(UNP) Union Pacific - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US9078181081
Stock: Railroad, Freight, Intermodal, Chemicals, Metals
Total Rating 51
Risk 76
Buy Signal -0.78
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 21.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.25% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.28 |
| Alpha | -9.95 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.522 |
| Beta Downside | 0.998 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 17.75% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.68 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: UNP Union Pacific February 25, 2026
Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE: UNP) operates the nation’s largest freight-rail network, moving a diverse mix of commodities-including grain, fertilizers, coal, renewables, intermodal containers, and automotive goods-across the United States from its headquarters in Omaha, Nebraska.
Recent performance highlights include a 2025 operating ratio of 61.4% (down from 62.0% in 2024), record-high carloads of 22.5 billion tons in Q4 2025, and net earnings of $4.8 billion for the full year, driven by strong demand for agricultural products and a resurgence in renewable-fuel shipments. Key economic drivers remain robust grain exports, increased ethanol-related freight, and ongoing U.S. infrastructure spending that supports rail-linked construction material transport.
For a deeper dive into UNP’s valuation, you might explore the analysis on ValueRay.
Headlines to watch out for
- Freight volume growth boosts railway revenue
- Fuel price volatility impacts operating costs
- Economic recession reduces industrial demand
- Labor negotiations influence operational efficiency
- Regulatory changes affect rail network capacity
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 7.14b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.81 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.87% < 20% (prev -5.08%; Δ 3.21% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 9.29b > Net Income 7.14b |
| Net Debt (30.54b) to EBITDA (12.95b): 2.36 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.91 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (593.5m) vs 12m ago -2.48% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 45.69% > 18% (prev 0.45%; Δ 4.52k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 35.67% > 50% (prev 35.81%; Δ -0.14% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.00 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 12.95b / Interest Expense TTM 1.31b) |
Altman Z'' 5.70
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 4.55b - Total Current Liabilities 5.01b) / Total Assets 69.70b |
| B: 1.00 (Retained Earnings 69.53b / Total Assets 69.70b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 10.47b / Avg Total Assets 68.71b) |
| D: 1.40 (Book Value of Equity 71.72b / Total Liabilities 51.23b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 5.70 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.02
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 1.86b/1.89b, Revenue 24.51b/24.25b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 45.69% / 45.46%) |
| AQI: 1.10 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 24.51b / 24.25b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 7.14b - CFO 9.29b) / TA 69.70b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of UNP shares?
As of March 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 251.11 with a total of 2,228,260 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.59%, over one month by -6.51%, over three months by +1.35% and over the past year by +5.92%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.59%, over one month by -6.51%, over three months by +1.35% and over the past year by +5.92%.
Is UNP a buy, sell or hold?
Union Pacific has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.93.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy UNP.
- StrongBuy: 13
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the UNP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 272.2 | 8.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 272.2 | 8.4% |
UNP Fundamental Data Overview March 09, 2026
P/E Trailing = 21.2289
P/E Forward = 20.3666
P/S = 6.152
P/B = 8.1652
P/EG = 2.8689
Revenue TTM = 24.51b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.47b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.95b USD
Long Term Debt = 30.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 782.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 31.81b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 30.54b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 181.33b USD (150.79b + Debt 31.81b - CCE 1.27b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.00 (Ebit TTM 10.47b / Interest Expense TTM 1.31b)
EV/FCF = 32.98x (Enterprise Value 181.33b / FCF TTM 5.50b)
FCF Yield = 3.03% (FCF TTM 5.50b / Enterprise Value 181.33b)
FCF Margin = 22.44% (FCF TTM 5.50b / Revenue TTM 24.51b)
Net Margin = 29.12% (Net Income TTM 7.14b / Revenue TTM 24.51b)
Gross Margin = 45.69% ((Revenue TTM 24.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 44.88% (prev 46.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.60 (Enterprise Value 181.33b / Total Assets 69.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.02% (Interest Expense 325.0m / Debt 31.81b)
Taxrate = 23.26% (560.0m / 2.41b)
NOPAT = 8.04b (EBIT 10.47b * (1 - 23.26%))
Current Ratio = 0.91 (Total Current Assets 4.55b / Total Current Liabilities 5.01b)
Debt / Equity = 1.72 (Debt 31.81b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.36 (Net Debt 30.54b / EBITDA 12.95b)
Debt / FCF = 5.55 (Net Debt 30.54b / FCF TTM 5.50b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.39% (Net Income 7.14b / Total Assets 69.70b)
RoE = 41.95% (Net Income TTM 7.14b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.02b)
RoCE = 22.14% (EBIT 10.47b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.02b + L.T.Debt 30.29b))
RoIC = 16.29% (NOPAT 8.04b / Invested Capital 49.34b)
WACC = 6.61% (E(150.79b)/V(182.60b) * Re(7.84%) + D(31.81b)/V(182.60b) * Rd(1.02%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 83.04% ; FCFF base≈5.66b ; Y1≈5.47b ; Y5≈5.43b
[DCF] Fair Price = 170.4 (EV 131.63b - Net Debt 30.54b = Equity 101.09b / Shares 593.4m; r=6.61% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -4.41% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 47.54 | EPS CAGR: 5.22% | SUE: 3.19 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -6.04 | Revenue CAGR: 1.01% | SUE: -0.47 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=3.12 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.39 | Chg7d=+0.004 | Chg30d=-0.013 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=+3.4% | Growth Revenue=+3.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.57 | Chg7d=-0.001 | Chg30d=-0.024 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+9.5% | Growth Revenue=+5.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.20 (2 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 3.2% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 4.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -0.7% (Analyst 2.6% - Implied 3.2%)
P/E Forward = 20.3666
P/S = 6.152
P/B = 8.1652
P/EG = 2.8689
Revenue TTM = 24.51b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.47b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.95b USD
Long Term Debt = 30.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 782.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 31.81b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 30.54b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 181.33b USD (150.79b + Debt 31.81b - CCE 1.27b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.00 (Ebit TTM 10.47b / Interest Expense TTM 1.31b)
EV/FCF = 32.98x (Enterprise Value 181.33b / FCF TTM 5.50b)
FCF Yield = 3.03% (FCF TTM 5.50b / Enterprise Value 181.33b)
FCF Margin = 22.44% (FCF TTM 5.50b / Revenue TTM 24.51b)
Net Margin = 29.12% (Net Income TTM 7.14b / Revenue TTM 24.51b)
Gross Margin = 45.69% ((Revenue TTM 24.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 44.88% (prev 46.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.60 (Enterprise Value 181.33b / Total Assets 69.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.02% (Interest Expense 325.0m / Debt 31.81b)
Taxrate = 23.26% (560.0m / 2.41b)
NOPAT = 8.04b (EBIT 10.47b * (1 - 23.26%))
Current Ratio = 0.91 (Total Current Assets 4.55b / Total Current Liabilities 5.01b)
Debt / Equity = 1.72 (Debt 31.81b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.36 (Net Debt 30.54b / EBITDA 12.95b)
Debt / FCF = 5.55 (Net Debt 30.54b / FCF TTM 5.50b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.39% (Net Income 7.14b / Total Assets 69.70b)
RoE = 41.95% (Net Income TTM 7.14b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.02b)
RoCE = 22.14% (EBIT 10.47b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.02b + L.T.Debt 30.29b))
RoIC = 16.29% (NOPAT 8.04b / Invested Capital 49.34b)
WACC = 6.61% (E(150.79b)/V(182.60b) * Re(7.84%) + D(31.81b)/V(182.60b) * Rd(1.02%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 83.04% ; FCFF base≈5.66b ; Y1≈5.47b ; Y5≈5.43b
[DCF] Fair Price = 170.4 (EV 131.63b - Net Debt 30.54b = Equity 101.09b / Shares 593.4m; r=6.61% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -4.41% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 47.54 | EPS CAGR: 5.22% | SUE: 3.19 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -6.04 | Revenue CAGR: 1.01% | SUE: -0.47 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=3.12 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.39 | Chg7d=+0.004 | Chg30d=-0.013 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=+3.4% | Growth Revenue=+3.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.57 | Chg7d=-0.001 | Chg30d=-0.024 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+9.5% | Growth Revenue=+5.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.20 (2 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 3.2% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 4.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -0.7% (Analyst 2.6% - Implied 3.2%)