(SU) Suncor Energy - Overview
Sector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Integrated | Exchange NYSE (USA) | Currency USD | Market Cap: 77.039m | Total Return 79.5% in 12m
Stock: Bitumen, Crude Oil, Refined Petroleum, Petrochemicals, Natural Gas
Total Rating 67
Risk 83
Buy Signal 0.78
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.44% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.16 |
| Alpha | 69.28 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.565 |
| Beta Downside | 0.769 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 22.42% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.56 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: SU Suncor Energy February 27, 2026
Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE: SU) is a vertically integrated Canadian energy firm that extracts bitumen from oil-sands, operates offshore and on-shore exploration assets (including projects in Libya and Syria), and refines crude into gasoline, diesel and petrochemicals while also trading oil, gas and power.
In Q4 2023 Suncor produced roughly 770,000 bbl/d of oil-sands crude, generated $6.5 billion of operating cash flow, and announced a dividend yielding about 4.6% on its $45-per-share price. Capital expenditures were $5.3 billion, reflecting continued investment in upgrading capacity and offshore projects. The company’s earnings remain highly sensitive to Brent crude prices, which analysts expect to average $80–$85 per barrel in 2024 amid tightening global supply and a gradual shift toward lower-carbon energy sources.
For a deeper dive into Suncor’s valuation metrics, you might explore the analysis on ValueRay.
Headlines to watch out for
- Global crude oil prices dictate upstream profitability
- Refinery utilization rates impact downstream margins
- Canadian oil sands production costs influence earnings
- Regulatory changes to carbon emissions affect operations
- Geopolitical stability in Libya and Syria impacts E&P segment
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 5.92b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.85 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.21% < 20% (prev 6.99%; Δ 1.23% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 12.78b > Net Income 5.92b |
| Net Debt (14.72b) to EBITDA (15.83b): 0.93 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.39 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.20b) vs 12m ago -4.38% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 59.08% > 18% (prev 0.59%; Δ 5.85k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 54.46% > 50% (prev 56.46%; Δ -2.00% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.22 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 15.83b / Interest Expense TTM 742.8m) |
Altman Z'' 2.81
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 14.22b - Total Current Liabilities 10.20b) / Total Assets 89.84b |
| B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 23.20b / Total Assets 89.84b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 8.34b / Avg Total Assets 89.81b) |
| D: 1.00 (Book Value of Equity 44.59b / Total Liabilities 44.75b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.81 = A |
Beneish M -2.93
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 5.45b/5.76b, Revenue 48.91b/50.69b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 59.08% / 58.66%) |
| AQI: 1.38 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 48.91b / 50.69b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 5.92b - CFO 12.78b) / TA 89.84b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of SU shares?
As of March 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 66.66 with a total of 4,889,416 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.63%, over one month by +18.85%, over three months by +53.62% and over the past year by +79.47%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.63%, over one month by +18.85%, over three months by +53.62% and over the past year by +79.47%.
Is SU a buy, sell or hold?
Suncor Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.86.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy SU.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SU price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 58.1 | -12.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 58.1 | -12.9% |
SU Fundamental Data Overview March 27, 2026
Market Cap CAD = 107.02b (77.04b USD * 1.3892 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 18.3286
P/E Forward = 20.1207
P/S = 1.5752
P/B = 2.337
P/EG = 11.4012
Revenue TTM = 48.91b CAD
EBIT TTM = 8.34b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 15.83b CAD
Long Term Debt = 9.01b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.61b CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 18.37b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14.72b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 121.74b CAD (107.02b + Debt 18.37b - CCE 3.65b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.22 (Ebit TTM 8.34b / Interest Expense TTM 742.8m)
EV/FCF = 17.58x (Enterprise Value 121.74b / FCF TTM 6.92b)
FCF Yield = 5.69% (FCF TTM 6.92b / Enterprise Value 121.74b)
FCF Margin = 14.16% (FCF TTM 6.92b / Revenue TTM 48.91b)
Net Margin = 12.10% (Net Income TTM 5.92b / Revenue TTM 48.91b)
Gross Margin = 59.08% ((Revenue TTM 48.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 20.01b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 61.04% (prev 60.29%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.36 (Enterprise Value 121.74b / Total Assets 89.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.12% (Interest Expense 204.8m / Debt 18.37b)
Taxrate = 26.46% (531.0m / 2.01b)
NOPAT = 6.13b (EBIT 8.34b * (1 - 26.46%))
Current Ratio = 1.39 (Total Current Assets 14.22b / Total Current Liabilities 10.20b)
Debt / Equity = 0.41 (Debt 18.37b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 45.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.93 (Net Debt 14.72b / EBITDA 15.83b)
Debt / FCF = 2.13 (Net Debt 14.72b / FCF TTM 6.92b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 44.92b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.59% (Net Income 5.92b / Total Assets 89.84b)
RoE = 13.18% (Net Income TTM 5.92b / Total Stockholder Equity 44.92b)
RoCE = 15.46% (EBIT 8.34b / Capital Employed (Equity 44.92b + L.T.Debt 9.01b))
RoIC = 11.15% (NOPAT 6.13b / Invested Capital 55.01b)
WACC = 6.92% (E(107.02b)/V(125.39b) * Re(7.97%) + D(18.37b)/V(125.39b) * Rd(1.12%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 7.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.73%
[DCF] Terminal Value 82.26% ; FCFF base≈7.94b ; Y1≈7.73b ; Y5≈7.76b
[DCF] Fair Price = 137.0 (EV 177.33b - Net Debt 14.72b = Equity 162.61b / Shares 1.19b; r=6.92% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -3.81% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -74.02 | EPS CAGR: -13.80% | SUE: 1.56 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -61.00 | Revenue CAGR: -2.69% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.39 | Chg7d=+0.090 | Chg30d=+0.507 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.50 | Chg7d=+0.232 | Chg30d=+0.807 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=-2.4% | Growth Revenue=-4.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.88 | Chg7d=+0.135 | Chg30d=+0.325 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+8.5% | Growth Revenue=-0.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.20 (3 Up / 2 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 2.5% (Discount Rate 8.0% - Earnings Yield 5.5%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -4.2% (Analyst -1.7% - Implied 2.5%)
P/E Trailing = 18.3286
P/E Forward = 20.1207
P/S = 1.5752
P/B = 2.337
P/EG = 11.4012
Revenue TTM = 48.91b CAD
EBIT TTM = 8.34b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 15.83b CAD
Long Term Debt = 9.01b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.61b CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 18.37b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14.72b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 121.74b CAD (107.02b + Debt 18.37b - CCE 3.65b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.22 (Ebit TTM 8.34b / Interest Expense TTM 742.8m)
EV/FCF = 17.58x (Enterprise Value 121.74b / FCF TTM 6.92b)
FCF Yield = 5.69% (FCF TTM 6.92b / Enterprise Value 121.74b)
FCF Margin = 14.16% (FCF TTM 6.92b / Revenue TTM 48.91b)
Net Margin = 12.10% (Net Income TTM 5.92b / Revenue TTM 48.91b)
Gross Margin = 59.08% ((Revenue TTM 48.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 20.01b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 61.04% (prev 60.29%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.36 (Enterprise Value 121.74b / Total Assets 89.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.12% (Interest Expense 204.8m / Debt 18.37b)
Taxrate = 26.46% (531.0m / 2.01b)
NOPAT = 6.13b (EBIT 8.34b * (1 - 26.46%))
Current Ratio = 1.39 (Total Current Assets 14.22b / Total Current Liabilities 10.20b)
Debt / Equity = 0.41 (Debt 18.37b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 45.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.93 (Net Debt 14.72b / EBITDA 15.83b)
Debt / FCF = 2.13 (Net Debt 14.72b / FCF TTM 6.92b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 44.92b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.59% (Net Income 5.92b / Total Assets 89.84b)
RoE = 13.18% (Net Income TTM 5.92b / Total Stockholder Equity 44.92b)
RoCE = 15.46% (EBIT 8.34b / Capital Employed (Equity 44.92b + L.T.Debt 9.01b))
RoIC = 11.15% (NOPAT 6.13b / Invested Capital 55.01b)
WACC = 6.92% (E(107.02b)/V(125.39b) * Re(7.97%) + D(18.37b)/V(125.39b) * Rd(1.12%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 7.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.73%
[DCF] Terminal Value 82.26% ; FCFF base≈7.94b ; Y1≈7.73b ; Y5≈7.76b
[DCF] Fair Price = 137.0 (EV 177.33b - Net Debt 14.72b = Equity 162.61b / Shares 1.19b; r=6.92% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -3.81% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -74.02 | EPS CAGR: -13.80% | SUE: 1.56 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -61.00 | Revenue CAGR: -2.69% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.39 | Chg7d=+0.090 | Chg30d=+0.507 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.50 | Chg7d=+0.232 | Chg30d=+0.807 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=-2.4% | Growth Revenue=-4.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.88 | Chg7d=+0.135 | Chg30d=+0.325 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+8.5% | Growth Revenue=-0.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.20 (3 Up / 2 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 2.5% (Discount Rate 8.0% - Earnings Yield 5.5%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -4.2% (Analyst -1.7% - Implied 2.5%)