(GEF-B) Greif - Ratings and Ratios
Industrial Packaging, Containerboard, Corrugated Products, Recycled Paperboard
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.62% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.34% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 4.78% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 58.8% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 26.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 39.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.84% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.05 |
| Alpha | -13.82 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.13 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.421 |
| Beta | 0.711 |
| Beta Downside | 0.608 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 29.55% |
| Mean DD | 13.92% |
| Median DD | 14.98% |
Description: GEF-B Greif November 13, 2025
Greif, Inc. (NYSE: GEF-B) is a global industrial-packaging company that designs, manufactures, and services a broad portfolio of rigid containers (steel, fibre, plastic drums, IBCs, jerrycans), transit-protection solutions, and water-bottle packaging, as well as offering lifecycle-management, logistics, and warehousing services for those containers.
Beyond packaging, Greif produces containerboard, corrugated sheets and containers, and both coated and uncoated recycled paperboard, supplying end-markets such as automotive, food, and building products. The firm also trades recycled fiber, manufactures adhesives, and holds timberland assets for timber harvesting and regeneration.
Key operating metrics (FY 2024) include ≈ $9.3 billion in revenue, an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 13 %, and a free-cash-flow conversion rate near 75 %. The business is sensitive to macro-drivers such as industrial production cycles, commodity price volatility (steel, pulp), and the global push toward sustainable, recyclable packaging solutions.
Sector trends that bolster Greif’s outlook are the accelerating shift to circular-economy packaging (driven by EU and U.S. regulatory pressure) and the continued growth in e-commerce fulfillment, which raises demand for durable, reusable containers and advanced logistics services.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Greif’s valuation and risk profile, you may find it worthwhile to explore the analyst tools available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (821.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 211.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.96pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 15.16% (prev 15.43%; Δ -0.27pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 48.1m <= Net Income 821.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.13b) to EBITDA (360.4m) ratio: 3.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.47 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (47.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.42% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 21.59% (prev 20.78%; Δ 0.81pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 55.92% (prev 66.66%; Δ -10.74pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.78 (EBITDA TTM 360.4m / Interest Expense TTM 80.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.16
| (A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 1.66b - Total Current Liabilities 1.13b) / Total Assets 5.77b |
| (B) 0.43 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.51b / Total Assets 5.77b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 143.5m / Avg Total Assets 6.30b |
| (D) 1.89 = Book Value of Equity 5.14b / Total Liabilities 2.72b |
| Total Rating: 4.16 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 40.90
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.41% |
| 3. FCF Margin -2.88% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.15 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.38)% |
| 7. RoE 35.81% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -59.32% |
| 9. EPS Trend -41.32% |
What is the price of GEF-B shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.69%, over one month by +16.19%, over three months by +12.97% and over the past year by +0.66%.
Is GEF-B a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GEF-B price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 93 | 31.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 93 | 31.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 75.4 | 6.8% |
GEF-B Fundamental Data Overview December 06, 2025
P/E Trailing = 18.6556
P/S = 0.745
P/B = 0.9461
Beta = 0.977
Revenue TTM = 3.52b USD
EBIT TTM = 143.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 360.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 331.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.39b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.13b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.20b USD (3.07b + Debt 1.39b - CCE 256.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.78 (Ebit TTM 143.5m / Interest Expense TTM 80.8m)
FCF Yield = -2.41% (FCF TTM -101.5m / Enterprise Value 4.20b)
FCF Margin = -2.88% (FCF TTM -101.5m / Revenue TTM 3.52b)
Net Margin = 23.30% (Net Income TTM 821.1m / Revenue TTM 3.52b)
Gross Margin = 21.59% ((Revenue TTM 3.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.49% (prev 23.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.73 (Enterprise Value 4.20b / Total Assets 5.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = -2.23% (Interest Expense -31.0m / Debt 1.39b)
Taxrate = -25.67% (negative due to tax credits) (15.4m / -60.0m)
NOPAT = 180.3m (EBIT 143.5m * (1 - -25.67%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.47 (Total Current Assets 1.66b / Total Current Liabilities 1.13b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.91b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.15 (Net Debt 1.13b / EBITDA 360.4m)
Debt / FCF = -11.17 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.13b / FCF TTM -101.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.24% (Net Income 821.1m / Total Assets 5.77b)
RoE = 35.81% (Net Income TTM 821.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.29b)
RoCE = 3.18% (EBIT 143.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.29b + L.T.Debt 2.22b))
RoIC = 3.69% (NOPAT 180.3m / Invested Capital 4.88b)
WACC = 5.07% (E(3.07b)/V(4.46b) * Re(8.64%) + D(1.39b)/V(4.46b) * Rd(-2.23%) * (1-Tc(-0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -9.37%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -101.5m)
EPS Correlation: -41.32 | EPS CAGR: -5.63% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -59.32 | Revenue CAGR: -49.13% | SUE: -1.94 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=5.32 | Chg30d=-0.460 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+78.1% | Growth Revenue=+10.9%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=5.70 | Chg30d=-0.450 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+7.1% | Growth Revenue=+1.7%
Additional Sources for GEF-B Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle