GEF-B Stock Analysis: Greif | NYSE
Packaging & Containers | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.079m USD | 12M Return: 84.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 9.80M
EPS Trend: -56.8%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -93.6%
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Greif, Inc. is a global manufacturer of industrial packaging products and provider of related services, operating across four business segments: Customized Polymer Solutions, Durable Metal Solutions, Sustainable Fiber Solutions, and Integrated Solutions. The company is classified within the Materials sector (Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry) and maintains a mid-cap market position with a diversified segment structure that spans polymer, metal, and fiber-based packaging categories.
The Customized Polymer Solutions segment produces plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, and small plastics, primarily serving the chemicals, food and beverage, agricultural, pharmaceutical, and mineral products industries. The Durable Metal Solutions segment supplies steel drums to the chemicals, petroleum, agriculture, and paints and coatings markets. The Sustainable Fiber Solutions segment offers fibre drums, recycled board, tubes and cores, and specialty partitions for packaging, automotive, construction, food and beverage, and building products customers. The Integrated Solutions segment provides complementary products such as paints, linings, closure systems, and related services.
Beyond its core packaging lines, Greif manufactures rigid industrial containers (steel, fibre, and plastic drums, IBCs, jerrycans, water bottles), offers remanufactured and reconditioned containers, and provides container life cycle management, logistics, and warehousing services. The company also trades recycled fiber and produces adhesives, extending its reach across the packaging value chain. Founded in 1877 and headquartered in Delaware, Ohio, Greif was originally known as Greif Bros. Corporation before adopting its current name in 2001.
- Steel and resin raw material costs pressure product margins
- Industrial packaging demand tracks global manufacturing activity
- Sustainable fiber segment benefits from recycled packaging demand
| Net Income: 985.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.10 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 10.85% < 20% (prev 8.12%; Δ 2.73% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -74.7m > Net Income 985.1m |
| Net Debt (1.15b) to EBITDA (516.6m): 2.22 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.29 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (57.6m) vs 12m ago -1.06% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.82% > 18% (prev 21.06%; Δ 1.76% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 54.26% > 50% (prev 67.23%; Δ -12.97% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.18 > 6 (EBIT TTM 302.5m / Interest Expense TTM 58.4m) |
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 1.64b - Total Current Liabilities 1.27b) / Total Assets 5.70b |
| B: 0.59 (Retained Earnings 3.36b / Total Assets 5.70b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 302.5m / Avg Total Assets 6.23b) |
| D: 1.17 (Book Value of Equity 3.00b / Total Liabilities 2.57b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.89 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.25 (Receivables 747.0m/803.7m, Revenue 3.38b/4.54b) |
| GMI: 0.92 (GM 21.06% / 22.82%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.48 / AQ_t-1 0.49) |
| SGI: 0.74 (Revenue 3.38b / 4.54b) |
| TATA: 0.19 (NI 985.1m - CFO -74.7m) / TA 5.70b) |
| Beneish M = -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 108.04 with a total of 34,913 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.44%, over one month by +1.82%, over three months by +23.96% and over the past year by +84.78%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 102.40 (which is 5.2% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).
Greif has no consensus analysts rating.
| Analysts Target Price | 93 | -13.9% |
P/E Trailing = 32.4187
P/E Forward = 7.3529
P/S = 0.948
P/B = 1.4028
P/EG = 0.6737
Revenue TTM = 3.38b USD
EBIT TTM = 302.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 516.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 687.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 389.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.44b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 203.2m
Net Debt = 1.15b USD (calculated: Debt 1.44b - CCE 288.5m)
Enterprise Value = 5.23b USD (4.08b + Debt 1.44b - CCE 288.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.18 (Ebit TTM 302.5m / Interest Expense TTM 58.4m)
EV/FCF = -22.92x (Enterprise Value 5.23b / FCF TTM -228.1m)
FCF Yield = -4.36% (FCF TTM -228.1m / Enterprise Value 5.23b)
FCF Margin = -6.75% (FCF TTM -228.1m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Net Margin = 29.14% (Net Income TTM 985.1m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Gross Margin = 22.82% ((Revenue TTM 3.38b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.39% (prev 23.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.92 (Enterprise Value 5.23b / Total Assets 5.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.06% (Interest Expense 58.4m / Debt 1.44b)
Taxrate = 32.08% (97.5m / 303.9m)
NOPAT = 205.4m (EBIT 302.5m * (1 - 32.08%))
Current Ratio = 1.29 (Total Current Assets 1.64b / Total Current Liabilities 1.27b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.22 (Net Debt 1.15b / EBITDA 516.6m)
Debt / FCF = -5.03 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.15b / FCF TTM -228.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.81% (Net Income 985.1m / Total Assets 5.70b)
RoE = 33.40% (Net Income TTM 985.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.95b)
RoCE = 8.32% (EBIT 302.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.95b + L.T.Debt 687.4m))
RoIC = 4.41% (NOPAT 205.4m / Invested Capital 4.66b)
WACC = 6.44% (E(4.08b)/V(5.52b) * Re(7.74%) + D(1.44b)/V(5.52b) * Rd(4.06%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 7.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 72.65 | Cagr: 9.50%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -228.1m)
EPS Correlation: -56.77 | EPS CAGR: -11.86% | SUE: 1.60 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -93.62 | Revenue CAGR: -15.58% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.07 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=6.38 | Chg30d=+14.66% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+113.4% | GrowthRev=+10.0%
EPS next Year (2026-10-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+8.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=1, down=0)