

Idiosyncratic Leader

Confidence

Tailwind

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -2.2% 19

Feb -2.0% 19

Mar +3.1% 18

Apr -1.0% 14

May -2.4% 6

Jun +5.1% 34

Jul -0.6% 16

Aug -0.8% 16

Sep +2.5% 13

Oct -2.0% 15

Nov +9.4% 58

Dec +0.3% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: GEF-B Greif

Greif, Inc. is a global producer of industrial packaging products and services, operating through four business segments: Customized Polymer Solutions (plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, and small plastics), Durable Metal Solutions (steel drums and related products), Sustainable Fiber Solutions (fibre drums, recycled board, tubes, cores, and specialty partitions), and Integrated Solutions (complementary products such as paints, linings, closure systems, and packaging services).

The company manufactures a broad range of rigid industrial packaging, including steel, fibre, and plastic drums, IBCs, jerrycans, water bottles, and remanufactured or reconditioned containers, and offers container life cycle management, logistics, and warehousing services. In addition to its core packaging operations, Greif purchases and sells recycled fiber and produces adhesives.

Greif serves a diverse set of B2B end markets, including chemicals, food and beverage, agriculture, petroleum, pharmaceuticals, paints and coatings, automotive, construction, and building products. The company is classified within the Materials sector and the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry, reflecting its heavy weighting in steel-based and other metal packaging alongside its polymer and fiber product lines. Founded in 1877 and headquartered in Delaware, Ohio, Greif operated as Greif Bros. Corporation before adopting its current name in 2001.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Steel input cost volatility pressures Durable Metal Solutions margins
Sustainable Fiber Solutions benefits from shift to recyclable packaging
Industrial demand weakness impacts Customized Polymer Solutions volumes

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0

Net Income: 986.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.15 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 10.85% < 20% (prev 8.12%; Δ 2.73% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -77.5m > Net Income 986.1m
Net Debt (1.15b) to EBITDA (532.1m): 2.16 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.29 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (57.6m) vs 12m ago -1.06% < -2%
Gross Margin: 22.82% > 18% (prev 21.06%; Δ 1.76% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 54.26% > 50% (prev 67.23%; Δ -12.97% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 23.56 > 6 (EBIT TTM 318.0m / Interest Expense TTM 13.5m)

Altman Z'' 3.91

A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 1.64b - Total Current Liabilities 1.27b) / Total Assets 5.70b
B: 0.59 (Retained Earnings 3.36b / Total Assets 5.70b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 318.0m / Avg Total Assets 6.23b)
D: 1.17 (Book Value of Equity 3.00b / Total Liabilities 2.57b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.91 = AA

Beneish M -3.07

DSRI: 1.25 (Receivables 747.0m/803.7m, Revenue 3.38b/4.54b)
GMI: 0.92 (GM 21.06% / 22.82%)
AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.48 / AQ_t-1 0.49)
SGI: 0.74 (Revenue 3.38b / 4.54b)
TATA: 0.19 (NI 986.1m - CFO -77.5m) / TA 5.70b)
Beneish M = -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of GEF-B shares?

As of August 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 111.77 with a total of 17,677 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.15%, over one month by +27.87%, over three months by +37.12% and over the past year by +65.10%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 107.30 (which is 4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is GEF-B a buy, sell or hold?

Greif has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GEF-B.

StrongBuy: 1
Buy: 0
Hold: 0
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GEF-B price?

Analysts Target Price	93	-16.8%

Greif (GEF-B) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 08 August 2026

Market Cap USD = 4.21b (4.21b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 30.7479
P/E Forward = 7.3529
P/S = 0.9777
P/B = 1.3707
P/EG = 0.6737
Revenue TTM = 3.38b USD
EBIT TTM = 318.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 532.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 687.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 389.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.44b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 203.2m
Net Debt = 1.15b USD (calculated: Debt 1.44b - CCE 288.5m)
Enterprise Value = 5.36b USD (4.21b + Debt 1.44b - CCE 288.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 23.56 (Ebit TTM 318.0m / Interest Expense TTM 13.5m)
EV/FCF = -23.19x (Enterprise Value 5.36b / FCF TTM -230.9m)
FCF Yield = -4.31% (FCF TTM -230.9m / Enterprise Value 5.36b)
FCF Margin = -6.83% (FCF TTM -230.9m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Net Margin = 29.17% (Net Income TTM 986.1m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Gross Margin = 22.82% ((Revenue TTM 3.38b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.39% (prev 23.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 5.36b / Total Assets 5.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.94% (Interest Expense 13.5m / Debt 1.44b)
Taxrate = 32.22% (98.1m / 304.5m)
NOPAT = 215.6m (EBIT 318.0m * (1 - 32.22%))
Current Ratio = 1.29 (Total Current Assets 1.64b / Total Current Liabilities 1.27b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.16 (Net Debt 1.15b / EBITDA 532.1m)
Debt / FCF = -4.97 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.15b / FCF TTM -230.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.83% (Net Income 986.1m / Total Assets 5.70b)
RoE = 33.43% (Net Income TTM 986.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.95b)
RoCE = 8.74% (EBIT 318.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.95b + L.T.Debt 687.4m))
RoIC = 4.63% (NOPAT 215.6m / Invested Capital 4.66b)
WACC = 5.87% (E(4.21b)/V(5.64b) * Re(7.66%) + D(1.44b)/V(5.64b) * Rd(0.94%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 7.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 72.65 | Cagr: 9.50%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -230.9m)
EPS Correlation: -56.77 | EPS CAGR: -11.86% | SUE: 1.60 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -93.62 | Revenue CAGR: -15.58% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.07 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=6.38 | Chg30d=+14.66% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+113.4% | GrowthRev=+10.0%
EPS next Year (2026-10-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+8.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -25% (up=0, down=1)