(RIO) Rio Tinto - Ratings and Ratios
Iron Ore, Aluminium, Copper, Minerals
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.64% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.47% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 3.03% |
| Payout Consistency | 85.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 37.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 38.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.65% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.47 |
| Alpha | 32.98 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.46 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.366 |
| Beta | 0.606 |
| Beta Downside | 0.586 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.19% |
| Mean DD | 10.94% |
| Median DD | 11.55% |
Description: RIO Rio Tinto December 02, 2025
Rio Tinto Group (NYSE: RIO) is a diversified mining company that extracts, processes, and markets a range of mineral resources worldwide through four operating segments: Iron Ore, Aluminium, Copper, and Minerals. The Iron Ore segment focuses on iron-ore mining as well as salt and gypsum production in Western Australia. The Aluminium segment covers the full value chain from bauxite mining to alumina refining, primary smelting and recycling. The Copper segment produces copper along with by-products such as gold, silver, and molybdenum, and conducts exploration activities. The Minerals segment handles borates, titanium-dioxide feedstock, iron concentrates and pellets, diamond mining, and emerging battery-material projects (e.g., lithium). Rio Tinto owns and operates open-pit and underground mines, refineries, smelters, processing plants, power assets, and shipping facilities. Founded in 1873, the company is headquartered in London, United Kingdom.
Key recent metrics: 2023 iron-ore sales reached ≈ 300 million tonnes, supporting a record-high EBITDA of ~ $23 billion; the Aluminium segment posted a 2023 production volume of ≈ 1.0 million t of alumina with a gross margin of ~ $2.5 billion, reflecting strong demand from the automotive and packaging sectors. Copper output grew 5% YoY to ≈ 1.7 million t, driven by accelerating electric-vehicle and renewable-energy infrastructure spending, while the Minerals segment’s lithium-project pipeline is positioned to capture a share of the projected > $1 trillion battery-materials market by 2030. The primary macro driver for Rio Tinto remains global steel demand-tied to China’s construction activity-and the broader shift toward clean-energy technologies that boost copper and lithium consumption.
For a deeper, data-driven view of Rio Tinto’s valuation dynamics, you might explore the analyst tools on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (20.96b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 6.48b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.16pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 6.69% (prev 12.38%; Δ -5.69pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.26 (>3.0%) and CFO 31.11b > Net Income 20.96b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (14.62b) to EBITDA (39.23b) ratio: 0.37 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.53 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.64b) change vs 12m ago 0.46% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 27.66% (prev 33.67%; Δ -6.01pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 98.84% (prev 85.57%; Δ 13.27pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 14.58 (EBITDA TTM 39.23b / Interest Expense TTM 1.89b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.22
| (A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 20.96b - Total Current Liabilities 13.74b) / Total Assets 120.81b |
| (B) 0.36 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 43.38b / Total Assets 120.81b |
| (C) 0.25 = EBIT TTM 27.60b / Avg Total Assets 109.18b |
| (D) 0.92 = Book Value of Equity 53.88b / Total Liabilities 58.84b |
| Total Rating: 4.22 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 76.09
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.66% |
| 3. FCF Margin 11.76% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.41 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.37 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 18.97)% |
| 7. RoE 37.55% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -33.04% |
| 9. EPS Trend -10.27% |
What is the price of RIO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.37%, over one month by +11.71%, over three months by +21.97% and over the past year by +45.68%.
Is RIO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RIO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 80.3 | -0.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 80.3 | -0.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 93.6 | 16.4% |
RIO Fundamental Data Overview December 27, 2025
P/E Trailing = 12.8806
P/E Forward = 11.3507
P/S = 2.4592
P/B = 2.2583
Beta = 0.604
Revenue TTM = 107.92b USD
EBIT TTM = 27.60b USD
EBITDA TTM = 39.23b USD
Long Term Debt = 21.58b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 875.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14.62b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 146.44b USD (132.13b + Debt 23.64b - CCE 9.33b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.58 (Ebit TTM 27.60b / Interest Expense TTM 1.89b)
FCF Yield = 8.66% (FCF TTM 12.69b / Enterprise Value 146.44b)
FCF Margin = 11.76% (FCF TTM 12.69b / Revenue TTM 107.92b)
Net Margin = 19.42% (Net Income TTM 20.96b / Revenue TTM 107.92b)
Gross Margin = 27.66% ((Revenue TTM 107.92b - Cost of Revenue TTM 78.07b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.99% (prev 27.82%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.21 (Enterprise Value 146.44b / Total Assets 120.81b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.32% (Interest Expense 548.7m / Debt 23.64b)
Taxrate = 32.67% (2.22b / 6.79b)
NOPAT = 18.58b (EBIT 27.60b * (1 - 32.67%))
Current Ratio = 1.53 (Total Current Assets 20.96b / Total Current Liabilities 13.74b)
Debt / Equity = 0.41 (Debt 23.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 58.20b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.37 (Net Debt 14.62b / EBITDA 39.23b)
Debt / FCF = 1.15 (Net Debt 14.62b / FCF TTM 12.69b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 55.82b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.35% (Net Income 20.96b / Total Assets 120.81b)
RoE = 37.55% (Net Income TTM 20.96b / Total Stockholder Equity 55.82b)
RoCE = 35.65% (EBIT 27.60b / Capital Employed (Equity 55.82b + L.T.Debt 21.58b))
RoIC = 26.20% (NOPAT 18.58b / Invested Capital 70.91b)
WACC = 7.24% (E(132.13b)/V(155.77b) * Re(8.25%) + D(23.64b)/V(155.77b) * Rd(2.32%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 8.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.14%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.04% ; FCFE base≈13.34b ; Y1≈12.13b ; Y5≈10.64b
Fair Price DCF = 113.6 (DCF Value 184.66b / Shares Outstanding 1.62b; 5y FCF grow -11.30% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -10.27 | EPS CAGR: -63.18% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -33.04 | Revenue CAGR: 4.03% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.31 | Chg30d=+0.711 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+12.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.4%
Additional Sources for RIO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle