Overview Dividends

(VLO) Valero Energy - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US91913Y1001

Gasoline, Diesel, Jet Fuel, Ethanol, Renewable Diesel

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Market Cap in USD: 50,950m
IPO / Inception: 1982-01-04
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 15.5%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of VLO over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-12": -1.06, "2021-03": -1.73, "2021-06": 0.48, "2021-09": 1.22, "2021-12": 2.47, "2022-03": 2.31, "2022-06": 11.36, "2022-09": 7.14, "2022-12": 8.45, "2023-03": 8.27, "2023-06": 5.4, "2023-09": 7.49, "2023-12": 3.55, "2024-03": 3.82, "2024-06": 2.71, "2024-09": 1.14, "2024-12": 0.88, "2025-03": 0.89, "2025-06": 2.28, "2025-09": 3.66,
EPS CAGR: 11.06%
EPS Trend: -54.3%
Last SUE: 2.40
Qual. Beats: 4

Revenue

Revenue of VLO over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-12: 16604, 2021-03: 20806, 2021-06: 27748, 2021-09: 29520, 2021-12: 35903, 2022-03: 38542, 2022-06: 51641, 2022-09: 44454, 2022-12: 41746, 2023-03: 36439, 2023-06: 34509, 2023-09: 38404, 2023-12: 35414, 2024-03: 31759, 2024-06: 34490, 2024-09: 32876, 2024-12: 30756, 2025-03: 30258, 2025-06: 29889, 2025-09: 32168,
Rev. CAGR: -2.89%
Rev. Trend: -77.2%
Last SUE: 2.16
Qual. Beats: 3

Dividends

Dividend Yield 2.74%
Yield on Cost 5y 9.73%
Yield CAGR 5y 2.97%
Payout Consistency 68.5%
Payout Ratio 58.6%
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 30.3%
Value at Risk 5%th 49.3%
Relative Tail Risk -1.02%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.99
Alpha 24.62
CAGR/Max DD 0.30
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.465
Beta 0.987
Beta Downside 1.538
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 41.22%
Mean DD 15.98%
Median DD 15.32%

Description: VLO Valero Energy December 03, 2025

Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE: VLO) refines and markets petroleum-based and low-carbon transportation fuels across North America, Europe, and Latin America, operating through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. Its product slate includes CARBOB and CBOB gasoline blendstocks, CARB diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, asphalt, and a range of aromatics and residual fuels, sold via wholesale rack, bulk channels, and branded retail outlets such as Valero, Beacon, and Texaco.

Key operational metrics (2023) show a refining throughput of ~3.2 million barrels per day and an adjusted refining margin of roughly $12 per barrel, reflecting strong gasoline demand but sensitivity to crude price volatility. The Renewable Diesel segment, anchored by the Diamond Green Diesel brand, now runs at ~1.1 million bd yr⁻¹ capacity, benefitting from the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act’s tax credits for low-carbon fuels. Ethanol production remains modest (~0.4 million bd yr⁻¹), with co-products like dry distillers grains supporting the animal-feed market, a sector that typically exhibits inverse correlation with fuel demand.

For a data-driven deep-dive into Valero’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a concise toolkit you may find useful.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (1.50b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 7.38b TTM)
FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.88pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 7.13% (prev 6.45%; Δ 0.68pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.84b > Net Income 1.50b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (5.82b) to EBITDA (5.39b) ratio: 1.08 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.60 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (309.0m) change vs 12m ago -2.83% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 3.33% (prev 4.46%; Δ -1.14pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 206.8% (prev 222.8%; Δ -15.97pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 4.27 (EBITDA TTM 5.39b / Interest Expense TTM 552.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 5.40

(A) 0.15 = (Total Current Assets 23.50b - Total Current Liabilities 14.73b) / Total Assets 58.62b
(B) 0.80 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 47.17b / Total Assets 58.62b
warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.80 — check mapping/units
(C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 2.36b / Avg Total Assets 59.50b
(D) 1.46 = Book Value of Equity 46.47b / Total Liabilities 31.87b
Total Rating: 5.40 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.34

1. Piotroski 4.50pt
2. FCF Yield 7.68%
3. FCF Margin 3.54%
4. Debt/Equity 0.45
5. Debt/Ebitda 1.08
6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.17)%
7. RoE 6.24%
8. Rev. Trend -77.22%
9. EPS Trend -54.25%

What is the price of VLO shares?

As of January 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 162.79 with a total of 2,321,000 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.74%, over one month by -9.83%, over three months by -2.30% and over the past year by +36.35%.

Is VLO a buy, sell or hold?

Valero Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VLO.
  • Strong Buy: 10
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the VLO price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 184.9 13.6%
Analysts Target Price 184.9 13.6%
ValueRay Target Price 198.3 21.8%

VLO Fundamental Data Overview December 27, 2025

Market Cap USD = 50.95b (50.95b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 34.0977
P/E Forward = 13.6426
P/S = 0.4371
P/B = 2.1119
P/EG = 3.0535
Beta = 0.759
Revenue TTM = 123.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.36b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.39b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.69b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 894.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.58b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.82b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 56.77b USD (50.95b + Debt 10.58b - CCE 4.76b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.27 (Ebit TTM 2.36b / Interest Expense TTM 552.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.68% (FCF TTM 4.36b / Enterprise Value 56.77b)
FCF Margin = 3.54% (FCF TTM 4.36b / Revenue TTM 123.07b)
Net Margin = 1.21% (Net Income TTM 1.50b / Revenue TTM 123.07b)
Gross Margin = 3.33% ((Revenue TTM 123.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 118.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 5.47% (prev 4.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.97 (Enterprise Value 56.77b / Total Assets 58.62b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.31% (Interest Expense 139.0m / Debt 10.58b)
Taxrate = 26.79% (390.0m / 1.46b)
NOPAT = 1.72b (EBIT 2.36b * (1 - 26.79%))
Current Ratio = 1.60 (Total Current Assets 23.50b / Total Current Liabilities 14.73b)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 10.58b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 23.75b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.08 (Net Debt 5.82b / EBITDA 5.39b)
Debt / FCF = 1.33 (Net Debt 5.82b / FCF TTM 4.36b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 23.96b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.55% (Net Income 1.50b / Total Assets 58.62b)
RoE = 6.24% (Net Income TTM 1.50b / Total Stockholder Equity 23.96b)
RoCE = 7.00% (EBIT 2.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 23.96b + L.T.Debt 9.69b))
RoIC = 4.99% (NOPAT 1.72b / Invested Capital 34.59b)
WACC = 8.16% (E(50.95b)/V(61.53b) * Re(9.65%) + D(10.58b)/V(61.53b) * Rd(1.31%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.39%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.71% ; FCFE base≈4.62b ; Y1≈3.61b ; Y5≈2.33b
Fair Price DCF = 110.3 (DCF Value 33.63b / Shares Outstanding 305.0m; 5y FCF grow -26.19% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -54.25 | EPS CAGR: 11.06% | SUE: 2.40 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: -77.22 | Revenue CAGR: -2.89% | SUE: 2.16 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.64 | Chg30d=-0.070 | Revisions Net=+5 | Analysts=14
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.59 | Chg30d=+0.149 | Revisions Net=+6 | Growth EPS=+26.0% | Growth Revenue=-8.2%

Additional Sources for VLO Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle