(GEF-B) Greif - Ratings and Ratios
Drums, IBCs, Cores, Liners, Closure
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.08% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.35% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 5.16% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 84.3% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 26.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 40.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.55% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.99 |
| Alpha | 23.37 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.22 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.367 |
| Beta | 0.705 |
| Beta Downside | 0.634 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 29.55% |
| Mean DD | 13.90% |
| Median DD | 14.98% |
Description: GEF-B Greif January 16, 2026
Greif, Inc. (NYSE: GEF-B) is a global industrial-packaging company operating through four segments: Customized Polymer Solutions (plastic drums, IBCs, and small containers), Durable Metal Solutions (steel drums for chemicals, petroleum, agriculture, and coatings), Sustainable Fiber Solutions (recycled-board drums, tubes, cores, and specialty partitions), and Integrated Solutions (paints, linings, closures, and related services). The firm also offers container life-cycle management, logistics, warehousing, and sells recycled fiber and adhesives, leveraging its heritage dating back to 1877.
Key operational metrics show the business’s resilience: FY-2024 revenue was approximately $4.1 billion with an adjusted EBITDA margin of ~13%, while the Sustainable Fiber segment contributed over 30% of total sales, reflecting strong demand for recycled packaging amid tightening environmental regulations. Greif’s exposure to commodity price cycles (steel, resin, and recycled fiber) and its strategic focus on “circular economy” solutions are primary drivers of earnings volatility and growth potential.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, consult the ValueRay dashboard to explore Greif’s valuation multiples and scenario analyses.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: 821.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.96 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 15.16% < 20% (prev 15.43%; Δ -0.27% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 48.1m > Net Income 821.1m |
| Net Debt (1.13b) to EBITDA (360.4m): 3.15 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.47 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (47.6m) vs 12m ago 0.42% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 21.59% > 18% (prev 0.21%; Δ 2139 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 55.92% > 50% (prev 66.66%; Δ -10.74% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.00 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 360.4m / Interest Expense TTM 142.8m) |
Altman Z'' (< 1.1 .. > 2.6) 4.16
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 1.66b - Total Current Liabilities 1.13b) / Total Assets 5.77b |
| B: 0.43 (Retained Earnings 2.51b / Total Assets 5.77b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 143.5m / Avg Total Assets 6.30b) |
| D: 1.89 (Book Value of Equity 5.14b / Total Liabilities 2.72b) |
| Total Rating: 4.16= AA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 37.33
| 1. Piotroski: 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: -2.06% |
| 3. FCF Margin: -2.88% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 0.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 3.15 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: -4.38% |
| 7. RoE: 35.81% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: -59.32% |
| 9. EPS Trend: -41.32% |
What is the price of GEF-B shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.51%, over one month by +11.89%, over three months by +34.72% and over the past year by +34.48%.
Is GEF-B a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GEF-B price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 93 | 11.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 93 | 11.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 93.3 | 12.2% |
GEF-B Fundamental Data Overview January 17, 2026
P/S = 0.8863
P/B = 1.1106
Revenue TTM = 3.52b USD
EBIT TTM = 143.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 360.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 331.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.39b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.13b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.94b USD (3.80b + Debt 1.39b - CCE 256.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.00 (Ebit TTM 143.5m / Interest Expense TTM 142.8m)
EV/FCF = -48.63x (Enterprise Value 4.94b / FCF TTM -101.5m)
FCF Yield = -2.06% (FCF TTM -101.5m / Enterprise Value 4.94b)
FCF Margin = -2.88% (FCF TTM -101.5m / Revenue TTM 3.52b)
Net Margin = 23.30% (Net Income TTM 821.1m / Revenue TTM 3.52b)
Gross Margin = 21.59% ((Revenue TTM 3.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.49% (prev 23.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.86 (Enterprise Value 4.94b / Total Assets 5.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.23% (Interest Expense 31.0m / Debt 1.39b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 113.4m (EBIT 143.5m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.47 (Total Current Assets 1.66b / Total Current Liabilities 1.13b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.91b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.15 (Net Debt 1.13b / EBITDA 360.4m)
Debt / FCF = -11.17 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.13b / FCF TTM -101.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.03% (Net Income 821.1m / Total Assets 5.77b)
RoE = 35.81% (Net Income TTM 821.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.29b)
RoCE = 3.18% (EBIT 143.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.29b + L.T.Debt 2.22b))
RoIC = 2.32% (NOPAT 113.4m / Invested Capital 4.88b)
WACC = 6.70% (E(3.80b)/V(5.19b) * Re(8.51%) + D(1.39b)/V(5.19b) * Rd(2.23%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -9.37%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -101.5m)
EPS Correlation: -41.32 | EPS CAGR: -5.63% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -59.32 | Revenue CAGR: -49.13% | SUE: -1.94 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.97 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=6.77 | Chg30d=+0.320 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+126.6% | Growth Revenue=+10.8%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=7.64 | Chg30d=+0.820 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+12.8% | Growth Revenue=+1.6%
Additional Sources for GEF-B Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle