(RIO) Rio Tinto - NYSE

Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 161.584m USD | Total Return: 68.5% in 12m

Iron Ore, Aluminium, Copper, Lithium
Total Rating 57
Safety 53
Buy Signal -0.76
Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Rotation: -24.9
Market Cap: 162B
Avg Turnover: 284M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility33.0%
VaR 5th Pctl5.81%
VaR vs Median6.95%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.77
Rel. Str. IBD77.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group66.3
Character TTM
Beta0.947
Beta Downside0.888
Hurst Exponent0.404
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD24.19%
CAGR/Max DD0.87
CAGR/Mean DD2.67

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: RIO Rio Tinto

Rio Tinto Group is a globally diversified mining and metals company that explores, mines, and processes mineral resources across three core segments: Iron Ore, Aluminium and Lithium, and Copper. Its iron ore operations, along with salt and gypsum production, are concentrated in Western Australia, while the aluminium and lithium segment spans bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminium smelting, recycling, and lithium processing. The Copper segment includes mining and refining of copper, gold, silver, molybdenum, and other by-products, with ongoing exploration activities.

The company operates a vertically integrated business model, owning and managing open pit and underground mines, refineries, smelters, processing plants, power generation, and shipping facilities. Headquartered in London and founded in 1873, Rio Tinto is classified within the Materials sector under the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry, reflecting its broad exposure across the mining value chain.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Iron ore prices fall on weakening Chinese steel demand
  • Copper production ramps up at Oyu Tolgoi underground mine
  • Shareholder returns boosted by record special dividends
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 9.98b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.07 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 11.50% < 20% (prev 13.75%; Δ -2.25% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 17.1b > Net Income 9.98b
Net Debt (15.7b) to EBITDA (20.6b): 0.76 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.44 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.64b) vs 12m ago 0.34% < -2%
Gross Margin: 25.17% > 18% (prev 30.15%; Δ -4.97% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 50.03% > 50% (prev 52.20%; Δ -2.18% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.53 > 6 (EBIT TTM 14.4b / Interest Expense TTM 1.06b)
Altman Z'' 3.43
A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 21.6b - Total Current Liabilities 14.9b) / Total Assets 128b
B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 46.6b / Total Assets 128b)
C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 14.4b / Avg Total Assets 115b)
D: 1.02 (Book Value of Equity 62.2b / Total Liabilities 61.1b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.43 = A
Beneish M -2.37
DSRI: 1.36 (Receivables 5.16b/3.52b, Revenue 57.8b/53.7b)
GMI: 1.20 (GM 30.15% / 25.17%)
AQI: 1.23 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.14)
SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 57.8b / 53.7b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 9.98b - CFO 17.1b) / TA 128b)
Beneish M = -2.37 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of RIO shares?

As of June 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 93.74 with a total of 2,037,594 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.33%, over one month by -12.34%, over three months by +9.27% and over the past year by +68.48%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 90.00 (which is 4% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is RIO a buy, sell or hold?

Rio Tinto has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.75. Therefore, it is recommended to hold RIO.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the RIO price?
Analysts Target Price 105.1 12.2%
Rio Tinto (RIO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 162b (162b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 16.3421
P/E Forward = 11.8203
P/S = 2.8034
P/B = 2.5977
P/EG = 5.6909
Revenue TTM = 57.8b USD
EBIT TTM = 14.4b USD
EBITDA TTM = 20.6b USD
Long Term Debt = 21.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.26b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 25.1b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.59b
Net Debt = 15.7b USD (calculated: Debt 25.1b - CCE 9.45b)
Enterprise Value = 177b USD (162b + Debt 25.1b - CCE 9.45b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.53 (Ebit TTM 14.4b / Interest Expense TTM 1.06b)
EV/FCF = 36.98x (Enterprise Value 177b / FCF TTM 4.79b)
FCF Yield = 2.70% (FCF TTM 4.79b / Enterprise Value 177b)
FCF Margin = 8.30% (FCF TTM 4.79b / Revenue TTM 57.8b)
Net Margin = 17.29% (Net Income TTM 9.98b / Revenue TTM 57.8b)
Gross Margin = 25.17% ((Revenue TTM 57.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 43.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.33% (prev 24.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.38 (Enterprise Value 177b / Total Assets 128b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.24% (Interest Expense 1.06b / Debt 25.1b)
Taxrate = 29.66% (4.33b / 14.6b)
NOPAT = 10.1b (EBIT 14.4b * (1 - 29.66%))
Current Ratio = 1.44 (Total Current Assets 21.6b / Total Current Liabilities 14.9b)
Debt / Equity = 0.40 (Debt 25.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 62.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.76 (Net Debt 15.7b / EBITDA 20.6b)
Debt / FCF = 3.27 (Net Debt 15.7b / FCF TTM 4.79b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 57.7b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.65% (Net Income 9.98b / Total Assets 128b)
RoE = 17.30% (Net Income TTM 9.98b / Total Stockholder Equity 57.7b)
RoCE = 18.26% (EBIT 14.4b / Capital Employed (Equity 57.7b + L.T.Debt 21.2b))
RoIC = 9.09% (NOPAT 10.1b / Invested Capital 112b)
WACC = 8.47% (E(162b)/V(187b) * Re(9.32%) + D(25.1b)/V(187b) * Rd(4.24%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 9.32% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 86.67 | Cagr: 0.27%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.66% ; FCFF base≈5.27b ; Y1≈4.62b ; Y5≈3.73b
[DCF] Fair Price = 34.35 (EV 58.8b - Net Debt 15.7b = Equity 43.1b / Shares 1.25b; r=8.47% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 50.89 | EPS CAGR: 12.58% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 67.58 | Revenue CAGR: 2.11% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.67 | Chg30d=+3.64% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+29.5% | GrowthRev=+10.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.89 | Chg30d=+0.34% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+2.6% | GrowthRev=+2.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -33%