(GEF-B) Greif - Overview
Stock: Drums, IBCs, Cores, Liners, Closure
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.09% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.30 |
| Alpha | 36.97 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.709 |
| Beta Downside | 0.692 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 29.55% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.27 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: GEF-B Greif January 16, 2026
Greif, Inc. (NYSE: GEF-B) is a global industrial-packaging company operating through four segments: Customized Polymer Solutions (plastic drums, IBCs, and small containers), Durable Metal Solutions (steel drums for chemicals, petroleum, agriculture, and coatings), Sustainable Fiber Solutions (recycled-board drums, tubes, cores, and specialty partitions), and Integrated Solutions (paints, linings, closures, and related services). The firm also offers container life-cycle management, logistics, warehousing, and sells recycled fiber and adhesives, leveraging its heritage dating back to 1877.
Key operational metrics show the business’s resilience: FY-2024 revenue was approximately $4.1 billion with an adjusted EBITDA margin of ~13%, while the Sustainable Fiber segment contributed over 30% of total sales, reflecting strong demand for recycled packaging amid tightening environmental regulations. Greif’s exposure to commodity price cycles (steel, resin, and recycled fiber) and its strategic focus on “circular economy” solutions are primary drivers of earnings volatility and growth potential.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, consult the ValueRay dashboard to explore Greif’s valuation multiples and scenario analyses.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 950.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.91 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 7.16% < 20% (prev 13.47%; Δ -6.31% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.03 > 3% & CFO -163.5m > Net Income 950.6m |
| Net Debt (908.6m) to EBITDA (573.5m): 1.58 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.23 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (58.5m) vs 12m ago 22.79% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 21.53% > 18% (prev 0.21%; Δ 2133 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 62.44% > 50% (prev 59.76%; Δ 2.68% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.01 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 573.5m / Interest Expense TTM 113.3m) |
Altman Z'' 4.12
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 1.44b - Total Current Liabilities 1.17b) / Total Assets 5.50b |
| B: 0.61 (Retained Earnings 3.34b / Total Assets 5.50b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 341.0m / Avg Total Assets 6.08b) |
| D: 1.38 (Book Value of Equity 3.35b / Total Liabilities 2.43b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.12 = AA |
Beneish M -3.03
| DSRI: 0.84 (Receivables 602.1m/746.9m, Revenue 3.79b/3.97b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 21.53% / 20.58%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.50 / AQ_t-1 0.50) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 3.79b / 3.97b) |
| TATA: 0.20 (NI 950.6m - CFO -163.5m) / TA 5.50b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of GEF-B shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.70%, over one month by +8.62%, over three months by +38.20% and over the past year by +48.85%.
Is GEF-B a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GEF-B price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 93 | 4.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 93 | 4.6% |
GEF-B Fundamental Data Overview February 18, 2026
P/S = 0.9108
P/B = 1.1414
Revenue TTM = 3.79b USD
EBIT TTM = 341.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 573.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 655.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 335.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 908.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.80b USD (3.89b + Debt 1.15b - CCE 243.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.01 (Ebit TTM 341.0m / Interest Expense TTM 113.3m)
EV/FCF = -16.02x (Enterprise Value 4.80b / FCF TTM -299.4m)
FCF Yield = -6.24% (FCF TTM -299.4m / Enterprise Value 4.80b)
FCF Margin = -7.89% (FCF TTM -299.4m / Revenue TTM 3.79b)
Net Margin = 25.06% (Net Income TTM 950.6m / Revenue TTM 3.79b)
Gross Margin = 21.53% ((Revenue TTM 3.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.37% (prev 33.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.87 (Enterprise Value 4.80b / Total Assets 5.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.84% (Interest Expense 9.70m / Debt 1.15b)
Taxrate = 24.36% (58.9m / 241.8m)
NOPAT = 257.9m (EBIT 341.0m * (1 - 24.36%))
Current Ratio = 1.23 (Total Current Assets 1.44b / Total Current Liabilities 1.17b)
Debt / Equity = 0.39 (Debt 1.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.94b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.58 (Net Debt 908.6m / EBITDA 573.5m)
Debt / FCF = -3.03 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 908.6m / FCF TTM -299.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.51b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.65% (Net Income 950.6m / Total Assets 5.50b)
RoE = 37.91% (Net Income TTM 950.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.51b)
RoCE = 10.78% (EBIT 341.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.51b + L.T.Debt 655.1m))
RoIC = 5.55% (NOPAT 257.9m / Invested Capital 4.65b)
WACC = 6.73% (E(3.89b)/V(5.04b) * Re(8.53%) + D(1.15b)/V(5.04b) * Rd(0.84%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.53% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.43%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -299.4m)
EPS Correlation: -53.41 | EPS CAGR: -28.27% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -54.79 | Revenue CAGR: -11.37% | SUE: -1.43 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.33 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=5.09 | Chg30d=-1.355 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+70.5% | Growth Revenue=+9.7%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=5.82 | Chg30d=-1.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+14.2% | Growth Revenue=+1.5%