(MOD) Modine Manufacturing - Ratings and Ratios
Heat Exchangers, Unit Heaters, Data Center Cooling, Powertrain Cooling, Battery Thermal Management
MOD EPS (Earnings per Share)
MOD Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 59.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 91.1% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.45 |
| Alpha Jensen | -8.49 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.651 |
| Beta | 1.692 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 51.61% |
| Mean DD | 11.94% |
Description: MOD Modine Manufacturing November 06, 2025
Modine Manufacturing Company (NYSE: MOD) designs, engineers, tests, manufactures, and sells mission-critical thermal-management solutions across a broad geographic footprint that includes North America, Europe, and Asia. Its product portfolio spans industrial heat exchangers, HVAC units, data-center cooling systems, and power-train cooling components for conventional and electric vehicles.
Key quantitative signals (as of FY 2024) show revenue of roughly $1.2 billion, with an operating margin of 7-8 % and a free-cash-flow conversion near 5 %. The company’s exposure to the rapidly expanding data-center market is a material growth driver-global data-center cooling spend is projected to rise at a CAGR of ~6 % through 2028, outpacing overall IT capex. Simultaneously, the transition to electric vehicles fuels demand for battery-thermal-management and power-train cooling modules, a segment that historically represents ~15 % of MOD’s sales but is expected to grow at double-digit rates as EV adoption accelerates.
For a deeper quantitative view, you may find ValueRay’s MOD dashboard useful for tracking the latest earnings trends, segment performance, and macro-driven valuation metrics.
MOD Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 8,234m |
| Sub-Industry | Automotive Parts & Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 1990-03-26 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 1.89% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.50 of 5 |
MOD Dividends
Currently no dividends paidMOD Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 92.36% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 1.79 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 7.73 |
| Current Volume | 773k |
| Average Volume | 915.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (186.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 161.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.27pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 23.31% (prev 16.73%; Δ 6.58pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 172.3m <= Net Income 186.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (498.3m) to EBITDA (353.3m) ratio: 1.41 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.00 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (53.8m) change vs 12m ago -0.19% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 24.11% (prev 23.84%; Δ 0.26pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 124.9% (prev 129.7%; Δ -4.82pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 10.78 (EBITDA TTM 353.3m / Interest Expense TTM 25.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.53
| (A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 1.25b - Total Current Liabilities 625.9m) / Total Assets 2.39b |
| (B) 0.39 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 938.6m / Total Assets 2.39b |
| (C) 0.13 = EBIT TTM 276.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.15b |
| (D) 0.63 = Book Value of Equity 836.4m / Total Liabilities 1.32b |
| Total Rating: 4.53 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.75
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.79% = 0.40 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.58% = 0.64 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.55 = 2.35 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.41 = 1.12 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.96)% = 3.70 |
| 7. RoE 19.44% = 1.62 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 76.80% = 5.76 |
| 9. EPS Trend 83.20% = 4.16 |
What is the price of MOD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.52%, over one month by -1.50%, over three months by +3.72% and over the past year by +18.07%.
Is Modine Manufacturing a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MOD is around 215.28 USD . This means that MOD is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +46.05% (Margin of Safety).
Is MOD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MOD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 185 | 25.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 185 | 25.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 246.5 | 67.2% |
MOD Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 45.0692
P/E Forward = 34.0136
P/S = 3.0658
P/B = 7.6709
P/EG = 0.9995
Beta = 1.692
Revenue TTM = 2.69b USD
EBIT TTM = 276.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 353.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 296.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 56.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 582.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 498.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.73b USD (8.23b + Debt 582.1m - CCE 83.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.78 (Ebit TTM 276.0m / Interest Expense TTM 25.6m)
FCF Yield = 0.79% (FCF TTM 69.2m / Enterprise Value 8.73b)
FCF Margin = 2.58% (FCF TTM 69.2m / Revenue TTM 2.69b)
Net Margin = 6.93% (Net Income TTM 186.2m / Revenue TTM 2.69b)
Gross Margin = 24.11% ((Revenue TTM 2.69b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.32% (prev 24.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.66 (Enterprise Value 8.73b / Total Assets 2.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.43% (Interest Expense 8.30m / Debt 582.1m)
Taxrate = 29.67% (18.9m / 63.7m)
NOPAT = 194.1m (EBIT 276.0m * (1 - 29.67%))
Current Ratio = 2.00 (Total Current Assets 1.25b / Total Current Liabilities 625.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.55 (Debt 582.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.05b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.41 (Net Debt 498.3m / EBITDA 353.3m)
Debt / FCF = 7.20 (Net Debt 498.3m / FCF TTM 69.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 957.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.80% (Net Income 186.2m / Total Assets 2.39b)
RoE = 19.44% (Net Income TTM 186.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 957.6m)
RoCE = 22.00% (EBIT 276.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 957.6m + L.T.Debt 296.7m))
RoIC = 14.47% (NOPAT 194.1m / Invested Capital 1.34b)
WACC = 11.51% (E(8.23b)/V(8.82b) * Re(12.25%) + D(582.1m)/V(8.82b) * Rd(1.43%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 12.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.56%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.99% ; FCFE base≈81.1m ; Y1≈79.4m ; Y5≈80.6m
Fair Price DCF = 14.95 (DCF Value 787.3m / Shares Outstanding 52.6m; 5y FCF grow -3.15% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 83.20 | EPS CAGR: 33.39% | SUE: 0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 76.80 | Revenue CAGR: 10.61% | SUE: 2.02 | # QB: 2
Additional Sources for MOD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle