(MCD) McDonald’s - Ratings and Ratios
Burg, Coffee, Fries, Chicken, Cookies, Pie
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.30% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.85% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.70% |
| Payout Consistency | 90.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 60.2% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 18.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 28.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.70% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.28 |
| Alpha | 1.95 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.41 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.364 |
| Beta | 0.185 |
| Beta Downside | 0.225 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 17.21% |
| Mean DD | 5.08% |
| Median DD | 4.12% |
Description: MCD McDonald’s December 01, 2025
McDonald’s Corporation (NYSE:MCD) owns, operates, and franchises a global network of restaurants under the McDonald’s brand, offering a broad menu that includes burgers, chicken sandwiches, breakfast items, desserts, and a range of beverages. The company’s franchise model includes conventional franchises, developmental licenses, and affiliates, and it has been headquartered in Chicago, Illinois since its founding in 1940.
As of the most recent fiscal year, McDonald’s reported roughly 40,000 restaurants worldwide, with franchisees operating about 93 % of those locations, delivering an operating margin near 40 % and a comparable-sales growth of approximately 9 % YoY. Key economic drivers for the chain include commodity price volatility (e.g., beef and potatoes), labor cost pressures, and broader consumer discretionary trends that influence foot traffic and average ticket size.
For a deeper, data-driven dive into McDonald’s valuation dynamics, you might explore the analytical tools available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (8.41b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.58b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.12 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.45pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 0.0% (prev -5.38%; Δ 5.38pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 10.48b > Net Income 8.41b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (53.41b) to EBITDA (14.41b) ratio: 3.71 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.0 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (715.9m) change vs 12m ago -0.57% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 57.42% (prev 56.62%; Δ 0.80pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 44.98% (prev 46.18%; Δ -1.20pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.88 (EBITDA TTM 14.41b / Interest Expense TTM 1.55b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.26
| (A) 0.0 = (Total Current Assets 6.08b - Total Current Liabilities 6.08b) / Total Assets 60.61b |
| (B) 1.15 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 69.44b / Total Assets 60.61b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.15 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.21 = EBIT TTM 12.23b / Avg Total Assets 58.39b |
| (D) 1.07 = Book Value of Equity 67.04b / Total Liabilities 62.77b |
| Total Rating: 6.26 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 72.21
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.67% |
| 3. FCF Margin 28.07% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -25.81 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.71 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 20.09)% |
| 7. RoE -276.5% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 74.60% |
| 9. EPS Trend 73.84% |
What is the price of MCD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.41%, over one month by +2.43%, over three months by -0.41% and over the past year by +6.35%.
Is MCD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 15
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MCD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 331.2 | 6.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 331.2 | 6.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 337.1 | 8.3% |
MCD Fundamental Data Overview November 29, 2025
P/E Trailing = 26.6285
P/E Forward = 23.5849
P/S = 8.4723
P/EG = 2.5651
Beta = 0.525
Revenue TTM = 26.26b USD
EBIT TTM = 12.23b USD
EBITDA TTM = 14.41b USD
Long Term Debt = 39.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.50b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 55.82b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 53.41b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 275.92b USD (222.52b + Debt 55.82b - CCE 2.41b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.88 (Ebit TTM 12.23b / Interest Expense TTM 1.55b)
FCF Yield = 2.67% (FCF TTM 7.37b / Enterprise Value 275.92b)
FCF Margin = 28.07% (FCF TTM 7.37b / Revenue TTM 26.26b)
Net Margin = 32.04% (Net Income TTM 8.41b / Revenue TTM 26.26b)
Gross Margin = 57.42% ((Revenue TTM 26.26b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.18b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.00% (prev 57.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.55 (Enterprise Value 275.92b / Total Assets 60.61b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.73% (Interest Expense 406.0m / Debt 55.82b)
Taxrate = 22.75% (671.0m / 2.95b)
NOPAT = 9.45b (EBIT 12.23b * (1 - 22.75%))
Current Ratio = 1.0 (Total Current Assets 6.08b / Total Current Liabilities 6.08b)
Debt / Equity = -25.81 (negative equity) (Debt 55.82b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -2.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.71 (Net Debt 53.41b / EBITDA 14.41b)
Debt / FCF = 7.24 (Net Debt 53.41b / FCF TTM 7.37b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -3.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.88% (Net Income 8.41b / Total Assets 60.61b)
RoE = -276.5% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 8.41b / Total Stockholder Equity -3.04b)
RoCE = 33.56% (EBIT 12.23b / Capital Employed (Equity -3.04b + L.T.Debt 39.48b))
RoIC = 25.56% (NOPAT 9.45b / Invested Capital 36.97b)
WACC = 5.47% (E(222.52b)/V(278.33b) * Re(6.70%) + D(55.82b)/V(278.33b) * Rd(0.73%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 6.70% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.82%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.60% ; FCFE base≈7.05b ; Y1≈7.21b ; Y5≈7.99b
Fair Price DCF = 197.6 (DCF Value 140.73b / Shares Outstanding 712.2m; 5y FCF grow 2.04% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 73.84 | EPS CAGR: 10.29% | SUE: -1.10 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 74.60 | Revenue CAGR: 4.46% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.85 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=-7 | Analysts=27
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=13.22 | Chg30d=-0.050 | Revisions Net=-11 | Growth EPS=+9.0% | Growth Revenue=+5.7%
Additional Sources for MCD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle