Overview Dividends

(MCD) McDonald’s - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US5801351017

Burgers, Chicken, Fries, Shakes, Breakfast

MCD EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 8.24%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 39.1%

MCD Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 6.67%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 55.9%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	17.8%
Value at Risk 5%th	27.7%
Relative Tail Risk	-4.98%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.16
Alpha	-0.82

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.474
Beta	0.187
Beta Downside	0.244

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	17.21%
Mean DD	5.03%
Median DD	4.04%

Description: MCD McDonald’s September 24, 2025

McDonald’s Corporation (NYSE:MCD) owns, operates, and franchises a worldwide network of restaurants under the McDonald’s brand, offering a standardized menu that includes burgers, chicken sandwiches, breakfast items, fries, desserts, coffee, and a rotating slate of limited-time promotions.

The company’s footprint is a mix of company-owned locations and franchised units structured through conventional franchise agreements, developmental licenses, or affiliate arrangements, allowing it to leverage franchise fees and royalties while maintaining brand control.

Key performance indicators that investors watch include comparable-sales growth (global comparable sales rose 9% in FY 2023), the share of sales generated through digital channels (approximately 25% of total sales in 2023), and average ticket size (which has been trending upward as menu innovation drives higher spend per guest). Core economic drivers for the segment are consumer discretionary spending, commodity price volatility (e.g., beef and potato costs), and labor market tightness that pressures wage growth.

Sector-wide, the fast-food industry is being reshaped by the expansion of delivery platforms and the rise of “ghost kitchens,” trends that can amplify both revenue opportunities and competitive pressure for McDonald’s.

For a deeper, data-driven dive into McDonald’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you might explore the detailed dashboards on ValueRay.

MCD Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	219,044m
Sub-Industry	Restaurants
IPO / Inception	1965-04-21
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-8.19%
Analyst Rating	4.0 of 5

MCD Dividends

Dividend Yield	2.91%
Yield on Cost 5y	4.62%
Yield CAGR 5y	7.70%
Payout Consistency	94.8%
Payout Ratio	60.2%

MCD Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y	6.43%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	0.37
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	1.28
Current Volume	2722.1k
Average Volume	2662.4k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (8.41b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.58b TTM)

FCFTA 0.12 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.45pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 0.0% (prev -5.38%; Δ 5.38pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 10.48b > Net Income 8.41b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (53.41b) to EBITDA (14.41b) ratio: 3.71 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.0 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (715.9m) change vs 12m ago -0.57% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 57.42% (prev 56.62%; Δ 0.80pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 44.98% (prev 46.18%; Δ -1.20pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 7.88 (EBITDA TTM 14.41b / Interest Expense TTM 1.55b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 6.26

(A) 0.0 = (Total Current Assets 6.08b - Total Current Liabilities 6.08b) / Total Assets 60.61b

(B) 1.15 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 69.44b / Total Assets 60.61b

warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.15 — check mapping/units

(D) 1.07 = Book Value of Equity 67.04b / Total Liabilities 62.77b

Total Rating: 6.26 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.08

1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50

2. FCF Yield 2.71% = 1.35

3. FCF Margin 28.07% = 7.02

4. Debt/Equity -25.81 = -2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda 3.71 = -2.43

6. ROIC - WACC (= 20.10)% = 12.50

7. RoE -276.5% = -2.50

8. Rev. Trend 55.90% = 4.19

9. EPS Trend 39.11% = 1.96

What is the price of MCD shares?

As of November 15, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 307.03 with a total of 2,722,065 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.46%, over one month by +0.81%, over three months by -0.06% and over the past year by +5.23%.

Is McDonald’s a good stock to buy?

Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, McDonald’s (NYSE:MCD) is currently (November 2025) ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 69.08 and therefor a somewhat positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MCD is around 306.91 USD . This means that MCD is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -0.04%.

Is MCD a buy, sell or hold?

McDonald’s has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MCD.

Strong Buy: 15
Buy: 6
Hold: 15
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MCD price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	331	7.8%
Analysts Target Price	331	7.8%
ValueRay Target Price	332.9	8.4%

MCD Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025

Market Cap USD = 219.04b (219.04b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 26.2217
P/E Forward = 23.2019
P/S = 8.3401
P/EG = 2.5202
Beta = 0.525
Revenue TTM = 26.26b USD
EBIT TTM = 12.23b USD
EBITDA TTM = 14.41b USD
Long Term Debt = 39.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.50b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 55.82b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 53.41b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 272.45b USD (219.04b + Debt 55.82b - CCE 2.41b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.88 (Ebit TTM 12.23b / Interest Expense TTM 1.55b)
FCF Yield = 2.71% (FCF TTM 7.37b / Enterprise Value 272.45b)
FCF Margin = 28.07% (FCF TTM 7.37b / Revenue TTM 26.26b)
Net Margin = 32.04% (Net Income TTM 8.41b / Revenue TTM 26.26b)
Gross Margin = 57.42% ((Revenue TTM 26.26b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.18b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.00% (prev 57.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.50 (Enterprise Value 272.45b / Total Assets 60.61b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.73% (Interest Expense 406.0m / Debt 55.82b)
Taxrate = 22.75% (671.0m / 2.95b)
NOPAT = 9.45b (EBIT 12.23b * (1 - 22.75%))
Current Ratio = 1.0 (Total Current Assets 6.08b / Total Current Liabilities 6.08b)
Debt / Equity = -25.81 (negative equity) (Debt 55.82b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -2.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.71 (Net Debt 53.41b / EBITDA 14.41b)
Debt / FCF = 7.24 (Net Debt 53.41b / FCF TTM 7.37b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -3.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.88% (Net Income 8.41b / Total Assets 60.61b)
RoE = -276.5% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 8.41b / Total Stockholder Equity -3.04b)
RoCE = 33.56% (EBIT 12.23b / Capital Employed (Equity -3.04b + L.T.Debt 39.48b))
RoIC = 25.56% (NOPAT 9.45b / Invested Capital 36.97b)
WACC = 5.46% (E(219.04b)/V(274.86b) * Re(6.71%) + D(55.82b)/V(274.86b) * Rd(0.73%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 6.71% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.82%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.60% ; FCFE base≈7.05b ; Y1≈7.21b ; Y5≈7.99b
Fair Price DCF = 197.6 (DCF Value 140.73b / Shares Outstanding 712.2m; 5y FCF grow 2.04% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 39.11 | EPS CAGR: 8.24% | SUE: -1.10 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 55.90 | Revenue CAGR: 6.67% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for MCD Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle