(VLO) Valero Energy - Overview

Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 72.388m USD | Total Return: 132.3% in 12m

Fuels, Petrochemicals, Renewable Fuels, Ethanol
Total Rating 67
Safety 80
Buy Signal 1.14
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Industry Rotation: -32.3
Market Cap: 72.4B
Avg Turnover: 922M USD
ATR: 3.90%
Peers RS (IBD): 63.9
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility34.6%
Rel. Tail Risk-4.99%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio2.56
Alpha100.30
Character TTM
Beta0.766
Beta Downside1.328
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD41.22%
CAGR/Max DD0.71
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of VLO over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -1.73, "2021-06": 0.48, "2021-09": 1.22, "2021-12": 2.47, "2022-03": 2.31, "2022-06": 11.36, "2022-09": 7.14, "2022-12": 8.45, "2023-03": 8.27, "2023-06": 5.4, "2023-09": 7.49, "2023-12": 3.55, "2024-03": 3.82, "2024-06": 2.71, "2024-09": 1.14, "2024-12": 0.88, "2025-03": 0.89, "2025-06": 2.28, "2025-09": 3.66, "2025-12": 3.82,
EPS CAGR: 14.35%
EPS Trend: -58.0%
Last SUE: 2.29
Qual. Beats: 5
Revenue Revenue of VLO over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 20806, 2021-06: 27748, 2021-09: 29520, 2021-12: 35903, 2022-03: 38542, 2022-06: 51641, 2022-09: 44454, 2022-12: 41746, 2023-03: 36439, 2023-06: 34509, 2023-09: 38404, 2023-12: 35414, 2024-03: 31759, 2024-06: 34490, 2024-09: 32876, 2024-12: 30756, 2025-03: 30258, 2025-06: 29889, 2025-09: 32168, 2025-12: 31730,
Rev. CAGR: -5.05%
Rev. Trend: -83.8%
Last SUE: 1.25
Qual. Beats: 4

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: VLO Valero Energy

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) refines and markets petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid fuels and petrochemicals globally. The companys operations are divided into Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol segments. This diversified approach is common among integrated energy companies seeking to capitalize on traditional fossil fuel markets while also expanding into sustainable alternatives.

VLO produces various refined products, including gasolines, diesel, jet fuel, and asphalt. These products are sold through wholesale channels and under several brand names. The refining sector is characterized by high capital expenditures and sensitivity to crude oil prices and demand for refined products.

The company also operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, producing renewable fuels and co-products. The renewable fuels market is a growing sector, driven by environmental regulations and consumer demand for lower-carbon energy solutions. Understanding the companys financial performance within these distinct segments is crucial for a complete analysis. Further research on ValueRay can provide detailed insights into VLOs segment-specific financials and market positioning.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Refining margins dictate profitability
  • Crude oil prices impact input costs
  • Renewable diesel demand boosts segment growth
  • Regulatory changes affect fuel specifications
  • Global economic growth influences fuel consumption
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 6.5
Net Income: 2.35b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.91 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 26.92% < 20% (prev 6.35%; Δ 20.58% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 5.83b > Net Income 2.35b
Net Debt (5.93b) to EBITDA (6.58b): 0.90 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.37 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (303.0m) vs 12m ago -4.11% < -2%
Gross Margin: 5.43% > 18% (prev 0.04%; Δ 539.6% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 230.5% > 50% (prev 216.0%; Δ 14.51% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.40 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 6.58b / Interest Expense TTM 556.0m)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.70 (Total Current Assets 47.50b - Total Current Liabilities 14.11b) / Total Assets 47.50b
B: 1.01 (Retained Earnings 47.96b / Total Assets 47.50b)
C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 3.56b / Avg Total Assets 53.82b)
D: 2.02 (Book Value of Equity 47.97b / Total Liabilities 23.78b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 10.47 = AAA
Beneish M -4.00
DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 9.21b/10.71b, Revenue 124.05b/129.88b)
GMI: 0.67 (GM 5.43% / 3.66%)
AQI: -6.06 (AQ_t -0.60 / AQ_t-1 0.10)
SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 124.05b / 129.88b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 2.35b - CFO 5.83b) / TA 47.50b)
Beneish M-Score: -7.70 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of VLO shares? As of April 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 241.74 with a total of 1,524,374 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.82%, over one month by +3.94%, over three months by +32.57% and over the past year by +132.28%.
Is VLO a buy, sell or hold? Valero Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VLO.
  • StrongBuy: 10
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VLO price?
Analysts Target Price 246.7 2%
Valero Energy (VLO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 15 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 31.9367
P/E Forward = 13.6612
P/S = 0.6244
P/B = 3.0504
P/EG = 4.0843
Revenue TTM = 124.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.56b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.58b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 949.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.93b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 78.32b USD (72.39b + Debt 10.62b - CCE 4.69b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.40 (Ebit TTM 3.56b / Interest Expense TTM 556.0m)
EV/FCF = 14.50x (Enterprise Value 78.32b / FCF TTM 5.40b)
FCF Yield = 6.89% (FCF TTM 5.40b / Enterprise Value 78.32b)
FCF Margin = 4.35% (FCF TTM 5.40b / Revenue TTM 124.05b)
Net Margin = 1.89% (Net Income TTM 2.35b / Revenue TTM 124.05b)
Gross Margin = 5.43% ((Revenue TTM 124.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 117.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.28% (prev 5.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.65 (Enterprise Value 78.32b / Total Assets 47.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.31% (Interest Expense 139.0m / Debt 10.62b)
Taxrate = 23.29% (355.0m / 1.52b)
NOPAT = 2.73b (EBIT 3.56b * (1 - 23.29%))
Current Ratio = 3.37 (Total Current Assets 47.50b / Total Current Liabilities 14.11b)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 10.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 23.73b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.90 (Net Debt 5.93b / EBITDA 6.58b)
Debt / FCF = 1.10 (Net Debt 5.93b / FCF TTM 5.40b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 23.76b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.36% (Net Income 2.35b / Total Assets 47.50b)
RoE = 9.88% (Net Income TTM 2.35b / Total Stockholder Equity 23.76b)
RoCE = 10.65% (EBIT 3.56b / Capital Employed (Equity 23.76b + L.T.Debt 9.67b))
RoIC = 7.93% (NOPAT 2.73b / Invested Capital 34.44b)
WACC = 7.70% (E(72.39b)/V(83.01b) * Re(8.68%) + D(10.62b)/V(83.01b) * Rd(1.31%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.60% ; FCFF base≈5.28b ; Y1≈4.12b ; Y5≈2.66b
[DCF] Fair Price = 158.2 (EV 53.22b - Net Debt 5.93b = Equity 47.29b / Shares 299.0m; r=7.70% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -26.19% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -57.97 | EPS CAGR: 14.35% | SUE: 2.29 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: -83.75 | Revenue CAGR: -5.05% | SUE: 1.25 | # QB: 4
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=6.94 | Chg7d=+0.869 | Chg30d=+1.998 | Revisions Net=+9 | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=20.55 | Chg7d=+2.006 | Chg30d=+6.438 | Revisions Net=+13 | Growth EPS=+93.7% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=16.52 | Chg7d=+0.523 | Chg30d=+2.688 | Revisions Net=+8 | Growth EPS=-19.6% | Growth Revenue=-3.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.69 (11 Up / 2 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 5.5% (Discount Rate 8.7% - Earnings Yield 3.1%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +10.9% (Analyst 16.5% - Implied 5.5%)
External Resources
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