(ONTO) Onto Innovation - Ratings and Ratios
Metrology, Inspection, Lithography, Software, Spare Parts
ONTO EPS (Earnings per Share)
ONTO Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 58.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 87.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.93% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.07 |
| Alpha | -52.41 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.400 |
| Beta | 2.198 |
| Beta Downside | 1.841 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 62.82% |
| Mean DD | 19.75% |
| Median DD | 10.54% |
Description: ONTO Onto Innovation November 05, 2025
Onto Innovation (NYSE: ONTO) designs, manufactures, and supports optical metrology and inspection tools for semiconductor and advanced-packaging producers, offering lithography systems, defect-inspection equipment, thin-film measurement instruments, and a suite of process-control software that spans standalone tools to factory-wide analytics.
Key operating metrics show the company generated ≈ $1.2 billion in revenue for FY 2023, a 10 % year-over-year increase, with a gross margin of roughly 44 % and an operating cash flow of $210 million, reflecting a solid conversion of sales into cash despite a capital-intensive product mix.
Onto’s growth is tightly linked to macro-level semiconductor equipment spending, which the SEMI forecast projects to rise ~7 % CAGR through 2027, driven by AI-centric chips, 5G infrastructure, and automotive electrification-all of which elevate demand for high-precision metrology and yield-management solutions.
The firm’s backlog sits near $1.5 billion, indicating a multi-quarter order pipeline, while R&D intensity remains around 12 % of revenue, underscoring continued investment in next-generation inspection and lithography capabilities.
For a deeper quantitative comparison of Onto Innovation’s valuation metrics, you might find the ValueRay platform’s side-by-side analysis useful.
ONTO Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 6,817m |
| Sub-Industry | Semiconductor Materials & Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 1992-02-26 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -32.3% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.11 of 5 |
ONTO Dividends
Currently no dividends paidONTO Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 17.24% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.27 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.87 |
| Current Volume | 774.8k |
| Average Volume | 883.3k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (175.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 60.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.48pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 137.9% (prev 139.4%; Δ -1.49pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 205.9m > Net Income 175.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-983.9m) to EBITDA (225.4m) ratio: -4.37 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 9.49 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (49.1m) change vs 12m ago -1.18% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 50.72% (prev 52.10%; Δ -1.38pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 47.06% (prev 45.44%; Δ 1.61pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -7.53 (EBITDA TTM 225.4m / Interest Expense TTM -22.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 17.07
| (A) 0.63 = (Total Current Assets 1.54b - Total Current Liabilities 162.9m) / Total Assets 2.19b |
| (B) 0.30 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 664.5m / Total Assets 2.19b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 171.8m / Avg Total Assets 2.13b |
| (D) 10.85 = Book Value of Equity 2.00b / Total Liabilities 184.5m |
| Total Rating: 17.07 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 57.37
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.07% = 1.53 |
| 3. FCF Margin 17.89% = 4.47 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.01 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -4.37 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -6.29)% = -7.86 |
| 7. RoE 8.96% = 0.75 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 50.70% = 3.80 |
| 9. EPS Trend 13.52% = 0.68 |
What is the price of ONTO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.03%, over one month by -1.89%, over three months by +16.26% and over the past year by -22.36%.
Is Onto Innovation a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ONTO is around 118.52 USD . This means that ONTO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -7.35%.
Is ONTO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ONTO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 156.1 | 22.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 156.1 | 22.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 138.8 | 8.5% |
ONTO Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 39.1803
P/E Forward = 22.8311
P/S = 6.8011
P/B = 3.4902
P/EG = 0.7604
Beta = 1.477
Revenue TTM = 1.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 171.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 225.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 15.2m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 5.42m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 15.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -983.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.85b USD (6.82b + Debt 15.2m - CCE 983.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -7.53 (Ebit TTM 171.8m / Interest Expense TTM -22.8m)
FCF Yield = 3.07% (FCF TTM 179.3m / Enterprise Value 5.85b)
FCF Margin = 17.89% (FCF TTM 179.3m / Revenue TTM 1.00b)
Net Margin = 17.46% (Net Income TTM 175.0m / Revenue TTM 1.00b)
Gross Margin = 50.72% ((Revenue TTM 1.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 493.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.70% (prev 48.16%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.67 (Enterprise Value 5.85b / Total Assets 2.19b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 20.89% (Interest Expense 3.17m / Debt 15.2m)
Taxrate = 11.74% (3.75m / 32.0m)
NOPAT = 151.7m (EBIT 171.8m * (1 - 11.74%))
Current Ratio = 9.49 (Total Current Assets 1.54b / Total Current Liabilities 162.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 15.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = -4.37 (Net Debt -983.9m / EBITDA 225.4m)
Debt / FCF = -5.49 (Net Debt -983.9m / FCF TTM 179.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.01% (Net Income 175.0m / Total Assets 2.19b)
RoE = 8.96% (Net Income TTM 175.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.95b)
RoCE = 8.73% (EBIT 171.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.95b + L.T.Debt 15.2m))
RoIC = 7.83% (NOPAT 151.7m / Invested Capital 1.94b)
WACC = 14.12% (E(6.82b)/V(6.83b) * Re(14.11%) + D(15.2m)/V(6.83b) * Rd(20.89%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 14.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.46%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 64.19% ; FCFE base≈196.2m ; Y1≈242.0m ; Y5≈412.9m
Fair Price DCF = 62.91 (DCF Value 3.08b / Shares Outstanding 49.0m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 13.52 | EPS CAGR: -17.66% | SUE: 0.58 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 50.70 | Revenue CAGR: -5.28% | SUE: -0.45 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ONTO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle