(VLO) Valero Energy - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US91913Y1001
Stock:
Total Rating 62
Risk 69
Buy Signal 1.65
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.53% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.47 |
| Alpha | 50.23 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.119 |
| Beta Downside | 2.637 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 41.22% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.47 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: VLO Valero Energy
Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brands. The company owns and operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, as well as produces and sells renewable diesel, renewable naphtha, and neat sustainable aviation fuel under the Diamond Green Diesel brand name. In addition, it offers ethanol and various co-products, including dry distiller grains, syrup, and inedible distillers corn oil to animal feed customers. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 2.35b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.91 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 26.92% < 20% (prev 6.35%; Δ 20.58% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 5.83b > Net Income 2.35b |
| Net Debt (5.93b) to EBITDA (6.58b): 0.90 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.37 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (303.0m) vs 12m ago -4.11% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 5.43% > 18% (prev 0.04%; Δ 539.6% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 230.5% > 50% (prev 216.0%; Δ 14.51% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.40 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 6.58b / Interest Expense TTM 556.0m) |
Altman Z'' 9.34
| A: 0.70 (Total Current Assets 47.50b - Total Current Liabilities 14.11b) / Total Assets 47.50b |
| B: 0.99 (Retained Earnings 47.17b / Total Assets 47.50b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 3.56b / Avg Total Assets 53.82b) |
| D: 1.00 (Book Value of Equity 23.73b / Total Liabilities 23.78b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 9.34 = AAA |
Beneish M
| DSRI: none (Receivables none/10.71b, Revenue 124.05b/129.88b) |
| GMI: 0.67 (GM 5.43% / 3.66%) |
| AQI: none (AQ_t none / AQ_t-1 none) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 124.05b / 129.88b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 2.35b - CFO 5.83b) / TA 47.50b) |
| Beneish M-Score: cannot calculate (missing components) |
What is the price of VLO shares?
As of March 03, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 214.91 with a total of 5,486,836 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.88%, over one month by +19.98%, over three months by +21.11% and over the past year by +72.30%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.88%, over one month by +19.98%, over three months by +21.11% and over the past year by +72.30%.
Is VLO a buy, sell or hold?
Valero Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy VLO.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VLO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 198.2 | -7.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 198.2 | -7.8% |
VLO Fundamental Data Overview February 28, 2026
P/E Trailing = 26.9563
P/E Forward = 16.3666
P/S = 0.516
P/B = 2.1249
P/EG = 4.3312
Revenue TTM = 124.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.56b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.58b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.69b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 949.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.93b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 69.24b USD (63.31b + Debt 10.62b - CCE 4.69b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.40 (Ebit TTM 3.56b / Interest Expense TTM 556.0m)
EV/FCF = 12.82x (Enterprise Value 69.24b / FCF TTM 5.40b)
FCF Yield = 7.80% (FCF TTM 5.40b / Enterprise Value 69.24b)
FCF Margin = 4.35% (FCF TTM 5.40b / Revenue TTM 124.05b)
Net Margin = 1.89% (Net Income TTM 2.35b / Revenue TTM 124.05b)
Gross Margin = 5.43% ((Revenue TTM 124.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 117.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.28% (prev 5.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.46 (Enterprise Value 69.24b / Total Assets 47.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.31% (Interest Expense 139.0m / Debt 10.62b)
Taxrate = 23.29% (355.0m / 1.52b)
NOPAT = 2.73b (EBIT 3.56b * (1 - 23.29%))
Current Ratio = 3.37 (Total Current Assets 47.50b / Total Current Liabilities 14.11b)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 10.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 23.73b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.90 (Net Debt 5.93b / EBITDA 6.58b)
Debt / FCF = 1.10 (Net Debt 5.93b / FCF TTM 5.40b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 23.76b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.36% (Net Income 2.35b / Total Assets 47.50b)
RoE = 9.88% (Net Income TTM 2.35b / Total Stockholder Equity 23.76b)
RoCE = 10.65% (EBIT 3.56b / Capital Employed (Equity 23.76b + L.T.Debt 9.69b))
RoIC = 7.92% (NOPAT 2.73b / Invested Capital 34.47b)
WACC = 8.74% (E(63.31b)/V(73.93b) * Re(10.04%) + D(10.62b)/V(73.93b) * Rd(1.31%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.84% ; FCFF base≈5.28b ; Y1≈4.12b ; Y5≈2.65b
[DCF] Fair Price = 122.8 (EV 43.38b - Net Debt 5.93b = Equity 37.44b / Shares 305.0m; r=8.74% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -26.19% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -57.97 | EPS CAGR: 14.35% | SUE: 2.29 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: -83.75 | Revenue CAGR: -5.05% | SUE: 1.25 | # QB: 4
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=4.10 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.077 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.08 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.232 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+13.8% | Growth Revenue=-11.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=12.84 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.148 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+6.3% | Growth Revenue=+3.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.29 (5 Up / 9 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 6.3% (Discount Rate 10.0% - Earnings Yield 3.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -15.3% (Analyst -9.0% - Implied 6.3%)
P/E Forward = 16.3666
P/S = 0.516
P/B = 2.1249
P/EG = 4.3312
Revenue TTM = 124.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.56b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.58b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.69b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 949.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.93b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 69.24b USD (63.31b + Debt 10.62b - CCE 4.69b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.40 (Ebit TTM 3.56b / Interest Expense TTM 556.0m)
EV/FCF = 12.82x (Enterprise Value 69.24b / FCF TTM 5.40b)
FCF Yield = 7.80% (FCF TTM 5.40b / Enterprise Value 69.24b)
FCF Margin = 4.35% (FCF TTM 5.40b / Revenue TTM 124.05b)
Net Margin = 1.89% (Net Income TTM 2.35b / Revenue TTM 124.05b)
Gross Margin = 5.43% ((Revenue TTM 124.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 117.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.28% (prev 5.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.46 (Enterprise Value 69.24b / Total Assets 47.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.31% (Interest Expense 139.0m / Debt 10.62b)
Taxrate = 23.29% (355.0m / 1.52b)
NOPAT = 2.73b (EBIT 3.56b * (1 - 23.29%))
Current Ratio = 3.37 (Total Current Assets 47.50b / Total Current Liabilities 14.11b)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 10.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 23.73b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.90 (Net Debt 5.93b / EBITDA 6.58b)
Debt / FCF = 1.10 (Net Debt 5.93b / FCF TTM 5.40b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 23.76b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.36% (Net Income 2.35b / Total Assets 47.50b)
RoE = 9.88% (Net Income TTM 2.35b / Total Stockholder Equity 23.76b)
RoCE = 10.65% (EBIT 3.56b / Capital Employed (Equity 23.76b + L.T.Debt 9.69b))
RoIC = 7.92% (NOPAT 2.73b / Invested Capital 34.47b)
WACC = 8.74% (E(63.31b)/V(73.93b) * Re(10.04%) + D(10.62b)/V(73.93b) * Rd(1.31%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.84% ; FCFF base≈5.28b ; Y1≈4.12b ; Y5≈2.65b
[DCF] Fair Price = 122.8 (EV 43.38b - Net Debt 5.93b = Equity 37.44b / Shares 305.0m; r=8.74% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -26.19% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -57.97 | EPS CAGR: 14.35% | SUE: 2.29 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: -83.75 | Revenue CAGR: -5.05% | SUE: 1.25 | # QB: 4
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=4.10 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.077 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.08 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.232 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+13.8% | Growth Revenue=-11.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=12.84 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.148 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+6.3% | Growth Revenue=+3.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.29 (5 Up / 9 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 6.3% (Discount Rate 10.0% - Earnings Yield 3.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -15.3% (Analyst -9.0% - Implied 6.3%)