UCB Stock Analysis: United Community Banks | NYSE

Banks - Regional | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.250m USD | 12M Return: 50.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Deposit Accounts, Commercial Loans, Wealth Management, Insurance
Total Rating 26
Safety 33
Buy Signal 0.10
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: +3.8
Market Cap: 4.25B
Avg Turnover: 37.2M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility30.4%
VaR 5th Pctl5.01%
VaR vs Median0.01%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.57
Rel. Str. IBD43.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group12.3
Character TTM
Beta0.937
Beta Downside0.976
Hurst Exponent0.483
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD31.14%
CAGR/Max DD0.48
CAGR/Mean DD1.52
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of UCB over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.79, "2021-09": 0.83, "2021-12": 0.64, "2022-03": 0.5, "2022-06": 0.66, "2022-09": 0.75, "2022-12": 0.75, "2023-03": 0.58, "2023-06": 0.55, "2023-09": 0.45, "2023-12": 0.53, "2024-03": 0.52, "2024-06": 0.58, "2024-09": 0.57, "2024-12": 0.63, "2025-03": 0.59, "2025-06": 0.66, "2025-09": 0.75, "2025-12": 0.7, "2026-03": 0.7,
EPS CAGR: 7.13%
EPS Trend: 57.8%
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of UCB over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 176.184, 2021-09: 183.012, 2021-12: 175.924, 2022-03: 205.143, 2022-06: 214.842, 2022-09: 240.317, 2022-12: 268.627, 2023-03: 303.952, 2023-06: 326.972, 2023-09: 349.866, 2023-12: 310.501, 2024-03: 371.57, 2024-06: 378.695, 2024-09: 350.517, 2024-12: 379.633, 2025-03: 366.263, 2025-06: 376.173, 2025-09: 391.098, 2025-12: 403.45, 2026-03: 377.707,
Rev. CAGR: 10.17%
Rev. Trend: 93.5%
Last SUE: 0.53
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +0.8% 0
Feb +0.0% 2
Mar -7.6% 45
Apr +0.1% 0
May -0.8% 0
Jun +4.0% 32
Jul -0.3% 2
Aug -0.8% 22
Sep -0.7% 8
Oct -1.4% 9
Nov +4.4% 35
Dec -0.3% 5

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: UCB United Community Banks

United Community Banks, Inc. is the holding company for United Community Bank, a regional U.S. financial institution founded in 1950 and headquartered in Greenville, South Carolina. It operates as a traditional community-oriented bank, generating revenue from both sides of the balance sheet: interest income on loans and interest expense on deposits, supplemented by fee-based services.

The company offers a full suite of retail and commercial banking products, including checking, savings, and money market deposit accounts, alongside a diverse lending portfolio covering commercial real estate, commercial and industrial loans, equipment financing, residential mortgages, home equity loans, manufactured housing loans, consumer loans, and construction and land development financing.

Beyond core banking, United Community Banks provides wealth management and trust services such as private banking, investment management, financial and estate planning, and insurance products including life insurance, long-term care insurance, and tax-deferred annuities. The company also offers property insurance reinsurance and payment processing services for commercial and small business customers, serving clients across the commercial, retail, government, education, energy, health care, and real estate sectors.

As a regional bank, United Community Banks competes by combining traditional deposit and lending activities with fee-generating wealth and treasury management services, a common diversification strategy among mid-sized regional banks seeking to reduce reliance on net interest margin.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin expansion tracks Fed rate path
  • Commercial real estate loan performance amid office sector stress
  • Deposit growth fuels Southeast regional expansion through acquisitions
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 341.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.18 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.28k% < 20% (prev -1.27k%; Δ -7.51% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 405.9m > Net Income 341.0m
Net Debt (-4.05b) to EBITDA (493.9m): -8.20 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.17 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (120.7m) vs 12m ago 0.43% < -2%
Gross Margin: 67.97% > 18% (prev 60.03%; Δ 7.94% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 5.53% > 50% (prev 5.29%; Δ 0.23% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.97 > 6 (EBIT TTM 439.6m / Interest Expense TTM 451.7m)
Altman Z'' -4.25
A: -0.70 (Total Current Assets 4.17b - Total Current Liabilities 24.0b) / Total Assets 28.2b
B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 968.2m / Total Assets 28.2b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 439.6m / Avg Total Assets 28.0b)
D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 3.65b / Total Liabilities 24.5b)
Altman-Z'' = -4.25 = D
Beneish M -3.36
DSRI: 0.65 (Receivables 58.4m/85.6m, Revenue 1.55b/1.48b)
GMI: 0.88 (GM 60.03% / 67.97%)
AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.84 / AQ_t-1 0.81)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 1.55b / 1.48b)
TATA: -0.00 (NI 341.0m - CFO 405.9m) / TA 28.2b)
Beneish M = -3.36 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of UCB shares?

As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 35.30 with a total of 646,906 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.13%, over one month by -2.76%, over three months by -3.21% and over the past year by +50.05%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 33.80 (which is 4.2% or 2 ATR below the current price).

Is UCB a buy, sell or hold?

United Community Banks has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UCB.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the UCB price?
Analysts Target Price 39.1 10.8%
United Community Banks (UCB) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 4.25b (4.25b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 13.0
P/E Forward = 12.5313
P/S = 4.0566
P/B = 1.1813
P/EG = 1.674
Revenue TTM = 1.55b USD
EBIT TTM = 439.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 493.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 120.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 85.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 120.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -4.05b USD (calculated: Debt 120.5m - CCE 4.17b)
Enterprise Value = 199.7m USD (4.25b + Debt 120.5m - CCE 4.17b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.97 (Ebit TTM 439.6m / Interest Expense TTM 451.7m)
EV/FCF = 0.53x (Enterprise Value 199.7m / FCF TTM 375.8m)
FCF Yield = 188.2% (FCF TTM 375.8m / Enterprise Value 199.7m)
FCF Margin = 24.27% (FCF TTM 375.8m / Revenue TTM 1.55b)
Net Margin = 22.02% (Net Income TTM 341.0m / Revenue TTM 1.55b)
Gross Margin = 67.97% ((Revenue TTM 1.55b - Cost of Revenue TTM 495.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 70.33% (prev 69.74%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.01 (Enterprise Value 199.7m / Total Assets 28.2b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 374.8% (Interest Expense 451.7m / Debt 120.5m)
 Taxrate = 22.44% (98.6m / 439.6m)
NOPAT = 341.0m (EBIT 439.6m * (1 - 22.44%))
Current Ratio = 0.17 (Total Current Assets 4.17b / Total Current Liabilities 24.0b)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 120.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.65b)
Debt / EBITDA = -8.20 (Net Debt -4.05b / EBITDA 493.9m)
Debt / FCF = -10.78 (Net Debt -4.05b / FCF TTM 375.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.22% (Net Income 341.0m / Total Assets 28.2b)
RoE = 9.41% (Net Income TTM 341.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.63b)
RoCE = 11.73% (EBIT 439.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.63b + L.T.Debt 120.5m))
RoIC = 8.20% (NOPAT 341.0m / Invested Capital 4.16b)
WACC = 9.02% (E(4.25b)/V(4.37b) * Re(9.28%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 80.90 | Cagr: 0.37%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.82% ; FCFF base≈354.2m ; Y1≈406.1m ; Y5≈597.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 101.0 (EV 8.04b - Net Debt -4.05b = Equity 12.1b / Shares 119.8m; r=9.02% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 57.77 | EPS CAGR: 7.13% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 93.46 | Revenue CAGR: 10.17% | SUE: 0.53 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.78 | Chg30d=+7.28% | Revisions=-12% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.76 | Chg30d=-1.72% | Revisions=+29% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.02 | Chg30d=+0.86% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+11.5% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.27 | Chg30d=-1.16% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+8.3% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +38% (up=13, down=5)