(ASM) Avino Silver & Gold Mines - Ratings and Ratios
Silver, Gold, Copper
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 78.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 115% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.65% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 3.23 |
| Alpha | 882.42 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.47 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.544 |
| Beta | 1.283 |
| Beta Downside | 1.094 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 58.42% |
| Mean DD | 21.24% |
| Median DD | 16.82% |
Description: ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines December 26, 2025
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (NYSE MKT: ASM) is a Vancouver-based miner that acquires, explores, and develops mineral projects in Mexico, targeting silver, gold, copper, and other base metals. The company, incorporated in 1968, operates through subsidiaries that hold a portfolio of permits and early-stage assets across the country.
Key recent metrics (2023 FY): ≈ 13 M oz of silver and ≈ 45 k oz of gold produced, with cash costs of roughly $12 per oz of silver and $1,100 per oz of gold, yielding a net cash flow of about $75 M. The firm’s valuation is highly sensitive to the spot price of silver, which has risen > 15 % YoY driven by industrial demand and its status as an inflation hedge. Mexico’s recent mining-friendly reforms-particularly the 2022 “Mining Law” amendments that streamline permitting-provide a favorable macro backdrop for Avino’s expansion plans.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of ASM’s risk-adjusted upside, you might find ValueRay’s quantitative dashboard useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 21.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.89 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 59.02% < 20% (prev 29.11%; Δ 29.91% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 33.0m > Net Income 21.3m |
| Net Debt (-52.7m) to EBITDA (38.4m): -1.37 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.75 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (157.1m) vs 12m ago 24.47% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.81% > 18% (prev 0.28%; Δ 4753 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 48.19% > 50% (prev 40.30%; Δ 7.89% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 96.27 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 38.4m / Interest Expense TTM 361.0k) |
Altman Z'' 7.23
| A: 0.23 (Total Current Assets 79.7m - Total Current Liabilities 29.0m) / Total Assets 221.9m |
| B: -0.12 (Retained Earnings -27.1m / Total Assets 221.9m) |
| C: 0.19 (EBIT TTM 34.8m / Avg Total Assets 178.6m) |
| D: 4.59 (Book Value of Equity 182.2m / Total Liabilities 39.7m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 7.23 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.52
| DSRI: 0.60 (Receivables 6.15m/6.52m, Revenue 86.1m/54.6m) |
| GMI: 0.59 (GM 47.81% / 28.39%) |
| AQI: 2.43 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 1.58 (Revenue 86.1m / 54.6m) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 21.3m - CFO 33.0m) / TA 221.9m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.52 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of ASM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +62.90%, over one month by +70.82%, over three months by +142.76% and over the past year by +877.39%.
Is ASM a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ASM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 7.2 | -35.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 7.2 | -35.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 14 | 24.2% |
ASM Fundamental Data Overview January 24, 2026
P/E Forward = 21.645
P/S = 14.2732
P/B = 5.9425
Revenue TTM = 86.1m USD
EBIT TTM = 34.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 38.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 231.0k USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.55m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.67m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -52.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.18b USD (1.23b + Debt 4.67m - CCE 57.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 96.27 (Ebit TTM 34.8m / Interest Expense TTM 361.0k)
EV/FCF = 125.3x (Enterprise Value 1.18b / FCF TTM 9.39m)
FCF Yield = 0.80% (FCF TTM 9.39m / Enterprise Value 1.18b)
FCF Margin = 10.91% (FCF TTM 9.39m / Revenue TTM 86.1m)
Net Margin = 24.72% (Net Income TTM 21.3m / Revenue TTM 86.1m)
Gross Margin = 47.81% ((Revenue TTM 86.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 44.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.07% (prev 46.89%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.30 (Enterprise Value 1.18b / Total Assets 221.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.58% (Interest Expense 27.0k / Debt 4.67m)
Taxrate = 28.06% (3.00m / 10.7m)
NOPAT = 25.0m (EBIT 34.8m * (1 - 28.06%))
Current Ratio = 2.75 (Total Current Assets 79.7m / Total Current Liabilities 29.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 4.67m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 182.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.37 (Net Debt -52.7m / EBITDA 38.4m)
Debt / FCF = -5.61 (Net Debt -52.7m / FCF TTM 9.39m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 146.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.91% (Net Income 21.3m / Total Assets 221.9m)
RoE = 14.56% (Net Income TTM 21.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 146.1m)
RoCE = 23.74% (EBIT 34.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 146.1m + L.T.Debt 231.0k))
RoIC = 17.05% (NOPAT 25.0m / Invested Capital 146.6m)
WACC = 10.60% (E(1.23b)/V(1.23b) * Re(10.64%) + D(4.67m)/V(1.23b) * Rd(0.58%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 10.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 10.90%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.49% ; FCFF base≈6.90m ; Y1≈4.53m ; Y5≈2.07m
Fair Price DCF = 0.51 (EV 28.0m - Net Debt -52.7m = Equity 80.7m / Shares 156.8m; r=10.60% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 45.33 | EPS CAGR: -29.59% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.25 | Revenue CAGR: 24.26% | SUE: -1.20 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.07 | Chg30d=+0.040 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=+0.440 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+180.8% | Growth Revenue=+66.4%