(GEF-B) Greif - NYSE
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Packaging & Containers | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 3.352m USD | Total Return: 38.5% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 6.39M
EPS Trend: -80.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -93.7%
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Idiosyncratic Leader, Tailwind
Greif, Inc. is a global producer of industrial packaging products and services, operating through four business segments: Customized Polymer Solutions (plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, and small plastics), Durable Metal Solutions (steel drums and related products), Sustainable Fiber Solutions (fibre drums, recycled board, tubes, cores, and specialty partitions), and Integrated Solutions (complementary products such as paints, linings, closure systems, and packaging services).
The company manufactures a broad range of rigid industrial packaging, including steel, fibre, and plastic drums, IBCs, jerrycans, water bottles, and remanufactured or reconditioned containers, and offers container life cycle management, logistics, and warehousing services. In addition to its core packaging operations, Greif purchases and sells recycled fiber and produces adhesives.
Greif serves a diverse set of B2B end markets, including chemicals, food and beverage, agriculture, petroleum, pharmaceuticals, paints and coatings, automotive, construction, and building products. The company is classified within the Materials sector and the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry, reflecting its heavy weighting in steel-based and other metal packaging alongside its polymer and fiber product lines. Founded in 1877 and headquartered in Delaware, Ohio, Greif operated as Greif Bros. Corporation before adopting its current name in 2001.
- Steel input cost volatility pressures Durable Metal Solutions margins
- Sustainable Fiber Solutions benefits from shift to recyclable packaging
- Industrial demand weakness impacts Customized Polymer Solutions volumes
| Net Income: 954.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.33 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.38% < 20% (prev 9.41%; Δ -0.03% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.00 > 3% & CFO -16.1m > Net Income 954.6m |
| Net Debt (1.13b) to EBITDA (536.8m): 2.10 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.28 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (57.0m) vs 12m ago -1.73% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.73% > 18% (prev 20.87%; Δ 1.86% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 59.11% > 50% (prev 61.24%; Δ -2.13% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.29 > 6 (EBIT TTM 313.7m / Interest Expense TTM 23.6m) |
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 1.56b - Total Current Liabilities 1.23b) / Total Assets 5.60b |
| B: 0.59 (Retained Earnings 3.32b / Total Assets 5.60b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 313.7m / Avg Total Assets 6.09b) |
| D: 1.17 (Book Value of Equity 2.94b / Total Liabilities 2.52b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.90 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 707.1m/706.0m, Revenue 3.60b/4.03b) |
| GMI: 0.92 (GM 20.87% / 22.73%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.48 / AQ_t-1 0.50) |
| SGI: 0.89 (Revenue 3.60b / 4.03b) |
| TATA: 0.17 (NI 954.6m - CFO -16.1m) / TA 5.60b) |
| Beneish M = -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of June 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 93.20 with a total of 71,760 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.44%, over one month by +17.43%, over three months by +11.08% and over the past year by +38.53%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 89.00 (which is 4.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Greif has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GEF-B.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 93 | -0.2% |
P/E Trailing = 24.3802
P/E Forward = 7.3529
P/S = 0.7855
P/B = 1.1126
P/EG = 0.6737
Revenue TTM = 3.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 313.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 536.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 701.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 349.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 203.5m
Net Debt = 1.13b USD (calculated: Debt 1.41b - CCE 286.1m)
Enterprise Value = 4.48b USD (3.35b + Debt 1.41b - CCE 286.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.29 (Ebit TTM 313.7m / Interest Expense TTM 23.6m)
EV/FCF = -26.12x (Enterprise Value 4.48b / FCF TTM -171.5m)
FCF Yield = -3.83% (FCF TTM -171.5m / Enterprise Value 4.48b)
FCF Margin = -4.76% (FCF TTM -171.5m / Revenue TTM 3.60b)
Net Margin = 26.52% (Net Income TTM 954.6m / Revenue TTM 3.60b)
Gross Margin = 22.73% ((Revenue TTM 3.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.78b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.02% (prev 20.37%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.80 (Enterprise Value 4.48b / Total Assets 5.60b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.67% (Interest Expense 23.6m / Debt 1.41b)
Taxrate = 38.15% (110.0m / 288.3m)
NOPAT = 194.0m (EBIT 313.7m * (1 - 38.15%))
Current Ratio = 1.28 (Total Current Assets 1.56b / Total Current Liabilities 1.23b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.94b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.10 (Net Debt 1.13b / EBITDA 536.8m)
Debt / FCF = -6.57 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.13b / FCF TTM -171.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.73b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.67% (Net Income 954.6m / Total Assets 5.60b)
RoE = 34.93% (Net Income TTM 954.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.73b)
RoCE = 9.13% (EBIT 313.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.73b + L.T.Debt 701.2m))
RoIC = 4.27% (NOPAT 194.0m / Invested Capital 4.54b)
WACC = 6.36% (E(3.35b)/V(4.77b) * Re(8.61%) + D(1.41b)/V(4.77b) * Rd(1.67%) * (1-Tc(0.38)))
Discount Rate = 8.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 47.74 | Cagr: -0.77%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -171.5m)
EPS Correlation: -80.85 | EPS CAGR: -15.81% | SUE: 0.81 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -93.72 | Revenue CAGR: -15.72% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.34 | Chg30d=-29.10% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=5.50 | Chg30d=-6.46% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=+84.1% | GrowthRev=+8.1%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=7.01 | Chg30d=+3.85% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+27.5% | GrowthRev=+2.3%