SU Stock Analysis: Suncor Energy | NYSE
Oil & Gas Integrated | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 65.000m USD | 12M Return: 55.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 280M
EPS Trend: -71.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -16.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE: SU) is a Canadian integrated energy company headquartered in Calgary, with operations across Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company reports through three segments: Oil Sands, which produces bitumen and manages crude oil marketing, transportation, and byproduct sales; Exploration and Production, covering offshore assets on Canadas east coast along with onshore operations in Libya and Syria; and Refining and Marketing, which processes crude oil into petroleum and petrochemical products and sells refined fuels to retail customers. Founded in 1917 and originally named Suncor Inc., the company adopted its current name in April 1997.
As an integrated oil and gas operator, Suncor combines upstream production with downstream refining and marketing, providing vertical integration that helps manage commodity price volatility across the value chain. Its oil sands segment focuses on bitumen extraction, a heavy crude typically found in Alberta that often requires upgrading or blending before it can be processed by conventional refineries. The company is classified within the GICS Integrated Oil & Gas sub-industry, a group dominated by a small number of large-cap multinational energy producers.
- Crude oil price swings drive Oil Sands segment revenue
- Refining crack spreads compress as fuel demand softens
- Share buybacks accelerate as net debt targets met
| Net Income: 6.33b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.26 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.89% < 20% (prev 7.88%; Δ 2.00% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 13.1b > Net Income 6.33b |
| Net Debt (16.2b) to EBITDA (16.4b): 0.99 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.42 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.19b) vs 12m ago -4.11% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 55.48% > 18% (prev 58.65%; Δ -3.17% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 56.99% > 50% (prev 56.45%; Δ 0.54% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.68 > 6 (EBIT TTM 8.94b / Interest Expense TTM 765.8m) |
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 17.5b - Total Current Liabilities 12.3b) / Total Assets 92.8b |
| B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 23.9b / Total Assets 92.8b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 8.94b / Avg Total Assets 91.3b) |
| D: 0.97 (Book Value of Equity 45.8b / Total Liabilities 47.0b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.88 = A |
| DSRI: 1.32 (Receivables 8.01b/5.90b, Revenue 52.0b/50.6b) |
| GMI: 1.06 (GM 58.65% / 55.48%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 52.0b / 50.6b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 6.33b - CFO 13.1b) / TA 92.8b) |
| Beneish M = -2.69 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 59.25 with a total of 3,041,838 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.63%, over one month by -4.57%, over three months by -7.43% and over the past year by +55.59%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 57.00 (which is 3.8% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Suncor Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.86. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SU.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 62.7 | 5.9% |
Market Cap CAD = 92.1b (65.0b USD * 1.417 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 14.8784
P/E Forward = 8.2305
P/S = 1.2729
P/B = 2.0159
P/EG = 11.4012
Revenue TTM = 52.0b CAD
EBIT TTM = 8.94b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 16.4b CAD
Long Term Debt = 9.13b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.63b CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.5b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.70b
Net Debt = 16.2b CAD (calculated: Debt 19.5b - CCE 3.27b)
Enterprise Value = 108b CAD (92.1b + Debt 19.5b - CCE 3.27b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.68 (Ebit TTM 8.94b / Interest Expense TTM 765.8m)
EV/FCF = 14.99x (Enterprise Value 108b / FCF TTM 7.23b)
FCF Yield = 6.67% (FCF TTM 7.23b / Enterprise Value 108b)
FCF Margin = 13.90% (FCF TTM 7.23b / Revenue TTM 52.0b)
Net Margin = 12.17% (Net Income TTM 6.33b / Revenue TTM 52.0b)
Gross Margin = 55.48% ((Revenue TTM 52.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 23.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.84% (prev 61.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.17 (Enterprise Value 108b / Total Assets 92.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.93% (Interest Expense 765.8m / Debt 19.5b)
Taxrate = 25.40% (2.15b / 8.48b)
NOPAT = 6.67b (EBIT 8.94b * (1 - 25.40%))
Current Ratio = 1.42 (Total Current Assets 17.5b / Total Current Liabilities 12.3b)
Debt / Equity = 0.43 (Debt 19.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 45.8b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.99 (Net Debt 16.2b / EBITDA 16.4b)
Debt / FCF = 2.25 (Net Debt 16.2b / FCF TTM 7.23b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 45.2b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.93% (Net Income 6.33b / Total Assets 92.8b)
RoE = 14.02% (Net Income TTM 6.33b / Total Stockholder Equity 45.2b)
RoCE = 16.47% (EBIT 8.94b / Capital Employed (Equity 45.2b + L.T.Debt 9.13b))
RoIC = 8.39% (NOPAT 6.67b / Invested Capital 79.5b)
WACC = 6.75% (E(92.1b)/V(112b) * Re(7.56%) + D(19.5b)/V(112b) * Rd(3.93%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 7.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -100.00 | Cagr: -3.76%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈7.94b ; Y1≈6.97b ; Y5≈5.63b
[DCF] Fair Price = 62.75 (EV 90.3b - Net Debt 16.2b = Equity 74.1b / Shares 1.18b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -71.61 | EPS CAGR: -5.95% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -16.52 | Revenue CAGR: -0.40% | SUE: 0.83 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.95 | Chg30d=-2.80% | Revisions=+44% | Analysts=8
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.65 | Chg30d=+4.53% | Revisions=+22% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.77 | Chg30d=-1.67% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+111.9% | GrowthRev=+23.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.78 | Chg30d=+4.97% | Revisions=+36% | GrowthEPS=-20.3% | GrowthRev=-9.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +43% (up=15, down=5)