(VLO) Valero Energy - Overview
Stock: Fuels, Petrochemicals, Renewable Fuels, Ethanol
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.43% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.58 |
| Alpha | 58.28 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.924 |
| Beta Downside | 1.456 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 41.22% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.53 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: VLO Valero Energy March 05, 2026
Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) refines and markets petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid fuels and petrochemicals globally. The companys operations are divided into Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol segments. This diversified approach is common among integrated energy companies seeking to capitalize on traditional fossil fuel markets while also expanding into sustainable alternatives.
VLO produces various refined products, including gasolines, diesel, jet fuel, and asphalt. These products are sold through wholesale channels and under several brand names. The refining sector is characterized by high capital expenditures and sensitivity to crude oil prices and demand for refined products.
The company also operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, producing renewable fuels and co-products. The renewable fuels market is a growing sector, driven by environmental regulations and consumer demand for lower-carbon energy solutions. Understanding the companys financial performance within these distinct segments is crucial for a complete analysis. Further research on ValueRay can provide detailed insights into VLOs segment-specific financials and market positioning.
Headlines to watch out for
- Refining margins dictate profitability
- Crude oil prices impact input costs
- Renewable diesel demand boosts segment growth
- Regulatory changes affect fuel specifications
- Global economic growth influences fuel consumption
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 2.35b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.91 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 26.92% < 20% (prev 6.35%; Δ 20.58% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 5.83b > Net Income 2.35b |
| Net Debt (5.93b) to EBITDA (6.58b): 0.90 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.37 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (303.0m) vs 12m ago -4.11% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 5.43% > 18% (prev 0.04%; Δ 539.6% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 230.5% > 50% (prev 216.0%; Δ 14.51% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.40 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 6.58b / Interest Expense TTM 556.0m) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.70 (Total Current Assets 47.50b - Total Current Liabilities 14.11b) / Total Assets 47.50b |
| B: 1.01 (Retained Earnings 47.96b / Total Assets 47.50b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 3.56b / Avg Total Assets 53.82b) |
| D: 2.02 (Book Value of Equity 47.96b / Total Liabilities 23.78b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 10.47 = AAA |
Beneish M -4.00
| DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 9.21b/10.71b, Revenue 124.05b/129.88b) |
| GMI: 0.67 (GM 5.43% / 3.66%) |
| AQI: -6.06 (AQ_t -0.60 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 124.05b / 129.88b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 2.35b - CFO 5.83b) / TA 47.50b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -7.70 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of VLO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.32%, over one month by +8.78%, over three months by +24.06% and over the past year by +76.18%.
Is VLO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VLO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 199.9 | -7.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 199.9 | -7.9% |
VLO Fundamental Data Overview March 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 18.6567
P/S = 0.591
P/B = 2.8741
P/EG = 4.1746
Revenue TTM = 124.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.56b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.58b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 949.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.93b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 74.45b USD (68.51b + Debt 10.62b - CCE 4.69b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.40 (Ebit TTM 3.56b / Interest Expense TTM 556.0m)
EV/FCF = 13.79x (Enterprise Value 74.45b / FCF TTM 5.40b)
FCF Yield = 7.25% (FCF TTM 5.40b / Enterprise Value 74.45b)
FCF Margin = 4.35% (FCF TTM 5.40b / Revenue TTM 124.05b)
Net Margin = 1.89% (Net Income TTM 2.35b / Revenue TTM 124.05b)
Gross Margin = 5.43% ((Revenue TTM 124.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 117.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.28% (prev 5.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.57 (Enterprise Value 74.45b / Total Assets 47.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.31% (Interest Expense 139.0m / Debt 10.62b)
Taxrate = 23.29% (355.0m / 1.52b)
NOPAT = 2.73b (EBIT 3.56b * (1 - 23.29%))
Current Ratio = 3.37 (Total Current Assets 47.50b / Total Current Liabilities 14.11b)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 10.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 23.73b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.90 (Net Debt 5.93b / EBITDA 6.58b)
Debt / FCF = 1.10 (Net Debt 5.93b / FCF TTM 5.40b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 23.76b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.36% (Net Income 2.35b / Total Assets 47.50b)
RoE = 9.88% (Net Income TTM 2.35b / Total Stockholder Equity 23.76b)
RoCE = 10.65% (EBIT 3.56b / Capital Employed (Equity 23.76b + L.T.Debt 9.67b))
RoIC = 7.93% (NOPAT 2.73b / Invested Capital 34.44b)
WACC = 8.20% (E(68.51b)/V(79.13b) * Re(9.32%) + D(10.62b)/V(79.13b) * Rd(1.31%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.32% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.03% ; FCFF base≈5.28b ; Y1≈4.12b ; Y5≈2.65b
[DCF] Fair Price = 139.0 (EV 47.51b - Net Debt 5.93b = Equity 41.58b / Shares 299.0m; r=8.20% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -26.19% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -57.97 | EPS CAGR: 14.35% | SUE: 2.29 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: -83.75 | Revenue CAGR: -5.05% | SUE: 1.25 | # QB: 4
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=4.38 | Chg7d=+0.285 | Chg30d=+0.420 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.98 | Chg7d=+0.601 | Chg30d=+0.884 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+22.3% | Growth Revenue=-9.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.60 | Chg7d=+0.765 | Chg30d=+1.043 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+4.9% | Growth Revenue=+3.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.29 (5 Up / 9 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 6.0% (Discount Rate 9.3% - Earnings Yield 3.3%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -12.0% (Analyst -6.0% - Implied 6.0%)