USO Stock Analysis: United States Oil Fund | NYSE

NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.661m USD | 12M Return: 122.6% | US91232N2071 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Crude Oil, Heating Oil, Gasoline, Natural Gas
Total Rating 77
Safety 77
Buy Signal 0.58
AUM: 1.66B
Avg Turnover: 755M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility35.7%
VaR 5th Pctl6.41%
VaR vs Median-0.20%
Choppyness61.8%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.78
Rel. Str. IBD96.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group-
Character TTM
Beta-0.413
Beta Downside-0.113
Hurst Exponent0.520
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD32.49%
CAGR/Max DD0.76
CAGR/Mean DD2.16

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Rs Leader

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +2.1% 21
Feb +0.1% 7
Mar +1.0% 31
Apr +0.2% 5
May -0.9% 17
Jun +3.7% 34
Jul -3.4% 5
Aug -3.0% 19
Sep +0.0% 0
Oct -0.4% 11
Nov -1.7% 19
Dec +3.3% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: USO United States Oil Fund

USO is a U.S.-listed exchange-traded fund structured as a limited partnership that seeks to track the price of crude oil and related petroleum products. The fund achieves this primarily through investments in futures contracts covering light, sweet crude oil, other crude oil grades, diesel-heating oil, gasoline, natural gas, and other petroleum-based fuels.

As a commodities-focused ETF in the energy sector, USO offers investors exposure to oil and refined fuel markets without the need to trade futures directly. Commodity ETFs that use futures contracts typically face structural considerations such as contango and backwardation, which can affect the funds ability to track spot oil prices over longer holding periods. The fund launched in April 2006 and is listed on the NYSE.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Crude oil prices swing on OPEC+ production cut decisions
  • Contango and roll yield drag erodes fund returns during oversupply
  • Iran-Israel conflict drives safe-haven demand for oil futures
  • US shale production growth caps upside on futures positioning
  • Rising interest rates increase collateral costs on oil futures
What is the price of USO shares?

As of October 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 153.56 with a total of 2,900,350 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.71%, over one month by -1.98%, over three months by +27.79% and over the past year by +122.55%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 147.30 (which is 4.1% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is USO a buy, sell or hold?

United States Oil Fund has no consensus analysts rating.