(SO) Southern - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Natural Gas, Renewables, Pipelines, Communications
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.37% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.92% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 3.01% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 69.2% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 17.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 28.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 0.16% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.31 |
| Alpha | 4.02 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.71 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.405 |
| Beta | 0.020 |
| Beta Downside | 0.052 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 15.46% |
| Mean DD | 4.78% |
| Median DD | 4.08% |
Description: SO Southern December 02, 2025
The Southern Company (NYSE: SO) is a vertically integrated utility that generates, transmits, and distributes electricity, while also delivering natural gas across Illinois, Georgia, Virginia, and Tennessee. Its portfolio includes conventional generation, expanding renewable assets, and a suite of ancillary services such as microgrids, distributed-energy solutions, and fiber-optic communications.
Key operating metrics show SO delivering about 96 TWh of electricity in FY 2023, with a regulated dividend yield near 4.3 % and a credit rating of A- (S&P). The company has pledged to add roughly 3 GW of renewable capacity by 2028, a target driven by state-level clean-energy mandates and the broader sector shift toward decarbonization. Capital expenditures are expected to stay above $12 billion annually, reflecting pipeline upgrades, grid modernization, and the need to fund interest-rate-sensitive debt in a rising-rate environment.
For a deeper quantitative view of SO’s valuation sensitivities and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s toolset worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (4.46b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.73b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.59pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -14.18% (prev -4.26%; Δ -9.92pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 9.38b > Net Income 4.46b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (70.40b) to EBITDA (14.02b) ratio: 5.02 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.75 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.11b) change vs 12m ago 0.63% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 49.10% (prev 49.83%; Δ -0.73pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 19.46% (prev 18.36%; Δ 1.10pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.76 (EBITDA TTM 14.02b / Interest Expense TTM 3.04b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.72
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 12.63b - Total Current Liabilities 16.73b) / Total Assets 153.25b |
| (B) 0.10 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 15.25b / Total Assets 153.25b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 8.38b / Avg Total Assets 148.60b |
| (D) 0.18 = Book Value of Equity 20.64b / Total Liabilities 114.97b |
| Total Rating: 0.72 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.46
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.22% |
| 3. FCF Margin -6.91% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.11 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.02 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.83)% |
| 7. RoE 13.11% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 26.49% |
| 9. EPS Trend 38.42% |
What is the price of SO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.22%, over one month by -3.40%, over three months by -7.03% and over the past year by +8.75%.
Is SO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the SO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 96.7 | 11% |
| Analysts Target Price | 96.7 | 11% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 93.2 | 7% |
SO Fundamental Data Overview December 28, 2025
P/E Trailing = 21.2139
P/E Forward = 19.0114
P/S = 3.2478
P/B = 2.7438
P/EG = 3.1151
Beta = 0.444
Revenue TTM = 28.91b USD
EBIT TTM = 8.38b USD
EBITDA TTM = 14.02b USD
Long Term Debt = 64.62b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.88b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 73.75b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 70.40b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 164.31b USD (93.90b + Debt 73.75b - CCE 3.34b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.76 (Ebit TTM 8.38b / Interest Expense TTM 3.04b)
FCF Yield = -1.22% (FCF TTM -2.00b / Enterprise Value 164.31b)
FCF Margin = -6.91% (FCF TTM -2.00b / Revenue TTM 28.91b)
Net Margin = 15.42% (Net Income TTM 4.46b / Revenue TTM 28.91b)
Gross Margin = 49.10% ((Revenue TTM 28.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14.72b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.02% (prev 50.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.07 (Enterprise Value 164.31b / Total Assets 153.25b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.02% (Interest Expense 755.0m / Debt 73.75b)
Taxrate = 18.95% (400.0m / 2.11b)
NOPAT = 6.80b (EBIT 8.38b * (1 - 18.95%))
Current Ratio = 0.75 (Total Current Assets 12.63b / Total Current Liabilities 16.73b)
Debt / Equity = 2.11 (Debt 73.75b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 35.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.02 (Net Debt 70.40b / EBITDA 14.02b)
Debt / FCF = -35.24 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 70.40b / FCF TTM -2.00b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 34.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.91% (Net Income 4.46b / Total Assets 153.25b)
RoE = 13.11% (Net Income TTM 4.46b / Total Stockholder Equity 34.02b)
RoCE = 8.50% (EBIT 8.38b / Capital Employed (Equity 34.02b + L.T.Debt 64.62b))
RoIC = 6.61% (NOPAT 6.80b / Invested Capital 102.79b)
WACC = 3.78% (E(93.90b)/V(167.65b) * Re(6.09%) + D(73.75b)/V(167.65b) * Rd(1.02%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 6.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.52%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -2.00b)
EPS Correlation: 38.42 | EPS CAGR: 48.85% | SUE: 0.76 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 26.49 | Revenue CAGR: 8.47% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.28 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.57 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+6.7% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%
Additional Sources for SO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle