(UNP) Union Pacific - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US9078181081
Railroad, Freight, Intermodal, Chemicals, Grain
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.88% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.70% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.01% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 46.2% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 18.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 28.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.71% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.06 |
| Alpha | -9.17 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.36 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.473 |
| Beta | 0.673 |
| Beta Downside | 0.765 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 17.75% |
| Mean DD | 7.12% |
| Median DD | 7.04% |
Description: UNP Union Pacific December 02, 2025
Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE: UNP) operates the nation’s largest Class I railroad, moving a diversified mix of commodities-including grain, fertilizers, coal, renewables, industrial chemicals, forest products, automotive goods, and intermodal containers-across a 32,000-mile network that links major U.S. production hubs to coastal ports and inland markets.
Key performance indicators show the railroad generated ≈ $24.5 billion in revenue for FY 2023, with an industry-leading operating ratio of ~ 60.6% and roughly 19.5 million carloads moved, underpinning a dividend yield near 3.5%. The business is highly sensitive to macro-drivers such as agricultural export volumes, construction activity, and energy sector demand (both coal and renewable fuels), while intermodal growth and rail-capacity constraints remain pivotal sector trends.
For a deeper dive into UNP’s valuation sensitivities and peer comparisons, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-driven dashboard.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (7.05b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.47b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.58pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -5.36% (prev -5.01%; Δ -0.35pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 9.73b > Net Income 7.05b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (32.04b) to EBITDA (12.79b) ratio: 2.51 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.75 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (593.2m) change vs 12m ago -2.53% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 45.93% (prev 45.24%; Δ 0.69pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 36.04% (prev 35.94%; Δ 0.09pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.97 (EBITDA TTM 12.79b / Interest Expense TTM 1.30b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.59
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 3.90b - Total Current Liabilities 5.22b) / Total Assets 68.65b |
| (B) 1.00 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 68.50b / Total Assets 68.65b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.00 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.15 = EBIT TTM 10.34b / Avg Total Assets 68.11b |
| (D) 1.38 = Book Value of Equity 70.61b / Total Liabilities 51.34b |
| Total Rating: 5.59 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 77.85
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.55% |
| 3. FCF Margin 24.50% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.90 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.51 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 9.33)% |
| 7. RoE 42.42% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 17.93% |
| 9. EPS Trend 39.56% |
What is the price of UNP shares?
As of December 07, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 235.31 with a total of 2,494,724 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.09%, over one month by +8.88%, over three months by +7.43% and over the past year by +3.28%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.09%, over one month by +8.88%, over three months by +7.43% and over the past year by +3.28%.
Is UNP a buy, sell or hold?
Union Pacific has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.93.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy UNP.
- Strong Buy: 13
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the UNP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 260.2 | 10.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 260.2 | 10.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 249 | 5.8% |
UNP Fundamental Data Overview December 03, 2025
Market Cap USD = 137.23b (137.23b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 19.6401
P/E Forward = 18.3486
P/S = 5.5909
P/B = 7.9469
P/EG = 2.6201
Beta = 1.001
Revenue TTM = 24.55b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.34b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.79b USD
Long Term Debt = 30.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.80b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.85b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 32.04b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 169.27b USD (137.23b + Debt 32.85b - CCE 808.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.97 (Ebit TTM 10.34b / Interest Expense TTM 1.30b)
FCF Yield = 3.55% (FCF TTM 6.01b / Enterprise Value 169.27b)
FCF Margin = 24.50% (FCF TTM 6.01b / Revenue TTM 24.55b)
Net Margin = 28.73% (Net Income TTM 7.05b / Revenue TTM 24.55b)
Gross Margin = 45.93% ((Revenue TTM 24.55b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.46% (prev 46.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.47 (Enterprise Value 169.27b / Total Assets 68.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 327.0m / Debt 32.85b)
Taxrate = 22.86% (530.0m / 2.32b)
NOPAT = 7.97b (EBIT 10.34b * (1 - 22.86%))
Current Ratio = 0.75 (Total Current Assets 3.90b / Total Current Liabilities 5.22b)
Debt / Equity = 1.90 (Debt 32.85b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.51 (Net Debt 32.04b / EBITDA 12.79b)
Debt / FCF = 5.33 (Net Debt 32.04b / FCF TTM 6.01b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.62b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.27% (Net Income 7.05b / Total Assets 68.65b)
RoE = 42.42% (Net Income TTM 7.05b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.62b)
RoCE = 22.03% (EBIT 10.34b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.62b + L.T.Debt 30.29b))
RoIC = 16.34% (NOPAT 7.97b / Invested Capital 48.79b)
WACC = 7.01% (E(137.23b)/V(170.08b) * Re(8.50%) + D(32.85b)/V(170.08b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.19% ; FCFE base≈5.82b ; Y1≈5.65b ; Y5≈5.66b
Fair Price DCF = 156.0 (DCF Value 92.56b / Shares Outstanding 593.2m; 5y FCF grow -3.96% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 39.56 | EPS CAGR: 3.35% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 17.93 | Revenue CAGR: 2.30% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.92 | Chg30d=-0.061 | Revisions Net=-9 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.63 | Chg30d=+0.027 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+7.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.8%
P/E Trailing = 19.6401
P/E Forward = 18.3486
P/S = 5.5909
P/B = 7.9469
P/EG = 2.6201
Beta = 1.001
Revenue TTM = 24.55b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.34b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.79b USD
Long Term Debt = 30.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.80b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.85b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 32.04b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 169.27b USD (137.23b + Debt 32.85b - CCE 808.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.97 (Ebit TTM 10.34b / Interest Expense TTM 1.30b)
FCF Yield = 3.55% (FCF TTM 6.01b / Enterprise Value 169.27b)
FCF Margin = 24.50% (FCF TTM 6.01b / Revenue TTM 24.55b)
Net Margin = 28.73% (Net Income TTM 7.05b / Revenue TTM 24.55b)
Gross Margin = 45.93% ((Revenue TTM 24.55b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.46% (prev 46.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.47 (Enterprise Value 169.27b / Total Assets 68.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 327.0m / Debt 32.85b)
Taxrate = 22.86% (530.0m / 2.32b)
NOPAT = 7.97b (EBIT 10.34b * (1 - 22.86%))
Current Ratio = 0.75 (Total Current Assets 3.90b / Total Current Liabilities 5.22b)
Debt / Equity = 1.90 (Debt 32.85b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.51 (Net Debt 32.04b / EBITDA 12.79b)
Debt / FCF = 5.33 (Net Debt 32.04b / FCF TTM 6.01b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.62b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.27% (Net Income 7.05b / Total Assets 68.65b)
RoE = 42.42% (Net Income TTM 7.05b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.62b)
RoCE = 22.03% (EBIT 10.34b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.62b + L.T.Debt 30.29b))
RoIC = 16.34% (NOPAT 7.97b / Invested Capital 48.79b)
WACC = 7.01% (E(137.23b)/V(170.08b) * Re(8.50%) + D(32.85b)/V(170.08b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.19% ; FCFE base≈5.82b ; Y1≈5.65b ; Y5≈5.66b
Fair Price DCF = 156.0 (DCF Value 92.56b / Shares Outstanding 593.2m; 5y FCF grow -3.96% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 39.56 | EPS CAGR: 3.35% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 17.93 | Revenue CAGR: 2.30% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.92 | Chg30d=-0.061 | Revisions Net=-9 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.63 | Chg30d=+0.027 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+7.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.8%
Additional Sources for UNP Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle