(RIO) Rio Tinto - Overview
Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 164.121m USD | Total Return: 79.6% in 12m
Iron Ore, Aluminum, Copper, Lithium, Bauxite
Total Rating 70
Safety 65
Buy Signal 0.14
Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Rotation: -18.1
Industry Rotation: -18.1
Market Cap:
164B
Avg Turnover: 234M
Avg Turnover: 234M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility32.2%
VaR 5th Pctl5.68%
VaR vs Median6.98%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio2.05
Rel. Str. IBD85.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group56.4
Character TTM
Beta0.826
Beta Downside0.730
Hurst Exponent0.446
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD24.19%
CAGR/Max DD1.19
CAGR/Mean DD3.72
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Description: RIO Rio Tinto
Rio Tinto Group is a multinational mining organization headquartered in London, specializing in the extraction and processing of iron ore, aluminum, lithium, and copper. The company maintains integrated operations that include open-pit and underground mines alongside refineries, smelters, and global shipping infrastructure.
The business model relies on high-capital expenditure projects to secure long-term mineral reserves, which are essential for global infrastructure and battery technology. As a diversified miner, Rio Tintos revenue is heavily influenced by cyclical commodity prices and industrial demand in major markets like China.
To evaluate how these commodity cycles impact long-term valuation, consider exploring the data available on ValueRay. The firms geographic focus remains centered on Western Australia for iron ore, while its copper and lithium segments target the growing global transition toward electrification.
- Chinese steel demand and infrastructure spending dictate iron ore revenue volatility
- Simandou project execution risks impact long-term iron ore production capacity
- Fluctuating global aluminum and copper prices drive base metal profit margins
- Decarbonization capital expenditures pressure free cash flow and dividend payout ratios
- Lithium market expansion and acquisition strategy shape future battery metal growth
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict)
8.5
| Net Income: 21.48b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.64 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 5.96% < 20% (prev 10.84%; Δ -4.88% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.26 > 3% & CFO 32.68b > Net Income 21.48b |
| Net Debt (16.72b) to EBITDA (40.59b): 0.41 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.44 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.64b) vs 12m ago 0.34% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 27.92% > 18% (prev 0.28%; Δ 2.76k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 96.19% > 50% (prev 78.09%; Δ 18.10% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.86 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 40.59b / Interest Expense TTM 1.82b) |
Altman Z''
4.06
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 21.57b - Total Current Liabilities 14.93b) / Total Assets 128.10b |
| B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 46.58b / Total Assets 128.10b) |
| C: 0.25 (EBIT TTM 28.93b / Avg Total Assets 115.83b) |
| D: 0.82 (Book Value of Equity 50.09b / Total Liabilities 61.08b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.06 = AA |
Beneish M
-2.58
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 5.16b/3.47b, Revenue 111.41b/80.86b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 27.92% / 28.20%) |
| AQI: 1.32 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.13) |
| SGI: 1.38 (Revenue 111.41b / 80.86b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 21.48b - CFO 32.68b) / TA 128.10b) |
| Beneish M = -2.58 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of RIO shares?
As of May 23, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 104.76 with a total of 1,642,153 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.52%, over one month by +3.94%, over three months by +9.70% and over the past year by +79.55%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.52%, over one month by +3.94%, over three months by +9.70% and over the past year by +79.55%.
Is RIO a buy, sell or hold?
Rio Tinto has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.43.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy RIO.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RIO price?
| Analysts Target Price | 101.3 | -3.3% |
Rio Tinto (RIO) - Fundamental Data Overview
as of 21 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 16.5714 P/E Forward = 12.2699
P/S = 2.8474
P/B = 2.6385
P/EG = 5.6909
Revenue TTM = 111.41b USD
EBIT TTM = 28.93b USD
EBITDA TTM = 40.59b USD
Long Term Debt = 21.20b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.26b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 26.16b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.59b
Net Debt = 16.72b USD (calculated: Debt 26.16b - CCE 9.45b)
Enterprise Value = 180.84b USD (164.12b + Debt 26.16b - CCE 9.45b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.86 (Ebit TTM 28.93b / Interest Expense TTM 1.82b)
EV/FCF = 16.79x (Enterprise Value 180.84b / FCF TTM 10.77b)
FCF Yield = 5.96% (FCF TTM 10.77b / Enterprise Value 180.84b)
FCF Margin = 9.67% (FCF TTM 10.77b / Revenue TTM 111.41b)
Net Margin = 19.28% (Net Income TTM 21.48b / Revenue TTM 111.41b)
Gross Margin = 27.92% ((Revenue TTM 111.41b - Cost of Revenue TTM 80.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.60% (prev 24.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.41 (Enterprise Value 180.84b / Total Assets 128.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.97% (Interest Expense 516.1m / Debt 26.16b)
Taxrate = 27.05% (2.11b / 7.80b)
NOPAT = 21.10b (EBIT 28.93b * (1 - 27.05%))
Current Ratio = 1.44 (Total Current Assets 21.57b / Total Current Liabilities 14.93b)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 26.16b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 62.20b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.41 (Net Debt 16.72b / EBITDA 40.59b)
Debt / FCF = 1.55 (Net Debt 16.72b / FCF TTM 10.77b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 57.73b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.54% (Net Income 21.48b / Total Assets 128.10b)
RoE = 37.21% (Net Income TTM 21.48b / Total Stockholder Equity 57.73b)
RoCE = 36.65% (EBIT 28.93b / Capital Employed (Equity 57.73b + L.T.Debt 21.20b))
RoIC = 20.10% (NOPAT 21.10b / Invested Capital 104.98b)
WACC = 7.87% (E(164.12b)/V(190.29b) * Re(8.89%) + D(26.16b)/V(190.29b) * Rd(1.97%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 86.67 | Cagr: 0.27%
[DCF] Terminal Value 82.03% ; FCFF base≈8.85b ; Y1≈10.92b ; Y5≈18.64b
[DCF] Fair Price = 249.2 (EV 329.36b - Net Debt 16.72b = Equity 312.64b / Shares 1.25b; r=7.87% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 50.89 | EPS CAGR: 12.58% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 67.58 | Revenue CAGR: 2.11% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.36 | Chg30d=+2.81% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+25.0% | GrowthRev=+9.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.86 | Chg30d=+4.07% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+5.9% | GrowthRev=+2.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25%