SU Stock Analysis: Suncor Energy | NYSE
Oil & Gas Integrated | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 80.220m USD | 12M Return: 72.7% | CA8672241079 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 267M
EPS Trend: 5.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 50.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE: SU) is a Canadian integrated energy company headquartered in Calgary, with operations across Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company reports through three segments: Oil Sands, which produces bitumen and manages crude oil marketing, transportation, and byproduct sales; Exploration and Production, covering offshore assets on Canadas east coast along with onshore operations in Libya and Syria; and Refining and Marketing, which processes crude oil into petroleum and petrochemical products and sells refined fuels to retail customers. Founded in 1917 and originally named Suncor Inc., the company adopted its current name in April 1997.
As an integrated oil and gas operator, Suncor combines upstream production with downstream refining and marketing, providing vertical integration that helps manage commodity price volatility across the value chain. Its oil sands segment focuses on bitumen extraction, a heavy crude typically found in Alberta that often requires upgrading or blending before it can be processed by conventional refineries. The company is classified within the GICS Integrated Oil & Gas sub-industry, a group dominated by a small number of large-cap multinational energy producers.
- Crude oil price swings drive Oil Sands segment revenue
- Refining crack spreads compress as fuel demand softens
- Share buybacks accelerate as net debt targets met
| Net Income: 8.93b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 12.47% < 20% (prev 5.60%; Δ 6.87% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 15.8b > Net Income 8.93b |
| Net Debt (14.1b) to EBITDA (20.1b): 0.70 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.65 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.18b) vs 12m ago -3.83% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 53.97% > 18% (prev 57.92%; Δ -3.96% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 64.38% > 50% (prev 56.11%; Δ 8.26% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 16.10 > 6 (EBIT TTM 12.8b / Interest Expense TTM 797.8m) |
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 18.6b - Total Current Liabilities 11.3b) / Total Assets 94.7b |
| B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 26.5b / Total Assets 94.7b) |
| C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 12.8b / Avg Total Assets 91.7b) |
| D: 1.03 (Book Value of Equity 48.2b / Total Liabilities 46.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.45 = A |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 6.79b/5.92b, Revenue 59.0b/49.7b) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 57.92% / 53.97%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 1.19 (Revenue 59.0b / 49.7b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 8.93b - CFO 15.8b) / TA 94.7b) |
| Beneish M = -2.84 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 67.37 with a total of 2,173,048 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.07%, over one month by +2.37%, over three months by +3.44% and over the past year by +72.70%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 65.00 (which is 3.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Suncor Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.86. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SU.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 71.2 | 5.7% |
Market Cap CAD = 111b (80.2b USD * 1.3784 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 12.489
P/E Forward = 9.7466
P/S = 1.418
P/B = 2.2728
P/EG = 11.4012
Revenue TTM = 59.0b CAD
EBIT TTM = 12.8b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 20.1b CAD
Long Term Debt = 9.20b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.38b CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.5b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.83b
Net Debt = 14.1b CAD (calculated: Debt 19.5b - CCE 5.37b)
Enterprise Value = 125b CAD (111b + Debt 19.5b - CCE 5.37b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 16.10 (Ebit TTM 12.8b / Interest Expense TTM 797.8m)
EV/FCF = 12.08x (Enterprise Value 125b / FCF TTM 10.3b)
FCF Yield = 8.28% (FCF TTM 10.3b / Enterprise Value 125b)
FCF Margin = 17.49% (FCF TTM 10.3b / Revenue TTM 59.0b)
Net Margin = 15.12% (Net Income TTM 8.93b / Revenue TTM 59.0b)
Gross Margin = 53.97% ((Revenue TTM 59.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 27.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.47% (prev 48.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.32 (Enterprise Value 125b / Total Assets 94.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.09% (Interest Expense 797.8m / Debt 19.5b)
Taxrate = 25.79% (3.10b / 12.0b)
NOPAT = 9.53b (EBIT 12.8b * (1 - 25.79%))
Current Ratio = 1.65 (Total Current Assets 18.6b / Total Current Liabilities 11.3b)
Debt / Equity = 0.41 (Debt 19.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 48.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.70 (Net Debt 14.1b / EBITDA 20.1b)
Debt / FCF = 1.37 (Net Debt 14.1b / FCF TTM 10.3b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 46.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.74% (Net Income 8.93b / Total Assets 94.7b)
RoE = 19.39% (Net Income TTM 8.93b / Total Stockholder Equity 46.0b)
RoCE = 23.25% (EBIT 12.8b / Capital Employed (Equity 46.0b + L.T.Debt 9.20b))
RoIC = 11.64% (NOPAT 9.53b / Invested Capital 81.9b)
WACC = 6.21% (E(111b)/V(130b) * Re(6.77%) + D(19.5b)/V(130b) * Rd(4.09%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 6.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -99.74 | Cagr: -3.92%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈9.57b ; Y1≈11.0b ; Y5≈16.1b
[DCF] Fair Price = 193.8 (EV 243b - Net Debt 14.1b = Equity 229b / Shares 1.18b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 5.01 | EPS CAGR: 0.58% | SUE: 0.79 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 50.25 | Revenue CAGR: 2.84% | SUE: 1.50 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.52 | Chg30d=+2.34% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.05 | Chg30d=+5.04% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+118.1% | GrowthRev=+26.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.85 | Chg30d=+0.74% | Revisions=+10% | GrowthEPS=-21.9% | GrowthRev=-9.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +5% (up=9, down=8)