(MCD) McDonald’s - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US5801351017

Burg, Coffee, Fries, Chicken, Cookies, Pie

Dividends

Dividend Yield 2.30%
Yield on Cost 5y 3.85%
Yield CAGR 5y 7.70%
Payout Consistency 90.2%
Payout Ratio 60.2%
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 18.1%
Value at Risk 5%th 28.4%
Relative Tail Risk -4.70%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.28
Alpha 1.95
CAGR/Max DD 0.41
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.364
Beta 0.185
Beta Downside 0.225
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 17.21%
Mean DD 5.08%
Median DD 4.12%

Description: MCD McDonald’s December 01, 2025

McDonald’s Corporation (NYSE:MCD) owns, operates, and franchises a global network of restaurants under the McDonald’s brand, offering a broad menu that includes burgers, chicken sandwiches, breakfast items, desserts, and a range of beverages. The company’s franchise model includes conventional franchises, developmental licenses, and affiliates, and it has been headquartered in Chicago, Illinois since its founding in 1940.

As of the most recent fiscal year, McDonald’s reported roughly 40,000 restaurants worldwide, with franchisees operating about 93 % of those locations, delivering an operating margin near 40 % and a comparable-sales growth of approximately 9 % YoY. Key economic drivers for the chain include commodity price volatility (e.g., beef and potatoes), labor cost pressures, and broader consumer discretionary trends that influence foot traffic and average ticket size.

For a deeper, data-driven dive into McDonald’s valuation dynamics, you might explore the analytical tools available on ValueRay.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (8.41b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.58b TTM)
FCFTA 0.12 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.45pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 0.0% (prev -5.38%; Δ 5.38pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 10.48b > Net Income 8.41b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (53.41b) to EBITDA (14.41b) ratio: 3.71 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.0 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (715.9m) change vs 12m ago -0.57% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 57.42% (prev 56.62%; Δ 0.80pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 44.98% (prev 46.18%; Δ -1.20pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 7.88 (EBITDA TTM 14.41b / Interest Expense TTM 1.55b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 6.26

(A) 0.0 = (Total Current Assets 6.08b - Total Current Liabilities 6.08b) / Total Assets 60.61b
(B) 1.15 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 69.44b / Total Assets 60.61b
warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.15 — check mapping/units
(C) 0.21 = EBIT TTM 12.23b / Avg Total Assets 58.39b
(D) 1.07 = Book Value of Equity 67.04b / Total Liabilities 62.77b
Total Rating: 6.26 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 72.21

1. Piotroski 4.50pt
2. FCF Yield 2.67%
3. FCF Margin 28.07%
4. Debt/Equity -25.81
5. Debt/Ebitda 3.71
6. ROIC - WACC (= 20.09)%
7. RoE -276.5%
8. Rev. Trend 74.60%
9. EPS Trend 73.84%

What is the price of MCD shares?

As of December 06, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 311.23 with a total of 2,463,047 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.41%, over one month by +2.43%, over three months by -0.41% and over the past year by +6.35%.

Is MCD a buy, sell or hold?

McDonald’s has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MCD.
  • Strong Buy: 15
  • Buy: 6
  • Hold: 15
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MCD price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 331.2 6.4%
Analysts Target Price 331.2 6.4%
ValueRay Target Price 337.1 8.3%

MCD Fundamental Data Overview November 29, 2025

Market Cap USD = 222.52b (222.52b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 26.6285
P/E Forward = 23.5849
P/S = 8.4723
P/EG = 2.5651
Beta = 0.525
Revenue TTM = 26.26b USD
EBIT TTM = 12.23b USD
EBITDA TTM = 14.41b USD
Long Term Debt = 39.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.50b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 55.82b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 53.41b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 275.92b USD (222.52b + Debt 55.82b - CCE 2.41b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.88 (Ebit TTM 12.23b / Interest Expense TTM 1.55b)
FCF Yield = 2.67% (FCF TTM 7.37b / Enterprise Value 275.92b)
FCF Margin = 28.07% (FCF TTM 7.37b / Revenue TTM 26.26b)
Net Margin = 32.04% (Net Income TTM 8.41b / Revenue TTM 26.26b)
Gross Margin = 57.42% ((Revenue TTM 26.26b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.18b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.00% (prev 57.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.55 (Enterprise Value 275.92b / Total Assets 60.61b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.73% (Interest Expense 406.0m / Debt 55.82b)
Taxrate = 22.75% (671.0m / 2.95b)
NOPAT = 9.45b (EBIT 12.23b * (1 - 22.75%))
Current Ratio = 1.0 (Total Current Assets 6.08b / Total Current Liabilities 6.08b)
Debt / Equity = -25.81 (negative equity) (Debt 55.82b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -2.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.71 (Net Debt 53.41b / EBITDA 14.41b)
Debt / FCF = 7.24 (Net Debt 53.41b / FCF TTM 7.37b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -3.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.88% (Net Income 8.41b / Total Assets 60.61b)
RoE = -276.5% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 8.41b / Total Stockholder Equity -3.04b)
RoCE = 33.56% (EBIT 12.23b / Capital Employed (Equity -3.04b + L.T.Debt 39.48b))
RoIC = 25.56% (NOPAT 9.45b / Invested Capital 36.97b)
WACC = 5.47% (E(222.52b)/V(278.33b) * Re(6.70%) + D(55.82b)/V(278.33b) * Rd(0.73%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 6.70% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.82%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.60% ; FCFE base≈7.05b ; Y1≈7.21b ; Y5≈7.99b
Fair Price DCF = 197.6 (DCF Value 140.73b / Shares Outstanding 712.2m; 5y FCF grow 2.04% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 73.84 | EPS CAGR: 10.29% | SUE: -1.10 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 74.60 | Revenue CAGR: 4.46% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.85 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=-7 | Analysts=27
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=13.22 | Chg30d=-0.050 | Revisions Net=-11 | Growth EPS=+9.0% | Growth Revenue=+5.7%

Additional Sources for MCD Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle