(MOD) Modine Manufacturing - Ratings and Ratios
Heat Exchangers, HVAC, Data Cooling, Powertrain Cooling, Coatings
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 70.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 112% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.93% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.35 |
| Alpha | -32.76 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.48 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.556 |
| Beta | 2.076 |
| Beta Downside | 2.263 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 51.61% |
| Mean DD | 12.41% |
| Median DD | 7.25% |
Description: MOD Modine Manufacturing January 09, 2026
Modine Manufacturing (NYSE: MOD) designs, engineers, tests, manufactures, and sells mission-critical thermal-management solutions across a broad industrial spectrum, serving markets in North America, Europe, and Asia. Its product portfolio spans heat-transfer units (e.g., round-tube plate-fin heaters, roof-mounted makeup-air units), HVAC components (chillers, air handlers, ceiling cassettes), and specialized cooling systems for data centers, power-train, and high-density electronics.
The company’s revenue is heavily weighted toward the automotive and industrial segments, with FY 2023 sales of roughly $1.3 billion and an operating margin of about 9 %. Recent earnings calls highlighted a ~15 % compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in its electric-vehicle (EV) power-train cooling business, driven by rising EV production volumes and stricter thermal-management regulations.
Key macro drivers include U.S. construction-spending trends (which influence demand for HVAC and building-management solutions) and global data-center capex growth, projected to rise 10-12 % annually through 2027. A lingering uncertainty is the pace of supply-chain normalization for aluminum and stainless-steel inputs, which could affect gross-margin stability.
For a deeper quantitative view of MOD’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst dashboard can help you spot potential upside or downside risks.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (186.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 161.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.27pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 23.31% (prev 16.73%; Δ 6.58pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 172.3m <= Net Income 186.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (498.3m) to EBITDA (353.3m) ratio: 1.41 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.00 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (53.8m) change vs 12m ago -0.19% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 24.11% (prev 23.84%; Δ 0.26pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 124.9% (prev 129.7%; Δ -4.82pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 10.78 (EBITDA TTM 353.3m / Interest Expense TTM 25.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.53
| (A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 1.25b - Total Current Liabilities 625.9m) / Total Assets 2.39b |
| (B) 0.39 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 938.6m / Total Assets 2.39b |
| (C) 0.13 = EBIT TTM 276.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.15b |
| (D) 0.63 = Book Value of Equity 836.4m / Total Liabilities 1.32b |
| Total Rating: 4.53 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 65.62
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.94% |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.58% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.55 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.41 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.14)% |
| 7. RoE 19.44% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 86.18% |
| 9. EPS Trend 30.57% |
What is the price of MOD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.13%, over one month by -18.18%, over three months by -16.05% and over the past year by +5.31%.
Is MOD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MOD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 183 | 46.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 183 | 46.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 185 | 47.8% |
MOD Fundamental Data Overview January 08, 2026
P/E Forward = 20.8768
P/S = 2.5478
P/B = 6.4952
P/EG = 0.6146
Beta = 1.701
Revenue TTM = 2.69b USD
EBIT TTM = 276.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 353.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 525.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 56.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 582.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 498.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.34b USD (6.84b + Debt 582.1m - CCE 83.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.78 (Ebit TTM 276.0m / Interest Expense TTM 25.6m)
EV/FCF = 106.1x (Enterprise Value 7.34b / FCF TTM 69.2m)
FCF Yield = 0.94% (FCF TTM 69.2m / Enterprise Value 7.34b)
FCF Margin = 2.58% (FCF TTM 69.2m / Revenue TTM 2.69b)
Net Margin = 6.93% (Net Income TTM 186.2m / Revenue TTM 2.69b)
Gross Margin = 24.11% ((Revenue TTM 2.69b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.32% (prev 24.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.08 (Enterprise Value 7.34b / Total Assets 2.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.43% (Interest Expense 8.30m / Debt 582.1m)
Taxrate = 29.67% (18.9m / 63.7m)
NOPAT = 194.1m (EBIT 276.0m * (1 - 29.67%))
Current Ratio = 2.00 (Total Current Assets 1.25b / Total Current Liabilities 625.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.55 (Debt 582.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.05b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.41 (Net Debt 498.3m / EBITDA 353.3m)
Debt / FCF = 7.20 (Net Debt 498.3m / FCF TTM 69.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 957.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.66% (Net Income 186.2m / Total Assets 2.39b)
RoE = 19.44% (Net Income TTM 186.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 957.6m)
RoCE = 18.61% (EBIT 276.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 957.6m + L.T.Debt 525.8m))
RoIC = 13.72% (NOPAT 194.1m / Invested Capital 1.42b)
WACC = 12.58% (E(6.84b)/V(7.42b) * Re(13.56%) + D(582.1m)/V(7.42b) * Rd(1.43%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 13.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.56%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 62.74% ; FCFF base≈81.1m ; Y1≈79.4m ; Y5≈80.4m
Fair Price DCF = 4.86 (EV 754.1m - Net Debt 498.3m = Equity 255.8m / Shares 52.6m; r=12.58% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -3.15% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 30.57 | EPS CAGR: -42.64% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.18 | Revenue CAGR: 10.85% | SUE: 2.02 | # QB: 2
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=4.67 | Chg30d=+0.014 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+15.4% | Growth Revenue=+17.8%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=6.35 | Chg30d=+0.035 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+35.9% | Growth Revenue=+15.3%
Additional Sources for MOD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle