(SU) Suncor Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: Canada •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: CA8672241079
Bitumen, Crude, Refined, Petrochemicals, Power
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.72% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 11.43% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 18.10% |
| Payout Consistency | 70.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 38.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 26.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 42.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.81% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.65 |
| Alpha | 6.52 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.88 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.577 |
| Beta | 0.723 |
| Beta Downside | 1.064 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 22.42% |
| Mean DD | 6.68% |
| Median DD | 5.70% |
Description: SU Suncor Energy December 04, 2025
Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE: SU) is a vertically integrated Canadian energy firm that operates across three primary segments: Oil Sands, which extracts and transports bitumen and related by-products; Exploration & Production, covering offshore assets on Canada’s east coast and on-shore projects in Libya and Syria; and Refining & Marketing, which processes crude into fuels and petrochemicals while also trading crude, refined products, natural gas, and power.
As of 2023, Suncor produced roughly 770,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, generated US$7.5 billion of operating cash flow, and allocated about US$6 billion to capital expenditures-highlighting its focus on maintaining production capacity and expanding its renewable power portfolio.
Key economic drivers for Suncor include crude-oil price volatility (its earnings are highly correlated with WTI/Brent spreads), Canadian regulatory changes around carbon pricing, and the broader shift toward lower-carbon energy, which is prompting the company to invest in wind and solar projects to diversify revenue streams.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find ValueRay’s integrated model useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (5.26b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 3.01b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.65pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 7.17% (prev 10.89%; Δ -3.72pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 13.94b > Net Income 5.26b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (11.51b) to EBITDA (15.06b) ratio: 0.76 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.35 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.21b) change vs 12m ago -4.64% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 42.60% (prev 43.84%; Δ -1.23pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 55.69% (prev 56.22%; Δ -0.53pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 11.97 (EBITDA TTM 15.06b / Interest Expense TTM 641.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.73
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 13.93b - Total Current Liabilities 10.34b) / Total Assets 89.47b |
| (B) 0.26 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 23.01b / Total Assets 89.47b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 7.67b / Avg Total Assets 90.07b |
| (D) 1.01 = Book Value of Equity 44.66b / Total Liabilities 44.31b |
| Total Rating: 2.73 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.83
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 9.34% |
| 3. FCF Margin 16.02% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.32 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.76 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.82)% |
| 7. RoE 11.75% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -25.54% |
| 9. EPS Trend -48.94% |
What is the price of SU shares?
As of December 07, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 44.25 with a total of 4,286,559 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.22%, over one month by +8.40%, over three months by +11.79% and over the past year by +17.90%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.22%, over one month by +8.40%, over three months by +11.79% and over the past year by +17.90%.
Is SU a buy, sell or hold?
Suncor Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.86.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy SU.
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SU price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 44.4 | 0.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 44.4 | 0.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 53.8 | 21.6% |
SU Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
Market Cap CAD = 74.53b (53.95b USD * 1.3815 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 14.5789
P/E Forward = 18.0505
P/S = 1.0922
P/B = 1.6556
P/EG = 0.07
Beta = 0.793
Revenue TTM = 50.16b CAD
EBIT TTM = 7.67b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 15.06b CAD
Long Term Debt = 8.61b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.04b CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.45b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.51b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 86.04b CAD (74.53b + Debt 14.45b - CCE 2.94b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.97 (Ebit TTM 7.67b / Interest Expense TTM 641.0m)
FCF Yield = 9.34% (FCF TTM 8.04b / Enterprise Value 86.04b)
FCF Margin = 16.02% (FCF TTM 8.04b / Revenue TTM 50.16b)
Net Margin = 10.49% (Net Income TTM 5.26b / Revenue TTM 50.16b)
Gross Margin = 42.60% ((Revenue TTM 50.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 28.79b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 60.29% (prev 40.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.96 (Enterprise Value 86.04b / Total Assets 89.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 124.0m / Debt 14.45b)
Taxrate = 26.97% (598.0m / 2.22b)
NOPAT = 5.60b (EBIT 7.67b * (1 - 26.97%))
Current Ratio = 1.35 (Total Current Assets 13.93b / Total Current Liabilities 10.34b)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 14.45b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 45.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.76 (Net Debt 11.51b / EBITDA 15.06b)
Debt / FCF = 1.43 (Net Debt 11.51b / FCF TTM 8.04b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 44.77b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.88% (Net Income 5.26b / Total Assets 89.47b)
RoE = 11.75% (Net Income TTM 5.26b / Total Stockholder Equity 44.77b)
RoCE = 14.37% (EBIT 7.67b / Capital Employed (Equity 44.77b + L.T.Debt 8.61b))
RoIC = 10.20% (NOPAT 5.60b / Invested Capital 54.95b)
WACC = 7.37% (E(74.53b)/V(88.99b) * Re(8.68%) + D(14.45b)/V(88.99b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.30%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.53% ; FCFE base≈8.31b ; Y1≈8.60b ; Y5≈9.77b
Fair Price DCF = 127.1 (DCF Value 152.71b / Shares Outstanding 1.20b; 5y FCF grow 3.57% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -48.94 | EPS CAGR: 4.51% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -25.54 | Revenue CAGR: 3.21% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.03 | Chg30d=+0.015 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.15 | Chg30d=+0.240 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=-12.3% | Growth Revenue=-3.5%
P/E Trailing = 14.5789
P/E Forward = 18.0505
P/S = 1.0922
P/B = 1.6556
P/EG = 0.07
Beta = 0.793
Revenue TTM = 50.16b CAD
EBIT TTM = 7.67b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 15.06b CAD
Long Term Debt = 8.61b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.04b CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.45b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.51b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 86.04b CAD (74.53b + Debt 14.45b - CCE 2.94b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.97 (Ebit TTM 7.67b / Interest Expense TTM 641.0m)
FCF Yield = 9.34% (FCF TTM 8.04b / Enterprise Value 86.04b)
FCF Margin = 16.02% (FCF TTM 8.04b / Revenue TTM 50.16b)
Net Margin = 10.49% (Net Income TTM 5.26b / Revenue TTM 50.16b)
Gross Margin = 42.60% ((Revenue TTM 50.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 28.79b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 60.29% (prev 40.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.96 (Enterprise Value 86.04b / Total Assets 89.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 124.0m / Debt 14.45b)
Taxrate = 26.97% (598.0m / 2.22b)
NOPAT = 5.60b (EBIT 7.67b * (1 - 26.97%))
Current Ratio = 1.35 (Total Current Assets 13.93b / Total Current Liabilities 10.34b)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 14.45b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 45.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.76 (Net Debt 11.51b / EBITDA 15.06b)
Debt / FCF = 1.43 (Net Debt 11.51b / FCF TTM 8.04b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 44.77b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.88% (Net Income 5.26b / Total Assets 89.47b)
RoE = 11.75% (Net Income TTM 5.26b / Total Stockholder Equity 44.77b)
RoCE = 14.37% (EBIT 7.67b / Capital Employed (Equity 44.77b + L.T.Debt 8.61b))
RoIC = 10.20% (NOPAT 5.60b / Invested Capital 54.95b)
WACC = 7.37% (E(74.53b)/V(88.99b) * Re(8.68%) + D(14.45b)/V(88.99b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.30%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.53% ; FCFE base≈8.31b ; Y1≈8.60b ; Y5≈9.77b
Fair Price DCF = 127.1 (DCF Value 152.71b / Shares Outstanding 1.20b; 5y FCF grow 3.57% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -48.94 | EPS CAGR: 4.51% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -25.54 | Revenue CAGR: 3.21% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.03 | Chg30d=+0.015 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.15 | Chg30d=+0.240 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=-12.3% | Growth Revenue=-3.5%
Additional Sources for SU Stock
News:
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Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle