(VLO) Valero Energy - Overview

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US91913Y1001

Stock: Fuels, Petrochemicals, Renewable Fuels, Ethanol

Total Rating 65
Risk 84
Buy Signal 0.82
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility 33.4%
Relative Tail Risk -4.43%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 1.58
Alpha 58.28
Character TTM
Beta 0.924
Beta Downside 1.456
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 41.22%
CAGR/Max DD 0.53

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of VLO over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -1.73, "2021-06": 0.48, "2021-09": 1.22, "2021-12": 2.47, "2022-03": 2.31, "2022-06": 11.36, "2022-09": 7.14, "2022-12": 8.45, "2023-03": 8.27, "2023-06": 5.4, "2023-09": 7.49, "2023-12": 3.55, "2024-03": 3.82, "2024-06": 2.71, "2024-09": 1.14, "2024-12": 0.88, "2025-03": 0.89, "2025-06": 2.28, "2025-09": 3.66, "2025-12": 3.82,

Revenue

Revenue of VLO over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 20806, 2021-06: 27748, 2021-09: 29520, 2021-12: 35903, 2022-03: 38542, 2022-06: 51641, 2022-09: 44454, 2022-12: 41746, 2023-03: 36439, 2023-06: 34509, 2023-09: 38404, 2023-12: 35414, 2024-03: 31759, 2024-06: 34490, 2024-09: 32876, 2024-12: 30756, 2025-03: 30258, 2025-06: 29889, 2025-09: 32168, 2025-12: 31730,

Description: VLO Valero Energy March 05, 2026

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) refines and markets petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid fuels and petrochemicals globally. The companys operations are divided into Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol segments. This diversified approach is common among integrated energy companies seeking to capitalize on traditional fossil fuel markets while also expanding into sustainable alternatives.

VLO produces various refined products, including gasolines, diesel, jet fuel, and asphalt. These products are sold through wholesale channels and under several brand names. The refining sector is characterized by high capital expenditures and sensitivity to crude oil prices and demand for refined products.

The company also operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, producing renewable fuels and co-products. The renewable fuels market is a growing sector, driven by environmental regulations and consumer demand for lower-carbon energy solutions. Understanding the companys financial performance within these distinct segments is crucial for a complete analysis. Further research on ValueRay can provide detailed insights into VLOs segment-specific financials and market positioning.

Headlines to watch out for

  • Refining margins dictate profitability
  • Crude oil prices impact input costs
  • Renewable diesel demand boosts segment growth
  • Regulatory changes affect fuel specifications
  • Global economic growth influences fuel consumption

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5

Net Income: 2.35b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.91 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 26.92% < 20% (prev 6.35%; Δ 20.58% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 5.83b > Net Income 2.35b
Net Debt (5.93b) to EBITDA (6.58b): 0.90 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.37 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (303.0m) vs 12m ago -4.11% < -2%
Gross Margin: 5.43% > 18% (prev 0.04%; Δ 539.6% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 230.5% > 50% (prev 216.0%; Δ 14.51% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.40 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 6.58b / Interest Expense TTM 556.0m)

Altman Z'' 10.00

A: 0.70 (Total Current Assets 47.50b - Total Current Liabilities 14.11b) / Total Assets 47.50b
B: 1.01 (Retained Earnings 47.96b / Total Assets 47.50b)
C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 3.56b / Avg Total Assets 53.82b)
D: 2.02 (Book Value of Equity 47.96b / Total Liabilities 23.78b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 10.47 = AAA

Beneish M -4.00

DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 9.21b/10.71b, Revenue 124.05b/129.88b)
GMI: 0.67 (GM 5.43% / 3.66%)
AQI: -6.06 (AQ_t -0.60 / AQ_t-1 0.10)
SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 124.05b / 129.88b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 2.35b - CFO 5.83b) / TA 47.50b)
Beneish M-Score: -7.70 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA

What is the price of VLO shares?

As of March 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 217.02 with a total of 3,947,350 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.32%, over one month by +8.78%, over three months by +24.06% and over the past year by +76.18%.

Is VLO a buy, sell or hold?

Valero Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VLO.
  • StrongBuy: 10
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the VLO price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 199.9 -7.9%
Analysts Target Price 199.9 -7.9%

VLO Fundamental Data Overview March 07, 2026

P/E Trailing = 30.1113
P/E Forward = 18.6567
P/S = 0.591
P/B = 2.8741
P/EG = 4.1746
Revenue TTM = 124.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.56b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.58b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 949.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.93b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 74.45b USD (68.51b + Debt 10.62b - CCE 4.69b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.40 (Ebit TTM 3.56b / Interest Expense TTM 556.0m)
EV/FCF = 13.79x (Enterprise Value 74.45b / FCF TTM 5.40b)
FCF Yield = 7.25% (FCF TTM 5.40b / Enterprise Value 74.45b)
FCF Margin = 4.35% (FCF TTM 5.40b / Revenue TTM 124.05b)
Net Margin = 1.89% (Net Income TTM 2.35b / Revenue TTM 124.05b)
Gross Margin = 5.43% ((Revenue TTM 124.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 117.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.28% (prev 5.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.57 (Enterprise Value 74.45b / Total Assets 47.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.31% (Interest Expense 139.0m / Debt 10.62b)
Taxrate = 23.29% (355.0m / 1.52b)
NOPAT = 2.73b (EBIT 3.56b * (1 - 23.29%))
Current Ratio = 3.37 (Total Current Assets 47.50b / Total Current Liabilities 14.11b)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 10.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 23.73b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.90 (Net Debt 5.93b / EBITDA 6.58b)
Debt / FCF = 1.10 (Net Debt 5.93b / FCF TTM 5.40b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 23.76b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.36% (Net Income 2.35b / Total Assets 47.50b)
RoE = 9.88% (Net Income TTM 2.35b / Total Stockholder Equity 23.76b)
RoCE = 10.65% (EBIT 3.56b / Capital Employed (Equity 23.76b + L.T.Debt 9.67b))
RoIC = 7.93% (NOPAT 2.73b / Invested Capital 34.44b)
WACC = 8.20% (E(68.51b)/V(79.13b) * Re(9.32%) + D(10.62b)/V(79.13b) * Rd(1.31%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.32% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.03% ; FCFF base≈5.28b ; Y1≈4.12b ; Y5≈2.65b
[DCF] Fair Price = 139.0 (EV 47.51b - Net Debt 5.93b = Equity 41.58b / Shares 299.0m; r=8.20% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -26.19% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -57.97 | EPS CAGR: 14.35% | SUE: 2.29 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: -83.75 | Revenue CAGR: -5.05% | SUE: 1.25 | # QB: 4
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=4.38 | Chg7d=+0.285 | Chg30d=+0.420 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.98 | Chg7d=+0.601 | Chg30d=+0.884 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+22.3% | Growth Revenue=-9.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.60 | Chg7d=+0.765 | Chg30d=+1.043 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+4.9% | Growth Revenue=+3.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.29 (5 Up / 9 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 6.0% (Discount Rate 9.3% - Earnings Yield 3.3%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -12.0% (Analyst -6.0% - Implied 6.0%)

Additional Sources for VLO Stock

Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle