(SU) Suncor Energy - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Canada • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA8672241079

Bitumen, Crude, Refined, Petrochemicals, Power

Stock: Integrated Oil & Gas
Age 32.2y

MCap 60,707m
Avg Vol 4.22M (208M USD)

Beta 0.736
Volatility 25.70%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -51.75%
EPS Trend: -76.3%

Last SUE: -3.25
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 3.21%
Rev. Trend: -25.5%

Last SUE: -0.05
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	4.24%
Yield on Cost 5y	11.64%
Yield CAGR 5y	18.53%
Payout Consistency	73.5%
Payout Ratio	38.1%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	25.7%
Value at Risk 5%th	41.1%
Relative Tail Risk	-2.77%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.07
Alpha	23.14
CAGR/Max DD	0.85

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.666
Beta	0.736
Beta Downside	1.124

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	22.42%
Mean DD	6.69%
Median DD	5.70%

Description: SU Suncor Energy December 04, 2025

Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE: SU) is a vertically integrated Canadian energy firm that operates across three primary segments: Oil Sands, which extracts and transports bitumen and related by-products; Exploration & Production, covering offshore assets on Canada’s east coast and on-shore projects in Libya and Syria; and Refining & Marketing, which processes crude into fuels and petrochemicals while also trading crude, refined products, natural gas, and power.

As of 2023, Suncor produced roughly 770,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, generated US$7.5 billion of operating cash flow, and allocated about US$6 billion to capital expenditures-highlighting its focus on maintaining production capacity and expanding its renewable power portfolio.

Key economic drivers for Suncor include crude-oil price volatility (its earnings are highly correlated with WTI/Brent spreads), Canadian regulatory changes around carbon pricing, and the broader shift toward lower-carbon energy, which is prompting the company to invest in wind and solar projects to diversify revenue streams.

For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find ValueRay’s integrated model useful.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5

Net Income: 5.26b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.65 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 7.17% < 20% (prev 10.89%; Δ -3.72% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 13.94b > Net Income 5.26b
Net Debt (11.52b) to EBITDA (15.06b): 0.77 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.35 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.21b) vs 12m ago -4.64% < -2%
Gross Margin: 42.60% > 18% (prev 0.44%; Δ 4217 % > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 55.69% > 50% (prev 56.22%; Δ -0.53% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.97 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 15.06b / Interest Expense TTM 641.0m)

Altman Z'' 2.73

A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 13.93b - Total Current Liabilities 10.34b) / Total Assets 89.47b
B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 23.01b / Total Assets 89.47b)
C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 7.67b / Avg Total Assets 90.07b)
D: 1.01 (Book Value of Equity 44.66b / Total Liabilities 44.31b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 2.73 = A

Beneish M -3.27

DSRI: 0.76 (Receivables 5.02b/6.74b, Revenue 50.16b/50.97b)
GMI: 1.03 (GM 42.60% / 43.84%)
AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.06)
SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 50.16b / 50.97b)
TATA: -0.10 (NI 5.26b - CFO 13.94b) / TA 89.47b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.27 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 63.96

1. Piotroski: 7.50pt
2. FCF Yield: 8.49%
3. FCF Margin: 16.02%
4. Debt/Equity: 0.32
5. Debt/Ebitda: 0.77
6. ROIC - WACC: 2.75%
7. RoE: 11.75%
8. Revenue Trend: -25.54%
9. EPS Trend: -76.27%

What is the price of SU shares?

As of January 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 50.87 with a total of 2,643,221 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.08%, over one month by +18.00%, over three months by +28.29% and over the past year by +36.86%.

Is SU a buy, sell or hold?

Suncor Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.86. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SU.

Strong Buy: 7
Buy: 5
Hold: 8
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SU price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	45.6	-10.5%
Analysts Target Price	45.6	-10.5%
ValueRay Target Price	63.1	24.1%

SU Fundamental Data Overview January 24, 2026

Market Cap CAD = 83.08b (60.71b USD * 1.3685 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 16.0871
P/E Forward = 20.202
P/S = 1.229
P/B = 1.859
P/EG = 0.07
Revenue TTM = 50.16b CAD
EBIT TTM = 7.67b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 15.06b CAD
Long Term Debt = 8.61b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.04b CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.47b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.52b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 94.61b CAD (83.08b + Debt 14.47b - CCE 2.94b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.97 (Ebit TTM 7.67b / Interest Expense TTM 641.0m)
EV/FCF = 11.77x (Enterprise Value 94.61b / FCF TTM 8.04b)
FCF Yield = 8.49% (FCF TTM 8.04b / Enterprise Value 94.61b)
FCF Margin = 16.02% (FCF TTM 8.04b / Revenue TTM 50.16b)
Net Margin = 10.49% (Net Income TTM 5.26b / Revenue TTM 50.16b)
Gross Margin = 42.60% ((Revenue TTM 50.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 28.79b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 60.29% (prev 40.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.06 (Enterprise Value 94.61b / Total Assets 89.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 124.0m / Debt 14.47b)
Taxrate = 26.97% (598.0m / 2.22b)
NOPAT = 5.60b (EBIT 7.67b * (1 - 26.97%))
Current Ratio = 1.35 (Total Current Assets 13.93b / Total Current Liabilities 10.34b)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 14.47b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 45.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.77 (Net Debt 11.52b / EBITDA 15.06b)
Debt / FCF = 1.43 (Net Debt 11.52b / FCF TTM 8.04b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 44.77b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.84% (Net Income 5.26b / Total Assets 89.47b)
RoE = 11.75% (Net Income TTM 5.26b / Total Stockholder Equity 44.77b)
RoCE = 14.37% (EBIT 7.67b / Capital Employed (Equity 44.77b + L.T.Debt 8.61b))
RoIC = 10.20% (NOPAT 5.60b / Invested Capital 54.95b)
WACC = 7.44% (E(83.08b)/V(97.55b) * Re(8.63%) + D(14.47b)/V(97.55b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.30%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.65% ; FCFF base≈8.31b ; Y1≈8.60b ; Y5≈9.75b
Fair Price DCF = 149.6 (EV 191.23b - Net Debt 11.52b = Equity 179.71b / Shares 1.20b; r=7.44% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 3.57% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -76.27 | EPS CAGR: -51.75% | SUE: -3.25 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -25.54 | Revenue CAGR: 3.21% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=-0.255 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.50 | Chg30d=-0.625 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=-21.6% | Growth Revenue=-7.2%

Additional Sources for SU Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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