SU Stock Analysis: Suncor Energy | NYSE
Oil & Gas Integrated | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 81.589m USD | 12M Return: 79% | CA8672241079 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 251M
EPS Trend: 5.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 50.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE: SU) is a Canadian-headquartered integrated energy company with operations across Canada, the United States, and internationally. Founded in 1917 and based in Calgary, the company operates through three core segments: Oil Sands (producing bitumen and managing crude oil, power, and byproducts), Exploration and Production (offshore east coast Canada, plus onshore assets in Libya and Syria), and Refining and Marketing (refining crude oil and feedstock into petroleum and petrochemical products, with retail sales and trading of crude, refined products, natural gas, and power). Originally named Suncor Inc., it adopted its current name in April 1997. Integrated oil & gas majors like Suncor typically span the upstream (extraction), midstream (transportation and trading), and downstream (refining and marketing) value chains, which can provide diversification across commodity price cycles. Suncors heavy weighting toward Oil Sands distinguishes it from peers, as bitumen requires specialized upgrading or blending to be processed by refineries. As a large-cap energy issuer, the stock is commonly tracked alongside other North American integrated producers and is frequently held in sector-focused or dividend-oriented portfolios.
- WTI crude price swings directly impact Oil Sands segment margins
- Refining and Marketing profitability tracks crack spreads and product demand
- Federal carbon tax and emissions cap raise Oil Sands operating costs
- Trans Mountain pipeline expansion boosts access to higher-priced export markets
- Retail fuel margins face competition from electric vehicle adoption and discounters
- Heavy oil differential narrows with increased pipeline takeaway capacity
| Net Income: 8.93b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 12.47% < 20% (prev 5.60%; Δ 6.87% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 15.8b > Net Income 8.93b |
| Net Debt (14.1b) to EBITDA (20.1b): 0.70 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.65 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.18b) vs 12m ago -3.83% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 53.97% > 18% (prev 57.92%; Δ -3.96% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 64.38% > 50% (prev 56.11%; Δ 8.26% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 16.10 > 6 (EBIT TTM 12.8b / Interest Expense TTM 797.8m) |
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 18.6b - Total Current Liabilities 11.3b) / Total Assets 94.7b |
| B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 26.5b / Total Assets 94.7b) |
| C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 12.8b / Avg Total Assets 91.7b) |
| D: 1.03 (Book Value of Equity 48.2b / Total Liabilities 46.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.45 = A |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 6.79b/5.92b, Revenue 59.0b/49.7b) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 57.92% / 53.97%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 1.19 (Revenue 59.0b / 49.7b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 8.93b - CFO 15.8b) / TA 94.7b) |
| Beneish M = -2.84 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 70.91 with a total of 3,844,169 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.62%, over one month by +4.45%, over three months by +20.83% and over the past year by +79.00%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 68.40 (which is 3.5% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Suncor Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.14. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SU.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 70 | -1.3% |
Market Cap CAD = 116b (81.6b USD * 1.4261 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 12.8439
P/E Forward = 10.2564
P/S = 1.4422
P/B = 2.2751
P/EG = 11.4012
Revenue TTM = 59.0b CAD
EBIT TTM = 12.8b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 20.1b CAD
Long Term Debt = 9.20b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.38b CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.5b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.83b
Net Debt = 14.1b CAD (calculated: Debt 19.5b - CCE 5.37b)
Enterprise Value = 130b CAD (116b + Debt 19.5b - CCE 5.37b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 16.10 (Ebit TTM 12.8b / Interest Expense TTM 797.8m)
EV/FCF = 12.64x (Enterprise Value 130b / FCF TTM 10.3b)
FCF Yield = 7.91% (FCF TTM 10.3b / Enterprise Value 130b)
FCF Margin = 17.49% (FCF TTM 10.3b / Revenue TTM 59.0b)
Net Margin = 15.12% (Net Income TTM 8.93b / Revenue TTM 59.0b)
Gross Margin = 53.97% ((Revenue TTM 59.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 27.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.47% (prev 48.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.38 (Enterprise Value 130b / Total Assets 94.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.09% (Interest Expense 797.8m / Debt 19.5b)
Taxrate = 25.79% (3.10b / 12.0b)
NOPAT = 9.53b (EBIT 12.8b * (1 - 25.79%))
Current Ratio = 1.65 (Total Current Assets 18.6b / Total Current Liabilities 11.3b)
Debt / Equity = 0.41 (Debt 19.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 48.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.70 (Net Debt 14.1b / EBITDA 20.1b)
Debt / FCF = 1.37 (Net Debt 14.1b / FCF TTM 10.3b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 46.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.74% (Net Income 8.93b / Total Assets 94.7b)
RoE = 19.39% (Net Income TTM 8.93b / Total Stockholder Equity 46.0b)
RoCE = 23.25% (EBIT 12.8b / Capital Employed (Equity 46.0b + L.T.Debt 9.20b))
RoIC = 11.64% (NOPAT 9.53b / Invested Capital 81.9b)
WACC = 6.13% (E(116b)/V(136b) * Re(6.65%) + D(19.5b)/V(136b) * Rd(4.09%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 6.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -99.74 | Cagr: -3.92%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈9.57b ; Y1≈11.0b ; Y5≈16.1b
[DCF] Fair Price = 193.8 (EV 243b - Net Debt 14.1b = Equity 229b / Shares 1.18b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 5.01 | EPS CAGR: 0.58% | SUE: 0.79 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 50.25 | Revenue CAGR: 2.84% | SUE: 1.50 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.67 | Chg30d=+2.53% | Revisions=+44% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.28 | Chg30d=+2.08% | Revisions=+58% | GrowthEPS=+122.9% | GrowthRev=+27.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.26 | Chg30d=+6.18% | Revisions=+8% | GrowthEPS=-19.6% | GrowthRev=-9.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +44% (up=18, down=6)