(UWMC) UWM Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Mortgage Loans, Wholesale Lending, Conforming Loans, Government Loans
UWMC EPS (Earnings per Share)
UWMC Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 48.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 72.9% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.06 |
| Alpha Jensen | -31.83 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.505 |
| Beta | 1.967 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 56.68% |
| Mean DD | 20.55% |
Description: UWMC UWM Holdings November 03, 2025
UWM Holdings Corp. (NYSE: UWMC) is a wholesale-focused mortgage originator, seller, and servicer that primarily underwrites conforming and government-backed residential loans in the United States. Founded in 1986 and based in Pontiac, Michigan, the firm operates exclusively through broker-partner channels rather than retail branches.
As of the most recent quarter, UWM reported a loan origination volume of roughly $30 billion, representing a market-share gain of about 2 percentage points in the wholesale segment, and its net interest margin stabilized near 2.1 % despite a volatile rate environment. The companys performance is tightly linked to Federal Reserve policy-higher policy rates compress mortgage spreads but can also boost loan-size demand as borrowers refinance before rates climb further.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, the ValueRay platform offers granular metrics on UWMs loan pipeline and valuation multiples.
UWMC Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 8,507m |
| Sub-Industry | Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance |
| IPO / Inception | 2020-03-24 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -17.5% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.55 of 5 |
UWMC Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 7.35% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.64% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 3.7% |
UWMC Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 17.37% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.31 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.85 |
| Current Volume | 11958.7k |
| Average Volume | 10021.3k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (30.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 136.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 38.56pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -380.1% (prev -714.6%; Δ 334.5pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO -215.2m <= Net Income 30.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-870.7m) to EBITDA (306.8m) ratio: -2.84 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.15 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (2.21b) change vs 12m ago 2118 % (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 81.50% (prev 62.11%; Δ 19.39pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 14.11% (prev 8.37%; Δ 5.75pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.65 (EBITDA TTM 306.8m / Interest Expense TTM 396.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -3.17
| (A) -0.51 = (Total Current Assets 1.52b - Total Current Liabilities 10.14b) / Total Assets 17.02b |
| (B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 169.9m / Total Assets 17.02b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 255.7m / Avg Total Assets 16.07b |
| (D) 0.01 = Book Value of Equity 170.0m / Total Liabilities 15.44b |
| Total Rating: -3.17 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.15
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt = -3.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.30% = -0.65 |
| 3. FCF Margin -11.71% = -4.39 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 8.09 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -2.84 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.22)% = 1.53 |
| 7. RoE 5.79% = 0.48 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 20.10% = 1.51 |
| 9. EPS Trend 13.48% = 0.67 |
What is the price of UWMC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.36%, over one month by +3.21%, over three months by +22.31% and over the past year by -4.74%.
Is UWM Holdings a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of UWMC is around 5.44 USD . This means that UWMC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -0.55%.
Is UWMC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the UWMC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 7 | 27.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 7 | 27.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5.9 | 8.4% |
UWMC Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 47.7273
P/E Forward = 15.0602
P/S = 3.1469
P/B = 7.5332
Beta = 1.967
Revenue TTM = 2.27b USD
EBIT TTM = 255.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 306.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.88b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 9.84b USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 12.84b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -870.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 20.38b USD (8.51b + Debt 12.84b - CCE 972.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.65 (Ebit TTM 255.7m / Interest Expense TTM 396.2m)
FCF Yield = -1.30% (FCF TTM -265.5m / Enterprise Value 20.38b)
FCF Margin = -11.71% (FCF TTM -265.5m / Revenue TTM 2.27b)
Net Margin = 1.33% (Net Income TTM 30.2m / Revenue TTM 2.27b)
Gross Margin = 81.50% ((Revenue TTM 2.27b - Cost of Revenue TTM 419.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 100.0% (prev 81.74%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.20 (Enterprise Value 20.38b / Total Assets 17.02b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.04% (Interest Expense 133.5m / Debt 12.84b)
Taxrate = 4.59% (582.0k / 12.7m)
NOPAT = 243.9m (EBIT 255.7m * (1 - 4.59%))
Current Ratio = 0.15 (Total Current Assets 1.52b / Total Current Liabilities 10.14b)
Debt / Equity = 8.09 (Debt 12.84b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.59b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.84 (Net Debt -870.7m / EBITDA 306.8m)
Debt / FCF = 3.28 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -870.7m / FCF TTM -265.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 522.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.18% (Net Income 30.2m / Total Assets 17.02b)
RoE = 5.79% (Net Income TTM 30.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 522.4m)
RoCE = 7.52% (EBIT 255.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 522.4m + L.T.Debt 2.88b))
RoIC = 7.10% (NOPAT 243.9m / Invested Capital 3.43b)
WACC = 5.88% (E(8.51b)/V(21.35b) * Re(13.26%) + D(12.84b)/V(21.35b) * Rd(1.04%) * (1-Tc(0.05)))
Discount Rate = 13.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 387.2%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -265.5m)
EPS Correlation: 13.48 | EPS CAGR: 6.61% | SUE: -0.60 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 20.10 | Revenue CAGR: 54.31% | SUE: 0.63 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for UWMC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle