WHK Stock Analysis: WhiteHawk Minerals | NYSE

Oil & Gas Midstream | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 680m USD | 12M Return: 0% | US96524T1016 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Natural Gas, Mineral Rights, Royalty Interests, Shale Assets
Total Rating 15
Safety 14
Buy Signal -0.59
Oil & Gas Midstream
Industry Rotation: -1.6
Market Cap: 680M
Avg Turnover: 7.25M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility25.4%
VaR 5th Pctl4.89%
VaR vs Median16.8%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.09
Rel. Str. IBD37.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group15
Character TTM
Beta0.334
Beta Downside1.244
Hurst Exponent0.438
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD14.58%
CAGR/Max DD0.21
CAGR/Mean DD0.65
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of WHK over the last years for every Quarter: "2023-12": null, "2024-12": null, "2025-03": null, "2025-06": null, "2025-12": null, "2026-03": null, "2026-06": -0.25,
Revenue Revenue of WHK over the last years for every Quarter: 2023-12: 7.984, 2024-12: 13.868, 2025-03: 8.041, 2025-06: 10.391, 2025-12: 73.182, 2026-03: 26.133, 2026-06: 29.077,
Rev. CAGR: 202.76%
Rev. Trend: 96.1%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 0.3 years of data

Jan - -
Feb - -
Mar - -
Apr - -
May - -
Jun - -
Jul - -
Aug - -
Sep - -
Oct - -
Nov - -
Dec - -

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: WHK WhiteHawk Minerals

WhiteHawk Minerals Corp. (NYSE: WHK) is a U.S.-based energy company focused on owning natural gas mineral and royalty interests, primarily within the Marcellus Shale of the Appalachian Basin and the Haynesville Shale of the Haynesville Basin. The company operates under a non-operating business model, meaning it does not drill or operate wells itself but instead acquires and manages mineral rights, earning revenue from a share of production on those properties. The firm was incorporated in 2022, is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, and was renamed from WhiteHawk Income Corporation to WhiteHawk Minerals Corp. in June 2026.

The Marcellus and Haynesville Shales are among the most prolific natural gas producing formations in the United States, with the Haynesville particularly known for supplying LNG export markets along the Gulf Coast. Mineral and royalty companies like WhiteHawk typically benefit from production growth without bearing the capital costs and operational risks associated with drilling, though their revenues are directly tied to commodity prices and well-level production volumes.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Natural gas prices surge on rising LNG export demand
  • Marcellus shale production volumes drive royalty revenue growth
  • Mineral acreage acquisitions expand Haynesville basin footprint
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: -78.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.22 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -9.04 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 12.50% < 20% (prev -12.27%; Δ 24.77% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 2.73m > Net Income -78.2m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.39 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last fiscal year (26.7m) vs prev 0.0% < -2%
Gross Margin: 60.57% > 18% (prev 21.93%; Δ 38.64% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 21.53% > 50% (prev 8.36%; Δ 13.17% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -3.60 > 6 (EBIT TTM -61.6m / Interest Expense TTM 17.1m)
Altman Z'' 1.62
A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 32.5m - Total Current Liabilities 23.3m) / Total Assets 518.3m
B: -0.11 (Retained Earnings -55.3m / Total Assets 518.3m)
C: -0.18 (EBIT TTM -61.6m / Avg Total Assets 342.1m)
D: 2.91 (Book Value of Equity 313.3m / Total Liabilities 107.6m)
Altman-Z'' = 1.62 = BB
Beneish M 1.00
DSRI: 0.40 (Receivables 8.64m/4.04m, Revenue 73.6m/13.9m)
GMI: 0.36 (GM 21.93% / 60.57%)
AQI: 137.3 (AQ_t 0.94 / AQ_t-1 0.01)
SGI: 5.31 (Revenue 73.6m / 13.9m)
TATA: -0.16 (NI -78.2m - CFO 2.73m) / TA 518.3m)
Beneish M = 79.81 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of WHK shares?

As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 26.15 with a total of 274,978 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.82%, over one month by -6.54%, over three months by -3.47% and over the past year by +0.03%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 24.70 (which is 5.5% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).

Is WHK a buy, sell or hold?

WhiteHawk Minerals has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.60. Therefore, it is recommended to buy WHK.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the WHK price?
Analysts Target Price 32.4 23.9%
WhiteHawk Minerals (WHK) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 679.8m (679.8m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 20.0803
P/S = 8.8583
P/B = 2.2625
Revenue TTM = 73.6m USD
EBIT TTM = -61.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -32.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 68.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 179k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 68.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 210k
Net Debt = 55.3m USD (calculated: Debt 68.5m - CCE 13.2m)
Enterprise Value = 735.1m USD (679.8m + Debt 68.5m - CCE 13.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.60 (Ebit TTM -61.6m / Interest Expense TTM 17.1m)
EV/FCF = -6.55x (Enterprise Value 735.1m / FCF TTM -112.3m)
FCF Yield = -15.27% (FCF TTM -112.3m / Enterprise Value 735.1m)
 FCF Margin = -152.5% (FCF TTM -112.3m / Revenue TTM 73.6m)
 Net Margin = -106.1% (Net Income TTM -78.2m / Revenue TTM 73.6m)
Gross Margin = 60.57% ((Revenue TTM 73.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 29.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 64.93% (prev 63.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.42 (Enterprise Value 735.1m / Total Assets 518.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 25.00% (Interest Expense 17.1m / Debt 68.5m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -48.6m (EBIT -61.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.39 (Total Current Assets 32.5m / Total Current Liabilities 23.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.22 (Debt 68.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 313.3m)
 Debt / EBITDA = -1.70 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 55.3m / EBITDA -32.5m)
 Debt / FCF = -0.49 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 55.3m / FCF TTM -112.3m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 208.8m (last fiscal year from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -22.85% (Net Income -78.2m / Total Assets 518.3m)
RoE = -37.44% (Net Income TTM -78.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 208.8m)
RoCE = -22.24% (EBIT -61.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 208.8m + L.T.Debt 68.1m))
 RoIC = -9.90% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -48.6m / Invested Capital 491.4m)
 WACC = 8.39% (E(679.8m)/V(748.3m) * Re(7.24%) + D(68.5m)/V(748.3m) * Rd(25.00%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.24% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (yearly) Correlation: -33.33 | Cagr: -35.95%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -112.3m)
 Revenue Correlation: 96.05 | Revenue CAGR: 202.8% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.26 | Chg30d=+33.88% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.38 | Chg30d=+3.72% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.19 | Chg30d=+4.96% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+186.4% | GrowthRev=+12.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -42% (up=2, down=7)