(HCC) Warrior Met Coal - NYSE
Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Coking Coal | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 4.964m USD | Total Return: 110.6% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 72.6M
EPS Trend: -84.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -77.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Choppy
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) is a U.S.-based producer and exporter specializing in high-quality metallurgical coal, a critical raw material for global steel manufacturing. Unlike thermal coal used for power generation, metallurgical coal possesses the physical properties required to produce coke for blast furnaces. The company operates underground mines in Alabama, primarily serving industrial markets in Europe, South America, and Asia.
The business model relies on the extraction of hard-coking coal (HCC), which typically commands a price premium due to its high carbon content and low impurities. As a byproduct of its mining operations, the company also captures and sells natural gas. Because steel production is highly cyclical and dependent on global infrastructure demand, the companys revenue is closely tied to international industrial output and steel pricing trends.
Investors can further analyze these commodity price sensitivities and financial health metrics on ValueRay. Warrior Met Coal remains a pure-play exporter, leveraging its proximity to the Port of Mobile to maintain a logistical advantage in the Atlantic and Pacific basins.
- Global steel demand and industrial production cycles drive metallurgical coal pricing
- Blue Creek growth project execution increases long-term production capacity and revenue
- Chinese and European trade policies impact export volumes and regional market share
- Underground mining operational costs and labor relations influence quarterly profit margins
- Global seaborne coking coal price benchmarks dictate domestic revenue and cash flow
| Net Income: 137.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.43 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 40.14% < 20% (prev 54.64%; Δ -14.50% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 206.6m > Net Income 137.5m |
| Net Debt (145.3m) to EBITDA (344.0m): 0.42 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.48 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (52.8m) vs 12m ago 0.56% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.20% > 18% (prev 11.36%; Δ 26.84% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 53.95% > 50% (prev 50.30%; Δ 3.64% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.49 > 6 (EBIT TTM 145.8m / Interest Expense TTM 10.8m) |
| A: 0.21 (Total Current Assets 827.7m - Total Current Liabilities 237.9m) / Total Assets 2.82b |
| B: 0.69 (Retained Earnings 1.96b / Total Assets 2.82b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 145.8m / Avg Total Assets 2.72b) |
| D: 3.56 (Book Value of Equity 2.20b / Total Liabilities 619.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 7.73 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.27 (Receivables 296.1m/209.9m, Revenue 1.47b/1.32b) |
| GMI: 0.30 (GM 11.36% / 38.20%) |
| AQI: 2.15 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 1.47b / 1.32b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 137.5m - CFO 206.6m) / TA 2.82b) |
| Beneish M = -2.68 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of June 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 98.11 with a total of 581,711 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.81%,
over one month by +15.31%,
over three months by +15.36% and
over the past year by +110.56%.
Warrior Met Coal has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.86. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HCC.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 105.8 | 7.9% |
P/E Trailing = 36.023
P/E Forward = 13.9276
P/S = 3.3715
P/B = 2.2519
Revenue TTM = 1.47b USD
EBIT TTM = 145.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 344.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 154.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 37.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 378.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 112.1m
Net Debt = 145.3m USD (calculated: Debt 378.6m - CCE 233.2m)
Enterprise Value = 5.11b USD (4.96b + Debt 378.6m - CCE 233.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.49 (Ebit TTM 145.8m / Interest Expense TTM 10.8m)
EV/FCF = -37.95x (Enterprise Value 5.11b / FCF TTM -134.6m)
FCF Yield = -2.63% (FCF TTM -134.6m / Enterprise Value 5.11b)
FCF Margin = -9.16% (FCF TTM -134.6m / Revenue TTM 1.47b)
Net Margin = 9.36% (Net Income TTM 137.5m / Revenue TTM 1.47b)
Gross Margin = 38.20% ((Revenue TTM 1.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 908.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 13.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.81 (Enterprise Value 5.11b / Total Assets 2.82b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.85% (Interest Expense 10.8m / Debt 378.6m)
Taxrate = 6.73% (9.92m / 147.4m)
NOPAT = 136.0m (EBIT 145.8m * (1 - 6.73%))
Current Ratio = 3.48 (Total Current Assets 827.7m / Total Current Liabilities 237.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.17 (Debt 378.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.20b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.42 (Net Debt 145.3m / EBITDA 344.0m)
Debt / FCF = -1.08 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 145.3m / FCF TTM -134.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.14b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.05% (Net Income 137.5m / Total Assets 2.82b)
RoE = 6.44% (Net Income TTM 137.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.14b)
RoCE = 6.36% (EBIT 145.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.14b + L.T.Debt 154.4m))
RoIC = 5.33% (NOPAT 136.0m / Invested Capital 2.55b)
WACC = 9.07% (E(4.96b)/V(5.34b) * Re(9.56%) + D(378.6m)/V(5.34b) * Rd(2.85%) * (1-Tc(0.07)))
Discount Rate = 9.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 85.40 | Cagr: 0.54%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -134.6m)
EPS Correlation: -84.34 | EPS CAGR: -60.19% | SUE: -0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -77.50 | Revenue CAGR: -10.31% | SUE: -0.40 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.77 | Chg30d=+16.63% | Revisions=-43% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.75 | Chg30d=-7.52% | Revisions=-43% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.81 | Chg30d=-11.29% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+524.5% | GrowthRev=+54.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.38 | Chg30d=-0.71% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+8.4% | GrowthRev=+6.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50%