USO ETF Analysis: United States Oil Fund | NYSE

Commodities Focused | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.731m USD | 12M Return: 69% | US91232N2071 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Gasoline, Heating Oil
Total Rating 84
Safety 84
Buy Signal 0.54
Commodities Focused
Category Rotation: +14.7
TER: 0.60%
AUM: 1.73B
Avg Turnover: 597M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility42.7%
VaR 5th Pctl7.66%
VaR vs Median-0.37%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.28
Rel. Str. IBD89.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group95.2
Character TTM
Beta-0.320
Beta Downside-0.019
Hurst Exponent0.493
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD32.49%
CAGR/Max DD0.59
CAGR/Mean DD1.66

Warnings

Choppy

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +2.1% 21
Feb +0.1% 7
Mar +1.0% 31
Apr +0.2% 5
May -0.9% 17
Jun +3.7% 34
Jul -3.4% 5
Aug -3.2% 28
Sep +0.0% 0
Oct -0.4% 11
Nov -1.7% 19
Dec +3.3% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: USO United States Oil Fund

United States Oil Fund LP (USO) is a U.S.-listed exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the performance of crude oil and related petroleum-based fuels by investing primarily in futures contracts. Its exposure spans light, sweet crude oil, other crude oil grades, diesel-heating oil, gasoline, natural gas, and other petroleum-based fuels.

As a commodity-focused ETF structured as a limited partnership, USO gains its exposure through derivatives (futures contracts) rather than holding physical barrels of oil. This structure means the funds performance is influenced by futures market dynamics such as contango and roll yields, which are common considerations for oil-tracking funds.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • OPEC+ production cuts tighten global crude oil supply
  • Futures contango drag erodes investor returns on contract rolls
  • Geopolitical Middle East tensions disrupt crude oil supply chains
What is the price of USO shares?

As of August 31, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 129.70 with a total of 2,062,922 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.67%, over one month by +1.74%, over three months by -4.28% and over the past year by +68.97%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 122.10 (which is 5.9% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is USO a buy, sell or hold?

United States Oil Fund has no consensus analysts rating.