(UNP) Union Pacific - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US9078181081
Stock: Railroad, Freight, Intermodal, Chemicals, Metals
Total Rating 57
Risk 98
Buy Signal -0.51
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.35% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.06% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 6.12% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 46.7% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.50% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.26 |
| Alpha | -16.58 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.702 |
| Beta Downside | 0.727 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 17.75% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.31 |
Description: UNP Union Pacific January 27, 2026
Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE: UNP) operates the nation’s largest freight-rail network, moving a diversified mix of commodities-including grain, fertilizers, coal, renewables, intermodal containers, and automotive goods-across the United States. Founded in 1862 and headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska, the company serves grain processors, ethanol producers, construction firms, and a broad range of industrial customers.
In its most recent earnings release (Q4 2023), UNP posted a 60.5% operating ratio-the best in over two decades-driven by a 5% year-over-year increase in total carloads and a 7% rise in intermodal volume, reflecting sustained e-commerce demand. Net income reached $2.1 billion, and the dividend yield hovered around 2.0%, underscoring its cash-flow resilience. Key macro drivers include strong agricultural exports, a rebound in construction activity, and a shift toward transporting renewable-energy inputs, while declining coal shipments are partially offset by growth in renewable-fuel logistics.
For a deeper dive into UNP’s valuation nuances, consider checking ValueRay’s analyst notes.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 7.05b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.58 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -5.36% < 20% (prev -5.01%; Δ -0.35% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 9.73b > Net Income 7.05b |
| Net Debt (32.04b) to EBITDA (12.79b): 2.51 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.75 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (593.2m) vs 12m ago -2.53% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 45.93% > 18% (prev 0.45%; Δ 4548 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 36.04% > 50% (prev 35.94%; Δ 0.09% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.97 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 12.79b / Interest Expense TTM 1.30b) |
Altman Z'' 5.59
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 3.90b - Total Current Liabilities 5.22b) / Total Assets 68.65b |
| B: 1.00 (Retained Earnings 68.50b / Total Assets 68.65b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 10.34b / Avg Total Assets 68.11b) |
| D: 1.38 (Book Value of Equity 70.61b / Total Liabilities 51.34b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 5.59 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.21
| DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 1.92b/2.04b, Revenue 24.55b/24.29b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 45.93% / 45.24%) |
| AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 24.55b / 24.29b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 7.05b - CFO 9.73b) / TA 68.65b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.21 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of UNP shares?
As of January 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 233.58 with a total of 3,540,330 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.96%, over one month by -0.41%, over three months by +8.59% and over the past year by -4.17%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.96%, over one month by -0.41%, over three months by +8.59% and over the past year by -4.17%.
Is UNP a buy, sell or hold?
Union Pacific has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.93.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy UNP.
- StrongBuy: 13
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the UNP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 263.2 | 12.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 263.2 | 12.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 245 | 4.9% |
UNP Fundamental Data Overview January 28, 2026
P/E Trailing = 19.6002
P/E Forward = 18.2815
P/S = 5.5795
P/B = 7.8721
P/EG = 2.612
Revenue TTM = 24.55b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.34b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.79b USD
Long Term Debt = 30.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.80b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.85b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 32.04b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 168.99b USD (136.95b + Debt 32.85b - CCE 808.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.97 (Ebit TTM 10.34b / Interest Expense TTM 1.30b)
EV/FCF = 28.10x (Enterprise Value 168.99b / FCF TTM 6.01b)
FCF Yield = 3.56% (FCF TTM 6.01b / Enterprise Value 168.99b)
FCF Margin = 24.50% (FCF TTM 6.01b / Revenue TTM 24.55b)
Net Margin = 28.73% (Net Income TTM 7.05b / Revenue TTM 24.55b)
Gross Margin = 45.93% ((Revenue TTM 24.55b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.46% (prev 46.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.46 (Enterprise Value 168.99b / Total Assets 68.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 327.0m / Debt 32.85b)
Taxrate = 22.86% (530.0m / 2.32b)
NOPAT = 7.97b (EBIT 10.34b * (1 - 22.86%))
Current Ratio = 0.75 (Total Current Assets 3.90b / Total Current Liabilities 5.22b)
Debt / Equity = 1.90 (Debt 32.85b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.51 (Net Debt 32.04b / EBITDA 12.79b)
Debt / FCF = 5.33 (Net Debt 32.04b / FCF TTM 6.01b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.62b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.35% (Net Income 7.05b / Total Assets 68.65b)
RoE = 42.42% (Net Income TTM 7.05b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.62b)
RoCE = 22.03% (EBIT 10.34b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.62b + L.T.Debt 30.29b))
RoIC = 16.34% (NOPAT 7.97b / Invested Capital 48.79b)
WACC = 7.00% (E(136.95b)/V(169.80b) * Re(8.50%) + D(32.85b)/V(169.80b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.51% ; FCFF base≈5.82b ; Y1≈5.65b ; Y5≈5.65b
Fair Price DCF = 154.8 (EV 123.85b - Net Debt 32.04b = Equity 91.81b / Shares 593.2m; r=7.00% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -3.96% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 36.96 | EPS CAGR: 3.35% | SUE: 0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 17.93 | Revenue CAGR: 2.30% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.85 | Chg30d=-0.043 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.46 | Chg30d=-0.111 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=+6.3% | Growth Revenue=+3.4%
P/E Forward = 18.2815
P/S = 5.5795
P/B = 7.8721
P/EG = 2.612
Revenue TTM = 24.55b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.34b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.79b USD
Long Term Debt = 30.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.80b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.85b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 32.04b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 168.99b USD (136.95b + Debt 32.85b - CCE 808.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.97 (Ebit TTM 10.34b / Interest Expense TTM 1.30b)
EV/FCF = 28.10x (Enterprise Value 168.99b / FCF TTM 6.01b)
FCF Yield = 3.56% (FCF TTM 6.01b / Enterprise Value 168.99b)
FCF Margin = 24.50% (FCF TTM 6.01b / Revenue TTM 24.55b)
Net Margin = 28.73% (Net Income TTM 7.05b / Revenue TTM 24.55b)
Gross Margin = 45.93% ((Revenue TTM 24.55b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.46% (prev 46.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.46 (Enterprise Value 168.99b / Total Assets 68.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 327.0m / Debt 32.85b)
Taxrate = 22.86% (530.0m / 2.32b)
NOPAT = 7.97b (EBIT 10.34b * (1 - 22.86%))
Current Ratio = 0.75 (Total Current Assets 3.90b / Total Current Liabilities 5.22b)
Debt / Equity = 1.90 (Debt 32.85b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.51 (Net Debt 32.04b / EBITDA 12.79b)
Debt / FCF = 5.33 (Net Debt 32.04b / FCF TTM 6.01b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.62b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.35% (Net Income 7.05b / Total Assets 68.65b)
RoE = 42.42% (Net Income TTM 7.05b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.62b)
RoCE = 22.03% (EBIT 10.34b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.62b + L.T.Debt 30.29b))
RoIC = 16.34% (NOPAT 7.97b / Invested Capital 48.79b)
WACC = 7.00% (E(136.95b)/V(169.80b) * Re(8.50%) + D(32.85b)/V(169.80b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.51% ; FCFF base≈5.82b ; Y1≈5.65b ; Y5≈5.65b
Fair Price DCF = 154.8 (EV 123.85b - Net Debt 32.04b = Equity 91.81b / Shares 593.2m; r=7.00% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -3.96% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 36.96 | EPS CAGR: 3.35% | SUE: 0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 17.93 | Revenue CAGR: 2.30% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.85 | Chg30d=-0.043 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.46 | Chg30d=-0.111 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=+6.3% | Growth Revenue=+3.4%