(NEXA) Nexa Resources - Ratings and Ratios
Metallic Zinc, Zamac, Zinc Oxide, Copper, Lead, Silver, Gold
NEXA EPS (Earnings per Share)
NEXA Revenue
Description: NEXA Nexa Resources
Nexa Resources S.A. is a global zinc mining and smelting company with operations in Peru and Brazil, producing a range of products including metallic zinc, zamac, and zinc oxide, as well as various by-products such as copper, lead, and silver. The companys diverse portfolio and geographic presence position it for potential long-term growth.
The companys operational footprint includes four polymetallic mines and three zinc smelters, with a significant presence in the Central Andes of Peru and the states of Minas Gerais and Mato Grosso in Brazil. This diversified asset base allows Nexa to capitalize on regional opportunities and mitigate potential risks.
From a technical analysis perspective, Nexas stock price has been trending downward, with the current price of $4.72 below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages of $4.90 and $5.30, respectively. However, the Average True Range (ATR) of 0.19 indicates relatively low volatility, suggesting a potential stabilization of the stock price. Given the current price is near the 52-week low of $4.66, a potential rebound could be anticipated if the company demonstrates improved operational or financial performance.
Fundamentally, Nexa Resources S.A. has a market capitalization of $650.28 million and a forward P/E ratio of 3.45, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to its earnings potential. However, the companys return on equity (RoE) of -18.29% raises concerns about its current profitability. To improve investor sentiment, Nexa will need to demonstrate a clear path to positive earnings growth.
Forecasting future performance, if Nexa can stabilize its operations and improve its RoE, the stock price could potentially rebound towards its 20-day moving average of $4.90. Further improvement in earnings and operational efficiency could drive the stock price towards its 50-day moving average of $5.30. However, achieving sustained growth will require Nexa to address its current profitability challenges and demonstrate a clear strategy for long-term success.
NEXA Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 630m |
| Sub-Industry | Diversified Metals & Mining |
| IPO / Inception | 2017-10-27 |
NEXA Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -50.5% |
| Fundamental | 55.4% |
| Dividend Rating | 1.0% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -31.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 2.75 of 5 |
NEXA Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.89% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.45% |
| Annual Growth 5y | -15.91% |
| Payout Consistency | 52.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0% |
NEXA Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -0.1% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -84.5% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -41.9% |
| CAGR 5y | -6.91% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.11 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.62 |
| Alpha | -29.61 |
| Beta | 0.381 |
| Volatility | 31.56% |
| Current Volume | 15.8k |
| Average Volume 20d | 10k |
| Stop Loss | 4.7 (-3.7%) |
| Signal | 1.04 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (-90.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 167.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.12pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -3.10% (prev 6.14%; Δ -9.24pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 291.5m > Net Income -90.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.50b) to EBITDA (666.5m) ratio: 2.25 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.93 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (132.4m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 19.39% (prev 11.52%; Δ 7.87pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 58.50% (prev 55.39%; Δ 3.11pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.75 (EBITDA TTM 666.5m / Interest Expense TTM 207.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.81
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 1.09b - Total Current Liabilities 1.18b) / Total Assets 4.87b |
| (B) -0.25 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.23b / Total Assets 4.87b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 363.2m / Avg Total Assets 4.76b |
| (D) -0.36 = Book Value of Equity -1.35b / Total Liabilities 3.73b |
| Total Rating: -0.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 55.38
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.64% = 0.82 |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.21% = 0.30 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.06 = 0.68 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.75 = -1.39 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 2.30% = 2.87 |
| 7. RoE -10.16% = -1.69 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -4.47% = -0.22 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 0.30% = 0.04 |
| 10. EPS Trend 38.97% = 0.97 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 29.30% = 2.50 |
What is the price of NEXA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.81%, over one month by -2.40%, over three months by +0.65% and over the past year by -19.51%.
Is Nexa Resources a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NEXA is around 4.44 USD . This means that NEXA is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -9.02%.
Is NEXA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NEXA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 5.5 | 12.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 5.5 | 12.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4.7 | -3.9% |
Last update: 2025-08-28 04:46
NEXA Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 417.7m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 3.4495
P/S = 0.2263
P/B = 0.7278
Beta = 0.955
Revenue TTM = 2.79b USD
EBIT TTM = 363.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 666.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.72b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 110.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.83b USD (Calculated: Short Term 110.0m + Long Term 1.72b)
Net Debt = 1.50b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.05b USD (630.4m + Debt 1.83b - CCE 417.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.75 (Ebit TTM 363.2m / Interest Expense TTM 207.6m)
FCF Yield = 1.64% (FCF TTM 33.6m / Enterprise Value 2.05b)
FCF Margin = 1.21% (FCF TTM 33.6m / Revenue TTM 2.79b)
Net Margin = -3.26% (Net Income TTM -90.7m / Revenue TTM 2.79b)
Gross Margin = 19.39% ((Revenue TTM 2.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -1.51 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 2.05b / Book Value Of Equity -1.35b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.76% (Interest Expense 50.6m / Debt 1.83b)
Taxrate = 63.60% (from quarterly Income Tax Expense: 23.2m / 36.5m)
NOPAT = 132.2m (EBIT 363.2m * (1 - 63.60%))
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 1.09b / Total Current Liabilities 1.18b)
Debt / Equity = 2.06 (Debt 1.83b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 889.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.75 (Net Debt 1.50b / EBITDA 666.5m)
Debt / FCF = 54.53 (Debt 1.83b / FCF TTM 33.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 893.0m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -1.86% (Net Income -90.7m, Total Assets 4.87b )
RoE = -10.16% (Net Income TTM -90.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 893.0m)
RoCE = 13.88% (Ebit 363.2m / (Equity 893.0m + L.T.Debt 1.72b))
RoIC = 4.94% (NOPAT 132.2m / Invested Capital 2.67b)
WACC = 2.65% (E(630.4m)/V(2.46b) * Re(7.42%)) + (D(1.83b)/V(2.46b) * Rd(2.76%) * (1-Tc(0.64)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -35.40 | Cagr: 0.0%
Discount Rate = 7.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈33.6m ; Y1≈22.1m ; Y5≈10.1m
Fair Price DCF = 1.50 (DCF Value 198.5m / Shares Outstanding 132.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -4.47 | Revenue CAGR: 0.30%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 13.25
EPS Correlation: 38.97 | EPS CAGR: 29.30%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 149.7
Additional Sources for NEXA Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle